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The time is now 5:17 pm
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April 19, 2024, 5:08 pm
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Lower Your Odds by 50% in Lotto Games
Published:
Updated:
Eliminate repeat numbers from the last draw.
Here are some stats (figures are approx.)
5/39 game:
575,000 combos minus numbers from last game leaves 278,000 combinations.
40% of the time there will be no repeats from last draw.
6/52 game
20 million combos minus numbers from last draw leaves 9.4 million combinations.
46% of the time there will be no repeats from last draw.
Mega Millions (white balls only)
3.9 million combinations minus numbers drawn in last game leaves 2.3 million combos.
68.5% of the time there will be no repeats from last game.
Conclusion: You can lower your odds by about 50% and be correct about 50% of the time by eliminating repeats in jackpot games.
Good luck!
[ EDIT ] Don't forget this lowers your odds of winning lower tier prizes as well.
Comments
Yes, and that lowers the odds by about half. If you leave 5 or 6 numbers out of the equation, the odds are lowered. If you left out even more numbers, you'd be a-crunching-away..lol
It's the process of elimination at work. And if your half good at it, you can hone it into a profitable venture....by narrowing down,,,less money spent wagering.
Consider it this way. In the Pick 5 game 49% of the time the draw will have one repeat from last game. But which number will repeat? Your odds are 4/1 of picking the right number to repeat and you will be correct 49% of the time if there is exactly one repeat.
No repeats: In 4 out of 10 draws your odds are lowered from 575,000 to 1 down to 278,000 to 1.
Using repeats: Your odds are always 575,000 to 1.
This odds reduction also applies to matching four or three numbers.
When playing 6/49 games or MM/PB this odds reduction becomes even more effective with a higher chance of there being no repeats.
So this is what I am saying. Let's say tonight I was thinking of your post here and decided it made perfect sense. I was going to bet 3-10-12-26-35 but I wanted to "significantly lower" my odds. So I changed 35 to another number because it was drawn last night. Therefore, I just won $105 instead of splitting $288,409.43 with someone (who probably bought a quick pick like the winners on Tues, Wed, Thurs & Fri) So, yes, I agree that this is a good way to cast out the repeats that might keep you from hitting a few numbers once in a while for $10 or $100, but not hitting just one jackpot that is the exception wipes out all the small wins put together for decades. Everyone is trying to apply common sense, logic and statistics to a game that doesn't have any logic or patterns, and when it does, there are so many exceptions that by following a rule, you might just cost yourself the win of a lifetime.
No repeat: 43.4%
One repeat: 43.7%
Two + repeats: 12.9%
As you can see draws with no repeats have happened exactly as many times as draws with one repeat.
I see your point but I'd rather be playing at half the odds some of the time than full odds all the time.
The approach I'm proposing is for those who do not have an "emotional attachment" to their number picks.
Hope that makes sense.
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