Prediction Challenge

Reply #18

Thoth — Tue, 14 Mar 2006 04:05:28 GMT

Who knows what would happen if you could occasionally afford to spend $1,000 on a single drawing for the larger games - especially if you had a decent strategy.

Reply #17

sirbrad — Tue, 14 Mar 2006 02:44:48 GMT

I wouldn't mind trying to crack the big 4, daily number, and cash 5. At least then the losses would not hurt as bad. But money seems to attract money, so I would not be surprised if I actually started hitting more.

Reply #16

Thoth — Mon, 13 Mar 2006 22:56:13 GMT

Very true sirbrad.....I think if I ever one the big one (mega millions or powerball) I would probably keep playing....but at a much higher level.

Reply #15

sirbrad — Mon, 13 Mar 2006 19:01:40 GMT

Not trying to start a debate with you on the issue, but having a theory and buying tickets (and actually winning!) amounts to nothing more than luck unless it can be done repeatedly, consistanly, and in a frequency of more than what random chance would allow for.

Maybe so, but fortunately if one wins a jackpot one does not have to go back to keep trying to determine if it was luck or skill. All it takes is one win, and your playing days could be over if you wanted them to be. Or you could k... [ More ]

Reply #14

pacattack05 — Mon, 13 Mar 2006 16:42:13 GMT

On the first of every month, people who want to participate will send in $5.00, to a P.O. box in N.J. close to where Todd can access it.

On the 28rd of the month, the contest will find the winner and Todd can mail whatever the prize amount was to the winner.

And for his efforts, Todd can keep a percentage, like maybe 5 percent.

Reply #13

xavier102772 — Mon, 13 Mar 2006 16:33:49 GMT

Agreed. Now just to get everybody on board. If we get the number correct just 1 of 8 times, with the odds at betslips.com at 900-1, we have essentially the winning system. Plus anyone involved will stand to gain from this endeavor as we can all place bets online at betslips. As a suggestion, it might make most sense to choose a state like Louisianna's pick3, since it only has one drawing per day, not two. Making it much easier with more time for people to predict the number and to gather an... [ More ]

Reply #12

Thoth — Mon, 13 Mar 2006 14:20:58 GMT

Yea, it would be interesting to see what would happen if we all concentrated on the same exact event, regardless of the unique method that each person used to arrive at their digit. You never know, the collective intellect of the whole of lottery post crunching away at the outcome of a single chosen event could in itself prove to be a more powerful strategy than anything that is currently out there on its own.

Reply #11

xavier102772 — Mon, 13 Mar 2006 08:40:51 GMT

Awesome idea Thoth. Being able to predict 1 digit in position is a system in itself. I also had the idea of using several different systems and comparing them to each other, then only playing the numbers that matched from each system. Which would be similar to what you are proposing, but only 1 number in position. Big undertaking but very worthwhile.

Reply #10

Thoth — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 21:21:28 GMT

I agree, the coffee mug would be a fine prize! After all, I can t crack the lotto or really even think straight unless I've had my daily dose of coffee usually about a whole pot lol...

For me, the best prize would be the data. I titled the post Predictors Challenge, but I didn t mean to imply a contest of pitting member s predictions against one another for a prize. That does sound fun though! The whole idea is to see if a majority of the participants will pick the same digit and if th... [ More ]

Reply #9

anonymous77 — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 14:51:33 GMT

I am very interested in what has been discussed so far in this thread. I think that any such contest would be able to provide some more fun and lessons for LP members. I am willing to do whatever I can.

Reply #8

sfilippo — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 14:09:44 GMT

I'll try for an LP coffee mug.

I started a contest in the Lottery Systems forum call 'Dash for Cash - System Challenge'

Maybe a contest like that one would be nice.

It's runnning starting today until Saturday and the players get $70 to start with. It's for Pick 3 and Pick 4 players.

I'm going to need to win it since I started it. hee hee...

Reply #7

takeitez — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 12:28:42 GMT

Todd,

I would like to win a LP cap!

ez

Reply #6

Todd — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 12:16:09 GMT

That's an interesting idea. We all discussed the possibility of doing some kind of monthly contest or something a while back, but it never really materialized. It may be time to do something like that.

It would be nice to have an on-going sort of contest, maybe every month or week. The only problem to work out is what to offer as the prize, and how to fund the prizes. Any ideas in that regard would be appreciated.

Reply #5

Todd — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 12:12:24 GMT

dvdiva,

I think your strategies are just great, keep at it. I think what you have described is the best way to go after a lotto jackpot. I play using that same method for PB and MM.

Reply #4

RJOh — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 08:26:59 GMT

The trouble with running a test for a game like MegaMillions, even if you beat the odds or random expectations you would not show a profit unless you matched one of the high end prizes. The odds of having a winning ticket is 1:39.8 and most of those tickets pay $2-$7.

Reply #3

Thoth — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 07:33:50 GMT

The real test is when you buy tickets with a theory. It's puting your money where your mouth is

P.S. Not trying to start a debate with you on the issue, but having a theory and buying tickets (and actually winning!) amounts to nothing more than luck unless it can be done repeatedly, consistanly, and in a frequency of more than what random chance would allow for. I firmly believe that any true system, strategy, or other prediction method that actually works will have its foundation deeply r... [ More ]

Reply #2

Thoth — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 06:57:37 GMT

Money or no money, the test(s) would speak for itself.....and since this site is more or less about predicting the numbers (or how to), the test would be great to see.

Heres a funny story - I have spent more than ten years analyzing and tracking lottery numbers, mostly Pick 3, and with all my knowledge, and armed with all my excel spreadsheets (many are over 100mb in size), and also all my ideas and theories, I cannot come close to accomplishing what my sister has done with blind luck as far

Reply #1

dvdiva — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 05:55:02 GMT

The real test is when you buy tickets with a theory. It's puting your money where your mouth is. I'll give some examples.

I cover all Megaballs and Powerballs for a white ball combination when the pot hits the cap for Powerball and over $300 million for Megamillions. I have hit 3/5 on Powerball and if you have 42 tickets it's a nice reward, otherwise I just lose and get depressed. Covering all Powerballs/Megaballs reduces the game down to a pick five game with one expensive ticket.

For E... [ More ]

Prediction Challenge

Thoth — Sun, 12 Mar 2006 05:36:36 GMT

I was just sitting here thinking about randomness and how all of us here at lottery post are all looking for ways to beat the lottery. Many of us do this by trying to guess, calculate, predict, or anticipate the next random outcome of whatever lottery game it is that we choose to play.

I was thinking, if there is any real merit to predicting lottery numbers (I like to believe that there is.....I hope that there is) then the statistical outcome of such a test as the one that I am going to ill... [ More ]