Pick 4 Probability Question

Reply #3

Boney526 — Sat, 19 Feb 2011 05:49:11 GMT

It's usually unwise to go with overdue comboes - although sometimes they do come out, it's just a matter of coincidence.

As for a wise method of betting, I'm not sure there is one, playing against a 50-60% of odds payout.

Reply #2

Stack47 — Fri, 28 Jan 2011 16:35:01 GMT

In aggregate, there are 338 possible combinations. So: 10,000/338 = 29.59. In other words, using straight probability calculation, one of these combinations should be drawn about once out of every 30 drawings.

Looking at it another way, there are 30 groups each with 338 straight combinations. With groups that large I doubt you'll see each group averaging one hit every 30 drawings even after 20,000 drawings. Some groups might go months without a hit. If you place all the drawn numbers into tw... [ More ]

Reply #1

jimmy4164 — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 19:44:32 GMT

My strategy in Pick 3 and Pick 4 is to identify numbers that are statistically overdue to be drawn. This method has yielded quite a bit of $'s over time. In the Pick 4 game, we have won just over $21K since mid-May. BUT......I am currently in a bit of a drought and have not won in over three weeks.

I looked at this game at the NC website and it looks to me like its Expected Value is . Therefore, I suspect you've had at least one lucky and sizeable hit since May. If I were you, I'd take the m... [ More ]

Pick 4 Probability Question

dwkoptical1 — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 01:17:31 GMT

Before arriving at my question, some background information:

My strategy in Pick 3 and Pick 4 is to identify numbers that are statistically overdue to be drawn. This method has yielded quite a bit of $'s over time. In the Pick 4 game, we have won just over $21K since mid-May. BUT......I am currently in a bit of a drought and have not won in over three weeks.

I am playing a set of 24 numbers in the North Carolina Lottery Pick 4 game. This is a relatively new game in NC..........we are jus... [ More ]