Potential Reoccurrence Probability

Reply #15

JADELottery — Sat, 02 Dec 2006 12:50:57 GMT

Reply #14

JADELottery — Tue, 28 Nov 2006 15:00:25 GMT

Uh, yeah... what you said. Very well done.

Reply #13

for99c — Wed, 22 Nov 2006 00:59:54 GMT

A hypothesis is a proposition that is consistent with known data, but has been neither verified nor shown to be false.

In statistics, a hypothesis (sometimes called a statistical hypothesis) refers to a statement on which hypothesis testing will be based. Particularly important statistical hypotheses include the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis.

In symbolic logic, a hypothesis is the first part of an implication (with the second part being known as the predicate).

In genera... [ More ]

Reply #12

twestcrowe — Tue, 21 Nov 2006 21:43:50 GMT

Geez, I am impressed. I haven't heard this conversation since college logic. In truth, there are many variables as mentioned above and many more. Many lottery systems have an order in which the balls are set and that order is also part of an order. I have seen in the past many systems try to simulate this order, but to no avail.

There is a lot to say for gut feelings. For example, when I first played the horses last year, I told my husband that I liked the name of Giacomo, mostly becau... [ More ]

Reply #11

Thoth — Sat, 18 Nov 2006 18:26:35 GMT

I totally agree that there is no equation (that is related to probability) that will predict and pinpoint the very next lottery number to be selected.

Probability is closely tied to combinatorics. Odds and probabilities are calculations that are based on the combinations permutations that one is playing or measuring against the total amount of possibilities. Probability formulas always refer to these elements in one way or another.

Perhaps the real problem isn't the use of mathematics... [ More ]

Reply #10

guesser — Fri, 17 Nov 2006 05:25:22 GMT

I see things in games that I can tell you will occur all the time - and they do.

But that's a far cry from having all 5 numbers AND the powerball number hit based on mathematical equations, I just don't think it's possible. I think you can get 'lucky' and owe it to a math theory, but if there IS indeed a 'true' mathematical answer to the lottery:

1) I am SURE there are mathematicians all over the USA - the world - that would have figured it out long before now, don't you think ?

2) And... [ More ]

Reply #9

Thoth — Thu, 16 Nov 2006 17:37:51 GMT

Actually JKING, I have tested the math throughout the entire histories of almost every Pick 3 game in the country. I've also tested other types of lottery games from time to time I can say with utmost confidence that the half-life or probability median is a very real, consistant and accurate truth in the laws of probability....and there are many, many more!

One very important piece of the puzzle that gets overlooked to many game analyzers is the effects of probability. The games WILL D... [ More ]

Reply #8

JKING — Tue, 14 Nov 2006 13:55:57 GMT

I'm sorry doug is so sensitive, and that I've hurt his delicate feelings. *lol*

I guess, since I never talked to him before, I'll somehow have to live with the thought that I'll never be able to talk to him again.

The fact that his response became a personnal issue rather than one of a constructive reply should raise a flag to all of you. I have patience with everybody's system, including my own.

A simple reply like...I am showing the theory and will get to the actual practice later wou... [ More ]

Reply #7

jokerh1977 — Mon, 13 Nov 2006 20:44:37 GMT

JKing,

People keep asking Doug what does this mean , he said in several posts that he will expound on all that he has presented when he's finished with everything. There's a lot of material for him to cover and he has to paint the whole picture before he starts answering questions. He's on to something reall juicy here, and there is a method to his madness. Please have patience everybody.

Reply #6

JADELottery — Mon, 13 Nov 2006 19:55:01 GMT

because of your impatients, this is last post I will ever respond to you in any topic for any reason.

Reply #5

JKING — Mon, 13 Nov 2006 14:00:47 GMT

Hi,

I've enjoyed your recent posts. However, becuase you've learned the the math facts doesn't mean you've learned the lesson. I say this because you haven't taken your posts to the next logical step.....how well did this math fact work with the lottery? Without some sort of testing against the real world lottery application, you have no idea if your formulas are applicable or not.

However, thanks for some refreshing posts in an otherwise dull mathematics forum.... [ More ]

Reply #4

CARBOB — Sat, 11 Nov 2006 23:41:46 GMT

Jadelottery, thanks for the postings you are doing and thank you Thoth for putting it in explanations, so even a layman, like my self can understand.

Reply #3

tntea — Sat, 11 Nov 2006 22:28:41 GMT

Keep it coming.. Boy.. it is interesting..

Reply #2

Thoth — Sat, 11 Nov 2006 17:12:25 GMT

This is some very awsome stuff!

I've been reading through your various posts trying to make more sense out of them. There are many things I've always understood but was never quite sure how to apply a formula to them...

Half-life of Reoccurrence

Reference - Potential Reoccurrence Probability

Half-life of Reoccurrence - xl = -m ln(1 / 2)

m - average rate of reoccurrence

xl - half-life of reoccurrence

So I take it the Half-Life is the 50% chance mark or... [ More ]

Reply #1

JADELottery — Sat, 11 Nov 2006 07:39:38 GMT

This has been bugging the heck me, but I have to say, Yes, I know compliment should have been spelled with an 'e' not an 'i'.

Silly me and the spell check.

Potential Reoccurrence Probability

JADELottery — Thu, 09 Nov 2006 16:51:21 GMT

Potential Reoccurrence Probability

Reference - Discharging Reoccurrence Distribution, Average Rate of Reoccurrence Distribution, Generalized Average Rate of Reoccurrence

Potential Reoccurrence Probability - y = e -(x / m)

x - draw difference or Dd between previous occurrence and next draw number

m - average rate of reoccurrence

y - probability of reoccurrence relative to last occurrence

The potential reoccurrence probability was derived from the d... [ More ]