A Wheel Question...

Reply #35

Stack47 — Sat, 30 Jul 2011 16:43:54 GMT

I haven't found anyone in the BLACK with $100K or more invested but, of course, they surely don't have your skills.

That statement sure sums up your lottery IQ! Players don't get a $1 pick-3 QP every night for 13 1/2 and won't be wagering over $100,000 in a lifetime. As for my prediction status, 281 lifetime total doesn't qualify me as a prediction fanatic.

You probably read Bluejay's challenge while in Vegas after losing your $20 gambling allowance and decided to try it out on LP. I can... [ More ]

Reply #34

jimmy4164 — Sat, 30 Jul 2011 02:09:46 GMT

Stack47 says, When are you going to get with the program, Jimmy?

I should be asking you this question, because...

...when I click here I can get no sense of your success...

Since you have a Platinum membership, you can make twice as many predictions as me, so it won't take you long to catch up in terms of dollars bet so we can see how YOUR distribution of Pick-3 winnings derived from systematic play compares to my fixed selections. I haven't found anyone in the BLACK with $100K or more... [ More ]

Reply #33

Stack47 — Fri, 29 Jul 2011 22:33:10 GMT

The majority of your threads are you posting links to articles mostly from people that lottery players never heard of. From your poll, it looked like several people were interesting in backtesting systems using your simulation, but you failed to deliver. The best you could come up with was a semi structured raffle game and you gave no explanation of the total prize payoff.

It looks like 1.65% of the players made a profit collecting about $5 million out of a total prize pool of $125 million an... [ More ]

Reply #32

jimmy4164 — Fri, 29 Jul 2011 04:47:11 GMT

You are very confused Stack47.

No, you have not closely examined the results of my simulations and the accompanying discussions. If you had, you would have read multiple statements I have made in [what was obviously] futile attempts to help you see that IT IS POSSIBLE TO WIN, WITH OR WITHOUT THE HELP OF A SYSTEM!!!

Here is just one quote of mine from the link you claim you've taken and studied. Here's the link again.

https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/229947/2052511

Jimmy4164: What I... [ More ]

Reply #31

Stack47 — Fri, 29 Jul 2011 02:14:37 GMT

The best example you give of your innumeracy is your confusion over the fact that the PA lottery pays out 50% of its gross in its Pick-3, resulting in payouts totalling $601M over 3 years. Somehow, you seem to think this proves that Pick-3 system play results in big winners .

And

As for how that $601M was distributed, it will conform loosely to what's described here:

Because of the way you did it, your charts show what's expected of a 50,000 ticket raffle that's held 5000 times; fifty... [ More ]

Reply #30

jimmy4164 — Wed, 27 Jul 2011 22:34:19 GMT

Well Mr Stack47,

you have no shortage of examples of your fallacious reasoning to display for the world to see. Some day, you just might realize that it makes absolutely no difference whether you bet on the same numbers every day for the rest of your life, choose them with a system, or simply buy QuickPicks. Over the long haul, your results will be the same.

The best example you give of your innumeracy is your confusion over the fact that the PA lottery pays out 50% of its gross in its... [ More ]

Reply #29

Stack47 — Tue, 26 Jul 2011 23:31:09 GMT

Again, you expose your innumeracy.

Nope, I finally stumped you because after telling people over and over again it's impossible for anyone to make a profit playing pick-3 games you don't have an answer. The PA daily number game paid out $601 million in the last 3 years ($550,000 every day), but you're clueless as to who shared those enormous prizes.

Rather than output the Equity remaining from $5000 after 5000 $1 bets, I converted to Prize Ratio notation

Speaking of innumeracy, there... [ More ]

Reply #28

Stack47 — Tue, 26 Jul 2011 21:49:09 GMT

Do you actually believe that Catlin and Shackleford are not aware that the probabilities, rules, and betting limits in some [non lottery] venues don't always guarantee the house a fixed edge in all time frames?

