A rough idea of the probability of a rollover. https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/199460 Lottery Post Forum Topic: A rough idea of the probability of a rollover. en-us Lottery Post RSS Generator Reply #2 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/199460/1388204 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/199460/1388204 Thu, 27 Aug 2009 14:28:52 GMT Prob988 This is true, but what happened the last time at this prize level is as good an estimate of sales as any.

]]> Prob988 Reply #1 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/199460/1388101 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/199460/1388101 Thu, 27 Aug 2009 12:56:25 GMT johnph77 The odds of a rollover would decrease as the number of tickets sold rises.

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]]> johnph77 A rough idea of the probability of a rollover. https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/199460 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/199460 Thu, 27 Aug 2009 12:45:17 GMT Prob988 On August 31, 2007, the MM jackpot was $330M annuity. Sales for that drawing were $137,151,667.

The probability of various numbers of winners for that drawing - which rose from a 250M jackpot and should thus be similar to this drawing was:

k, number of winners p(m,k)

0 45.82%

1 35.76%

2 13.96%

3 3.63%

4 0.71%

5 0.11%

6 0.01%

Zero winners is the probability of a rollover of course, and it is the most probable single out come, although it is... [ More ]

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