Lower Your Odds by 50% in Lotto Games

Comment #9

Rick G — Mon, 17 Dec 2007 04:04:21 GMT

The approach I'm proposing is for those who do not have an "emotional attachment" to their number picks. Hope that makes sense.

Comment #8

Rick G — Sun, 16 Dec 2007 14:54:55 GMT

No repeat: 43.4% One repeat: 43.7% Two + repeats: 12.9% As you can see draws with no repeats have happened exactly as many times as draws with one repeat. I see your point but I'd rather be playing at half the odds some of the time than full odds all the time.

Comment #7

justxploring — Sun, 16 Dec 2007 05:55:49 GMT

So this is what I am saying. Let's say tonight I was thinking of your post here and decided it made perfect sense. I was going to bet 3-10-12-26-35 but I wanted to "significantly lower" my odds. So I changed 35 to another number because it was drawn last night. Therefore, I just won $105 instead of splitting $288,409.43 with someone (who probably bought a quick pick like the winners on Tues, Wed, Thurs & Fri) So, yes, I agree that this is a good way to cast out the repeats that might... [ More ]

Comment #6

Rick G — Sat, 15 Dec 2007 16:05:39 GMT

Jarasan made a good point. "This is a methodology for playing over a period of time". What you are counting on is those draws without repeats where you've significantly lowered your odds. You will be correct a MINIMUM of 40% of the time.

Comment #5

Rick G — Sat, 15 Dec 2007 15:55:57 GMT

Consider it this way. In the Pick 5 game 49% of the time the draw will have one repeat from last game. But which number will repeat? Your odds are 4/1 of picking the right number to repeat and you will be correct 49% of the time if there is exactly one repeat. No repeats: In 4 out of 10 draws your odds are lowered from 575,000 to 1 down to 278,000 to 1. Using repeats: Your odds are always 575,000 to 1. This odds reduction also applies to matching f... [ More ]

Comment #4

jarasan — Sat, 15 Dec 2007 14:52:40 GMT

Great common sense advice, thanks. People need to understand this is a methodology for playing over a period of time not just a single game, there will be times you effectively improve your odds significantly as you have shown.

Comment #3

pacattack05 — Sat, 15 Dec 2007 03:21:59 GMT

Yes, and that lowers the odds by about half. If you leave 5 or 6 numbers out of the equation, the odds are lowered. If you left out even more numbers, you'd be a-crunching-away..lol It's the process of elimination at work. And if your half good at it, you can hone it into a profitable venture....by narrowing down,,,less money spent wagering.

Comment #2

justxploring — Fri, 14 Dec 2007 23:54:40 GMT

Rick, I'm confused. If 40% of the time there will be no repeats from the last draw, doesn't that mean that 60% of the time there will be repeats?

Comment #1

RJOh — Fri, 14 Dec 2007 21:31:43 GMT

With MegaMillions, 49% of the White Balls drawn have hit 3 or more times in the previous 30 drawings. In 49.5% of those drawings 3 or more WB and in 3.5% of the drawings all 5 WB had done that. There are only 24-34 WB/drawings that have done that so using that stat can also reduce the number pool.

Original Blog Entry: Lower Your Odds by 50% in Lotto Games

Rick G — Fri, 14 Dec 2007 17:32:04 GMT