Every dealer knows the rules, betting limits, and payoff odds yet you find it extraordinary that a couple of rag writers know them too. It's getting embarrassing having to explain to you thousands of people deal these games everyday and probably forgot more than your experts know. It... [ More ]

Reply #27

jimmy4164 — Tue, 26 Jul 2011 17:09:47 GMT

Have you ever considered that maybe these people were raised on turnips that bleed?

It would explain a lot...

Reply #26

xaab — Tue, 26 Jul 2011 08:49:30 GMT

Seen this before....

Reply #25

jimmy4164 — Tue, 26 Jul 2011 07:25:50 GMT

Stack47,

You've really got it bad for that complicated and sexy GF... It must be because she's got 14 areas of interest to you!

Do you actually believe that Catlin and Shackleford are not aware that the probabilities, rules, and betting limits in some [non lottery] venues don't always guarantee the house a fixed edge in all time frames? You've got to be kidding me!

I'll wait for your explanation on the $601 million the PA pick-3 paid out in the last three years. Don't know how you'll... [ More ]

Reply #24

Stack47 — Tue, 26 Jul 2011 00:21:29 GMT

On the one hand, you agree that if you were to take the 200,000 round challenge, YOU WOULD LOSE!

NOT TRUE, Bluejay's rules prevent me or most short term strategies from making that bet because I'm not a system's seller. Besides he can't program a simulation where the amounts and type of bets are constantly changing and his rules allow him to weasel out of any bet he believes he might lose.

Bluejay's Challenge is basically intended for non-existing systems or systems like your bet the last... [ More ]

Reply #23

Stack47 — Mon, 25 Jul 2011 21:26:44 GMT

I found an ancient article written by Shackleford Strategy and Odds of Craps .

http://wizardofodds.com/craps

I had to chuckle when I saw it was last updated on August 2, 2010 because I haven't seen the Big 6 and 8 bets on any Craps table layout in over ten years. That must be irrelevant to your expert who still includes it on his play for free game he is so proud of.

If Shackleford is positive no system can beat Craps, why is he giving Craps strategy?

If Shackleford is THE knowledge... [ More ]

Reply #22

jimmy4164 — Sun, 24 Jul 2011 19:33:16 GMT

The Wizard of Odds is Michael Shackleford, A.S.A., a professional actuary who has made a career of analyzing casino games. He runs the numbers on new games for casinos and game developers and has helped design many of the popular slot machines on the Internet. He is currently an Adjunct Professor of Casino Math at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas, a former contributing editor to Casino Player magazine, and the author of the book Gambling 102, recently published by Huntington Press. The Wizard... [ More ]

Reply #21

jimmy4164 — Sun, 24 Jul 2011 19:27:12 GMT

Stack47,

The issue here is not the journalistic credentials of mathematicians and gaming consultants, it's whether their experience allows them to assert mathematical principals that refute your claims regarding the chances of winning lotteries. Above you said,

With Bluejay it's only necessary to read his lopsided rules to know why the high priced 'get rich quick' systems ignore him and since even the simple playing strategies are for SHORT TERM PLAY, only a fool would give his 200,000 ro... [ More ]

Reply #20

Stack47 — Sun, 24 Jul 2011 17:35:58 GMT

Basically you're saying because these guy write gaming articles for the Casino City Times, they are THE casino industry experts.

All you need is the courage to face the possibility that Don, the two Michaels and me are right, and you are wrong.

I'm assuming you're saying I'm wrong about their credentials because you read their articles, found them fascinating and I find those articles useless information to me. The difference between you and me is that I read other articles written on th... [ More ]

Reply #19

jimmy4164 — Sat, 23 Jul 2011 22:30:01 GMT

Stack47,

...and so you go on, and on, and on... You won't give up trying to obfuscate and question the credentials of people who's mathematical abilities and understanding clearly surpass your own.

I think it's simply because...

...you just can't face the truth!

Earlier I said, I think you might have the ability to disengage yourself from the clutches of that powerful seducer, the Gambler's Fallacy. I hereby retract that statement.

