Betslips Plays for 11/9

Reply #36

cps10 — Fri, 10 Nov 2006 04:22:29 GMT

In order to produce a profit, you would only need to increase your bet increment one unit on SINGLES only. Continue with 1 unit for doubles and triples, and move to 2 units for singles. A win tomorrow night will guarantee you a profit.

Reply #35

sue34 — Fri, 10 Nov 2006 01:20:04 GMT

Fl 037 ST

TN 588 ST

Not Bad

Reply #34

Rick G — Fri, 10 Nov 2006 00:52:05 GMT

CARBOB, thanks for that update. It does have to be boiling over. We have a new upper limit established. Here's where the Progression King can give us the Rules of the Road. This is suddenly new territory and uncharted waters. Life jackets and GPS systems are a must.

Increase bet increments by one unit tomorrow on GA EVE. ( Pending the sage advice of cps10).

Reply #33

CARBOB — Fri, 10 Nov 2006 00:36:45 GMT

11/9/06 Eve 142

Ga has to be boiling over tomorrow.

Reply #32

cps10 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 22:51:05 GMT

I can't wait! Maybe lotto winnings will fund a few of those dogs

Reply #31

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 22:35:20 GMT

Good reduction, CARBOB...hope one of 'em comes in for us.

Reply #30

CARBOB — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 22:29:04 GMT

My plays for Ga.

734,754,764,784,794,774,688,788,676,686,696,156,616,756,956

Reply #29

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 22:12:05 GMT

I'm obviously very prejudiced but you're coming up for all the right reasons. Vienna beef hotdogs, Chicago-style (no kraut on our dogs, it belongs on a Reuben) is a little slice of heaven.

Reply #28

cps10 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 22:00:59 GMT

Rick

That is awesome...I have definitely tested the chemical properties of my Lipitor down here with some of the greasy spoons littered all over SC! I am now anxious to get a few Wrigley Dogs and some nice Chicago pie!! We are planning on getting our rear ends up there in the Spring for the beginning of the season. I haven't been to CHI in probably 25 years.

Reply #27

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 21:58:14 GMT

Cps...lol....steak eggs with hash browns and buttered toast is my favorite heart-grabber meal. I'm fortunate that my local restaurant serves 'em all day long.

Reply #26

cps10 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 21:44:51 GMT

No you don't!! You can even have your steak eggs around midday at the Waffle House...and then your steak potatoes later in the evening!!

And not only that...but when you have found the skips as we have, and as you have defined at 5, well, that will be our little bread-and-butter

Reply #25

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 21:43:14 GMT

Cps, thanks for the tip. From your spreadsheet it appears they do as well in the midday as in the evening, hit-wise. Interesting result and I'm glad you included them in your spreadsheet. It appears that people might be making this work for them in their own ways.

If you like steak and eggs, you don't have to eat them only at breakfast.

(That was for calabs....

Reply #24

cps10 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 21:29:38 GMT

Rick

I know we aren't playing TN Midday, but it would appear that the alarm signal is about to sound off there with 3 straight losses. Will give it one more day before playing it though.

Reply #23

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 21:23:52 GMT

You're welcome, Sue! I hope other players are approaching it like you. You have the right idea.

Thanks for the input.

Reply #22

sue34 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 21:14:01 GMT

Rick, Thanks for posting all states, I have been keeping track of all them to see how they perform what might be best to play. Being able to visually see them is a big help.

Sue

Reply #21

calabs — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 19:58:47 GMT

Here is an update of the rt sums to look for:

NJ - rt sum 5 or 7

SC - rt sum 7 or 8

GA - rt sum 5 or 7

IL - rt sum 5, 7, or 8

TN - N/A

Now midday IL got yet another rt sum on the list, but not on the real list!! OK, the list is for eve, so...... And an ascending # too (025)! IL is hot

Reply #20

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 16:57:52 GMT

Reply #19

calabs — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 16:51:42 GMT

I like that approach Rick! thanks....

Reply #18

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 16:47:06 GMT

Calabs, here is how I'll designate the lists from now on...I'll post them all but the star recommendations will indicate the sweet spots.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Five star confidence rating: (* * * * *)

FL: 81 combos ( )

006 008 016 018 026 028 034 036 037 038 044 046 048 056 058 066 067 068 069 077 078 088 089 126 128 134 137 144 168 177 226 228 234 236 237 238 244 246 248 256 258 266 267 268 269 2... [ More ]

Reply #17

calabs — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 16:42:51 GMT

OK kids! I understand now!! What I didn't pick up before was you were going to continue to TRACK all the states! Sorry for the confusion. Had I known that, I would have avoided all that wear and tear on my soap box!!!!

Carry on ladies and gents

Reply #16

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 16:32:58 GMT

Cps, yes I would agree. Tonight's GA draw will be the fourth such occurrence in 12 days of six-state coverage. I think it's the ultimate spot play and would think get upwards of a 75% hit rate and a flat bet profit, not to mention the progression betting capabilities.

