A discussion of the math, probability and theories of the the Lottery

Reply #20

CashCrown — Mon, 18 May 2015 18:31:35 GMT

Tom - You are just the person I need to talk to. I'm retired - sorta - but have spent many hours on the Lotto Texas drawings. Started and learned some things with the Scratch-Offs, but have figured out some things related to the 'value' of certain numbers. I am a firm believer that the numbers chosen (I use chosen loosely) are, well, let's just say related to month-day-year. Something else of interest - look at the winners zip and address on scratch tickets and you will find a constant number in... [ More ]

Reply #19

RJOh — Wed, 22 Apr 2015 23:12:04 GMT

Members who program as a hobby shouldn't distribute their programs since there are many bugs that can pop up that the regular users aren't willing to deal with and they expect the programmers to correct them even if they aren't professionals.

I have some old GWBasic programs that I complied and they worked fine on Windows XP until MicroSoft stopped supporting it. I've been converting them to work on Windows 8 using QB64 and coming up with a lot of surprises that I'm willing to work around un... [ More ]

Reply #18

SergeM — Wed, 22 Apr 2015 14:49:42 GMT

Many of the lotterypost members are into programming as hobby or as profession. For those it is the making of applications that more often are not meant to be distributed. The fun is in using the self made applications and in playing real cash.

Reply #17

RJOh — Tue, 21 Apr 2015 18:28:41 GMT

Most people claim losing money isn't entertaining but that's what playing the lotteries is unless you get lucky.

Reply #16

SergeM — Tue, 21 Apr 2015 13:21:26 GMT

By deduction it is do not play, unless you want to lose on it. Don't even try your luck when you badly need the money. You just might come short in money. No system will help, no program will do it, facts are there, the only winners are those who earn on ticket sales.

Reply #15

RJOh — Mon, 20 Apr 2015 18:09:41 GMT

To match the odds of winning any lottery prize requires the player to spent more than the prize is worth so anyone playing should expect to lose money unless they get lucky.

Reply #14

SergeM — Mon, 20 Apr 2015 17:48:20 GMT

The average probability is that you lose money. The bank has the advantage. If you win, you pay taxes or not on the payout, depending of where you live. Consider that your money is taxed money and when you play it is taxed again, finally your eventual wins are also taxed. When you buy something with the net wins, the price again contains taxes. Are you a tax accountant

Reply #13

RJOh — Mon, 20 Apr 2015 05:48:37 GMT

With 15 mega millions ticket you can play all 15 megaballs guaranteeing at least $1 or 7% of your money back.

Reply #12

Murgatroyd — Fri, 27 Mar 2015 00:33:44 GMT

If you're only concerned with the jackpot and don't care about lesser prizes, you're about 20% more likely to win with 16 mega millions tickets. The probability for both options is still worse than 1 in 15 million.

Reply #11

dr san — Thu, 12 Mar 2015 14:10:00 GMT

http://www.di.ubi.pt...Monte Carlo.pdf

http://www.business-...forum.asp?t=189

http://pt.wikipedia...._de_Monte_Carlo

http://www.anthony-v...om/vba/vba5.htm

http://www.vbforums....e-Carlo-method

Reply #10

dauzzo101 — Thu, 12 Mar 2015 09:18:58 GMT

based on your research and fact findings to win a jackpot, is it better to play 16 mega millions tickets each drawing or play 9 powerball tickets each drawing?

best regards...

Reply #9

dainbramaged — Mon, 02 Mar 2015 03:35:54 GMT

RL...that was well said, great analogy. I have actually put a lot of effort into coding my selection scripts to keep me away from where the holes have already been dug. My observation is that lightning rarely strikes twice in the lottery. Last weeks winner is next weeks loser from now on.

Reply #8

riscknight — Sun, 01 Mar 2015 21:54:53 GMT

I have said many times that I

play the lottery like searching for a lost treasure. I get out all my maps, charts etc.. and decide where I will

dig next. If someone gets there before me it's no problem, the treasure is always is replaced by another.

RL

You'll find your own treasure; I am quite sure. Just keep *trying* and 'searching'.

Reply #7

SergeM — Fri, 27 Feb 2015 18:02:38 GMT

Use average instead of sums

Reply #6

RL-RANDOMLOGIC — Fri, 27 Feb 2015 13:41:01 GMT

dainbramaged

The best way to calculate filter ranges is to use the population and distribution taken from the entire matrix.

Most patterns are after the fact illusions and as such it's very hard to tell the difference until after the draw

has come and gone. There are many tips and tricks that can help put us closer but chance is going to play

a role no matter how much effort we put into our selections. Too much analysis, leads to paralysis. Maybe

the best trick is knowing when to... [ More ]

Reply #5

dainbramaged — Fri, 27 Feb 2015 07:14:02 GMT

Hi RL

I agree with you about the filters. My observation has been that whenever I notice a pattern its already run its course and it never shows again. The only pattern is that there is no pattern so how do you base a filter on that? I try to build my guesses around odds and probability. i.e. sequential numbers. For MM, 12345 and the like only compose 71 combinations out of the 275 million possibilities. Thats a very small percentage so i don't play them. It doesn't mean it cant or wont happe... [ More ]

Reply #4

RL-RANDOMLOGIC — Thu, 26 Feb 2015 20:18:20 GMT

tdempsey

To add a picture to your post you have a couple options. You can upgrade your LP account and

then upload you pics or use something like tinypic. Link- http://tinypic.com/ After uploading your

image Tinypic will provide a link that you can copy and paste into the post using the tools Todd has

provided.

As for the topic content I think just about everything one could imagine has been posted here at

one time or another. Lots of good ideas that can help but none go s... [ More ]

Reply #3

dr san — Wed, 25 Feb 2015 14:24:47 GMT

Hello, td, the filters have a problem, they can give conflicts need

Find basic patterns and then rotating filter

Reply #2

dainbramaged — Wed, 25 Feb 2015 13:21:48 GMT

Hello,

I would be willing to engage in a discussion with you. I have tried to make use of sums before but didn't have any luck with it. I never could formulate any kind of strategy for it so I was akin to blind man with a bb gun trying to shoot a bullet that was traveling at light speed. But I guess that is the way the lottery is designed, eh

Reply #1

tdempsey — Tue, 24 Feb 2015 05:51:11 GMT

Question #1 - what is the proper way to post an in-line image in my post? I used the message form with the Windows path.

A discussion of the math, probability and theories of the the Lottery

tdempsey — Tue, 24 Feb 2015 05:48:11 GMT

Hi!

I have many filters I have developed concerning the lottery and wanted to start a discussion on my math and probability theories with others who are interested. I have been a computer programmer for over 20 years and have worked on the lottery for other 12 years.

Of course, many of these concepts are in the books but I also have other concepts I want to share and explore. Discussing the book theories would be helpful.

Let me know if others are interested. I am guessing this is the b... [ More ]