I also said, All you need is the courage to face... [ More ]

Reply #18

Stack47 — Sat, 23 Jul 2011 19:01:39 GMT

You want to childishly argue about what type of consultant Don Catlin is because his math is over your head.

Why would multi-billion dollar corporations like MGM, Caesar's Entertainment, or the Boyd Group need Don Catlin to explain to them why every possible bet on a roulette wheel is paid off in increments of 36 to 1 or why a place bet on 6 or 8 pays $7 to $6 and the odds bets on the same numbers pays $6 to $5?

Casino profits are determined by volume of play based on payoff odds used lon... [ More ]

Reply #17

jimmy4164 — Fri, 22 Jul 2011 03:17:55 GMT

P.S. I'm really surprised you linked to Scoblete's article. I think the joke's on you; I didn't find a dispute. Scoblete delineated the various types of gamblers. Highly recommended!

http://scoblete.casinocitytimes.com/article/math-is-truly-annoying-59986

Sadly the 'inspired,' 'intuitive' and 'angry' players don't want to be shackled by the math. It annoys them no end to think that there is a very simple way to look at the games and that the casinos and the savvy players have figured this... [ More ]

Reply #16

jimmy4164 — Fri, 22 Jul 2011 02:03:03 GMT

Stack47,

You are absolutely right about me being off topic in this thread. Against my better judgement I purposely took a swipe at you shortly after you sideswiped me in another thread. When you've finished reading what I have to say here, then click this to see why. I posted a serious reply to Wooddrive; you replied with an insult.

https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/233671/2137774

You are a master of the obfuscation technique of false narrative. You want to childishly argue about what... [ More ]

Reply #15

Stack47 — Thu, 21 Jul 2011 21:33:41 GMT

If you investigated Don Catlin a little further you would learn that, among other things, he IS a consultant.

Pumpi had a question about a pick-4 wheel and you're off on a tangent and want to debate the credibility of a gaming writer. Even if Steve Wynn couldn't go to the bathroom without consulting with Catlin, his opinions are useless to the question.

Are you implying that the casino industry makes its money using math principals that disagree with Catlin's?

Catlin's writes article... [ More ]

Reply #14

jimmy4164 — Thu, 21 Jul 2011 07:21:59 GMT

I found Ion Saliu's website long before posting the above but it is of no importance. Apparently, you think that such knowledge adds to your Lottery IQ. If you investigated Don Catlin a little further you would learn that, among other things, he IS a consultant. But that information would NOT add any points to your Lottery IQ. And since his math is not to your liking, it won't add any points to any other IQ you might possess.

Are you implying that the casino industry makes its money using mat... [ More ]

Reply #13

Stack47 — Wed, 20 Jul 2011 22:17:40 GMT

When you can show that your winnings are positively correlated with your Lottery IQ and not the number of tickets you purchase, publish your results and become famous.

It's obvious you searched the name Ion Saliu AFTER I mentioned I knew who he was in my reply to Dr. San. How many of your lottery kindergarten variety statements do you want me to post that proves the lottery IQ of LP drops several notches every time you post?

It's incredible that you would accept the self serving garbage... [ More ]

Reply #12

dr san — Wed, 20 Jul 2011 10:46:53 GMT

Hello, Jimmy, as the basis of lottery games in half the forecast is mathematically possible and the other half random example, in a game 49 / 6

Predicting trios and blocks, it is mathematically possible and feasible in all sweepstakes

The difficulty and the other part of the random part to complete the bet six

Based on this concept, how to set up lottery system?

Maybe wheels with this concept? What is the most perfect mother of the wheels?

A system that has aproveitamentode 80% of... [ More ]

Reply #11

jimmy4164 — Wed, 20 Jul 2011 05:52:23 GMT

This is hilarious!

When Ion Saliu had his bogus stuff deleted at Wikipedia he bemoaned his plight. Here is what one of the gatekeepers said in reply: (Some LP people call the gatekeepers Lottery Nazis!)