Of course it is the same as flipping a coin...you have a 50% chance of an occurrence but it might go way beyond the norm in short term situations.

I'm thinking five losses in a row is the ultimate time to pull out the walle... [ More ]

Reply #15

cps10 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 16:17:30 GMT

And if you are worried about the loss in play/profit, then on that 6th draw, hammer it for about $3 a number to get triple the profit. I'm sure this phenomenon occurs regularly within the 6 states, wouldn't you think, Rick

Reply #14

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 16:15:13 GMT

Calabs, I will still be tracking all six states every day. I'm only going to post what state(s) I think have the best chance of hitting on that day.

Cps showed a good example in SC winning 5 in a row and turning around and losing 5 in a row.

IL has won 4 out of its last 6. There's a good chance it will lose 4 of the next 6.

I want to show a profit in what I post...it's a personal thing for me. Playing all six states every day wasn't cutting it. But tracking them and playing the sp... [ More ]

Reply #13

cps10 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 16:01:12 GMT

Yes, I am with you on that. I think Rick, though, is tracking the states himself and posting only those that fit the new criterium. Maybe at some point, he can continue to make new criteria for the system that is being formed here.

btw, the new version of the spreadsheet is available.

Reply #12

calabs — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:54:13 GMT

Oh I agree with you there Keith. No question. I guess what I'm trying to get across is, the only way there could be any validity to the system is to follow it for a long period of time over several states. Rick, if I may use a life analogy here, it's like investigating a new drug in clinical trials. You have to study the drug not only for long periods of time, but in different populations to determine if there are side effects for a given population. Along those lines, I think you would ne... [ More ]

Reply #11

cps10 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:44:14 GMT

See post above :) I understand what you are saying too, but the SC example probably happens more often than not.

Maybe you ride the wave until it loses? I don't know the answer to that. Plus, if it were me and I had hit 3 or more in a row and then lose, I might think, well, it won't lose again now that it's lost... That is a recipe for disaster...haha

Reply #10

cps10 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:42:07 GMT

That sounds like a good idea, Rick. Let's run with it.

Reply #9

cps10 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:40:25 GMT

Yes, we saw this reversal in SC last week/this week. Once it hit for 4 or 5 in a row, the role reversed and SC went into a tailspin. Would be best to let the correction come through and then hit it again once it has corrected itself.

Rick, are you generating numbers on your end and keeping track of which wins and which loses? I will be more than happy to assist you with that as well.

Reply #8

calabs — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:39:21 GMT

OK Rick - I understand. But I would question why one would drop a state that's doing so well, and beating even the long term odds? For a state like that I would think you'd want to keep a close eye on that state for the long term to see if it keep ahead of the odds. It could be your cash cow state!!! OK, I'll get off my soapbox now

Reply #7

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:38:50 GMT

cps10, here's how I think I'll work it. Let's say GA hits tonight and NJ loses. NJ will then have the most skips at three. I'll post it because it becomes our new target state. Make sense

Reply #6

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:31:12 GMT

Calabs...here's the thing. I don't want to post a lot of losing numbers. Targeting states that are most likely to hit on any given day will be more profitable. It was not performing profitably as it stood, so it was time to make a change in course. I'd like to see a hit from the list 75% of the time. By playing only the most overdue state(s), we may be able to come close to that target.

IL has been doing well lately...it's due for a couple losses, so more reason not to play it today. W... [ More ]

Reply #5

cps10 — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:28:46 GMT

Thank you Rick...we will see how that goes, using the progression. I think we may have a nice winner.

Reply #4

chippie — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:04:20 GMT

Oh Happy Day...!! Morning Rick

Reply #3

calabs — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:03:37 GMT

AND last night's IL draw had the number boxed too

Reply #2

calabs — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 15:01:47 GMT

But.. but.....but.... Dr. Rick!! Just when IL has been hitting that rt sum thing THREE draws in a row

Reply #1

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 14:58:36 GMT

Morning, chippie! Cps10, got your last post from yesterday's thread. OK, we'll start posting a state after four skips.

Betslips Plays for 11/9

Rick G — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 14:52:25 GMT

As I said in yesterday's thread, today I'm only posting the list for GA. They have gone five days without a hit from the list and should hit today or tomorrow.

GA EVE: 84 combos

016 019 037 039 057 067 068 069 077 078 079 116 119 126 129 136 137 139 146 149 156 157 159 166 167 168 169 177 178 179 189 199 237 239 257 267 268 269 277 278 279 337 339 347 349 357 359 367 368 369 377 378 379 389 399 457 467 468 469 477 478 479 557 567 568 569 577 578 579 667 668 669 677 678 679 688 689 699 777... [ More ]