Just a comment on predictions

Reply #10

RJOh — Mon, 28 Aug 2006 23:39:12 GMT

I look at the prediction board as a testing site where members can test their theories and ideas for picking winning combinations with restrictions similar to those of the real lotteries and have their results verified by an independent source. Combinations has to be posted before the drawings and can't be changed later. Money won and lost is close to what happens with the real lottery.

Theories and ideas for picking winning numbers are continually posted in all the forums, but most involve... [ More ]

Reply #9

Coin Toss — Mon, 28 Aug 2006 21:38:42 GMT

Thanks Rip Snorter, Rick G, and guesser

Like I said, I was just making an observation.

Especially since people here on the board have talked about predicting and playing numbers across all states or states and their mirror states, I have to wonder if people with 50 predictions (daily) are actually playing all their predictions.

They can show more hits, statistically of course, but as Rick G pointed out, on a money in / money out basis, it can be a whole different story. Four or so l... [ More ]

Reply #8

guesser — Mon, 28 Aug 2006 19:11:58 GMT

I play a minimum of 6 games and a self-imposed limit of up to 14 games per drawing, if you go more than your limit, then you have no limits and you end up in bankruptcy court, because like all addictions, you think 'just a little more' won't hurt, but you don't know when to say when.

If I could play 360 games per drawing, there is no doubt in my mind I can hit a pick-5.

I'm pretty sure.

Well, kinda sure.

Uh, I'd have a better chance as opposed to playing 14 games.... [ More ]

Reply #7

Rick G — Mon, 28 Aug 2006 18:59:05 GMT

Coin Toss,

A winner with a hit out of four picks is a feat to be proud of. I like to keep my number of picks down for that reason. That is the ultimate goal of many of us because it is so hard to do and very satisfying to accomplish it.

But the bottom line is the profit ratio. You will win more often with 50 picks as opposed to a few picks, but in the end it all evens out. You can make money both ways. A profit is a profit no matter how you got it.

It all comes down to how much m... [ More ]

Reply #6

Rip Snorter — Mon, 28 Aug 2006 16:49:44 GMT

Coin Toss:

Thought provoking comments you've made.

That set of prediction page stats is worth a bit of study. For the first time since I began watching it all 8 of the top ten predictors in the Lifetime Wager/Win column are on the positive side of the equation, some after tens of thousands of predictions. Some of those are also in the top-ten in the hit-ratio column, either lifetime, or during the past 30 days. Also representing a difference in past performance, overall.

From my pe... [ More ]

Reply #5

Todd — Mon, 28 Aug 2006 00:01:03 GMT

Reply #4

Konformthismfs — Sun, 27 Aug 2006 23:28:46 GMT

If you dig a little deeper, the hit with only 3 or 4 picks might be that persons only hit for the last week or month. While the person with 50 picks, hits 3,4,5 or more times a week. The Top Predictors link is a good way to tell who's doing what. And prompts to all them for not only taking the time to do it, but for having the guts to do it

Reply #3

Coin Toss — Sun, 27 Aug 2006 22:56:19 GMT

Todd, yeah, of course that's the way gambling works for any game (and along with that, for any game, the losers pay the winners and the house keeps the vig and the true odds amount that are not paid out.).

I didn't word it right - if I see someone posted three or four Pick 3 selections for yesterday and one of them hit, hey that's pretty good.

Bit if I see someone predicted a winner, and then go in deeper and realize that the winner was one pick of 50.....well, I don't know if you're f... [ More ]

Reply #2

Todd — Sun, 27 Aug 2006 20:32:57 GMT

The number of predictions posted does not matter, because there are lots of ways to play the game -- some with few picks, some with lots of picks. The only thing that matters is when you click on someone's name and select Prediction Statistics . Someone posting lots of picks, yet manages to get good stats is just as good as someone whos posts a few numbers and has the same stats. That's how gambling works for any game, not just the lottery.

Reply #1

EXCALIBUR — Sun, 27 Aug 2006 18:08:39 GMT

Prediction is hard enough.

To make it easier people do that, which might not be much of a prediction, but it makes the predictors and some others happy, so let it be.

If I predicted 220 boxed numbers for one state I would have to win boxed all of the time.

If I predict 25 boxed numbers for all states I will have a very good chance of having one or more of those combos come out somewhere often.

But would there be a profit?

Predicting is harmless, let people do it.

Not everybody

Just a comment on predictions

Coin Toss — Sun, 27 Aug 2006 17:37:38 GMT

Just a comment on predictions, if I may.

I've been here a few months but yesterday was the first time I took a good look at the predictions page, specifically winners and predictions by state.

OK, this impresses me

predicited 186, 186 drawn.

or eventhis would ompress me: predcited 186 286 486,

186 drawn.

But when I looked at predictions by state I realized that some people predicted up to 50 combinations for the pick 3. Then if one hits it, and it alone gets posted as the pi... [ More ]