Wikipedia is an encyclopedia, not a place to post your own theories. See Wikipedia:No original research. andy 19:18, 20 June 2006 (UTC) I've run into this issue before where my mathematical contributions were deleted, so I empathize with you somewhat. Please try getting correct references... [ More ]

Reply #10

Stack47 — Tue, 19 Jul 2011 22:47:30 GMT

Just the fact I knew the Dr. was talking about Ion Saliu means I'm many notches above your lottery IQ.

Stick to posting what you do best; the odds and payoffs of pick-3 games and I'm sure some day you'll find someone that didn't already know them.

Reply #9

jimmy4164 — Tue, 19 Jul 2011 19:11:00 GMT

Really?

I didn't think anything was over your head.

I thought you knew it all.

Reply #8

Stack47 — Tue, 19 Jul 2011 14:21:01 GMT

I believe by changing (1/1000) to (1/100), the mean is 79.2, but Ion Saliu's formulas are usually way way over my head.

Reply #7

dr san — Tue, 19 Jul 2011 14:13:28 GMT

Hello, Pump, you can help me see this idea, eg

After choosing the example = 01.13 pair make a run .....

Choosing pairs, instead of picking numbers, the wheel

Choose pairs, provided the pair hitting hits

Linked to the record of results, that at most one pair of each

Draw, an example jogo49 / 6 can not have 3 raffles numerosdos

Previous positions and also on the list of backward pairings on the list

We have 6 positions to represent letters by letter A 1 position, up to 6

Th... [ More ]

Reply #6

dr san — Tue, 19 Jul 2011 11:14:38 GMT

Hello, pumpi76, yes I'm from Brazil, a city in southern Brazil, Bento Gon alves, Rio Grande do Sul google.pumpi see ok, comes the inspiration for quand0 lotus, you have to think so = that the basis of this lottery is, can be predicted mathematically is to some extent after random

Example in a game 49 / 6 can be predicted mathematically until 3 to 4 with confidence others are random, the problem of wheels that they have flaws in their construction ok

Not getting a smaller building, pump, wa... [ More ]

Reply #5

pumpi76 — Tue, 19 Jul 2011 00:17:11 GMT

dr. san are you really from brazil...really or are you from somewhere else...

Reply #4

dr san — Mon, 18 Jul 2011 20:30:24 GMT

Hello, ok, ok stack, you think it is possible to calculate the lottery pairs pick3

With the FFG ion formula? But the calculation of the pairs ok

Reply #3

Stack47 — Mon, 18 Jul 2011 20:05:41 GMT

I believe you're referring to filtering full wheels and Lottery Director has a free wheeling program. On the website they have examples of compound wheels and that may be what you're looking for.

Reply #2

dr san — Mon, 18 Jul 2011 12:58:26 GMT

Hello, stack47, is it possible to create wheels that can be,

Pin down the digits that is, before I choose the digits to set a weight

For each digit, example, I want the left digit is 1,4,2 =

And the right weights and then set = 4,5,8,9 in the digits, so instead of picking numbers

If you choose weights to create wheels

Reply #1

Stack47 — Mon, 18 Jul 2011 12:47:34 GMT

The smallest 3 if 4 wheel I found has 18 box combos and the 2 if 4 has 3. A 1 if 4 wheel must have 3 combos too because all ten digits must be used. Jade has a very nice simple wheel generator that you can install on your computer.

http://www.jadexcode.com/ASimpleWheelGenerator.aspx

A Wheel Question...

pumpi76 — Mon, 18 Jul 2011 05:57:15 GMT

i ll give you an example...

a 4/4 box wheel size 10 will cost you: $210 dollars a 3/4 box wheel size 10 will cost you i dont know: $70 to play using all 10 numbers...

My question is a: a 2/4 box wheel size 8 might cost you i dont know: $12, now do you see the: $70 - $12 = $58 dollars or $210 - $12 = $98 dollars difference...do you see the $58 dollars difference...Question is Cant you take those $58 dollars difference create another wheel that might have 2/4 or several 1/4 size 8 that might... [ More ]