If You Live Long Enough ... Good Chance You Will Win !

Reply #25

savagegoose — Tue, 16 Jun 2015 23:38:00 GMT

well i started buying the least amount i could in every draw i can. they messed that up out here by increasing the number of lines that are the min entry for most of the games. I had a blog entry here i used to update every time they changed the goal posts. ill try n find the link.

basically if i could by 1 line in a game, for $1, id buy that. im running 3 syndicates now. and am a member of 5. all pretty much ran on the smape plan, and yea it does add up.

this is the blog

htt... [ More ]

Reply #24

Crazy Wombat — Tue, 16 Jun 2015 12:59:21 GMT

That would be a bummer ... the only thing that I can think of that would be worse ... actually laying in your coffin with an active lottery ticket with three draws still remaining and your numbers finally roll out.

It's not too bad if your numbers do come out and you don't have a ticket ... but still having a few plays left on a ticket ... well, it's just not a good way to go !!!

I just bought 13 advance Match 6 (6/49) drawings till the end of July ... I have to make it to August !

...... [ More ]

Reply #23

alsports2000 — Tue, 16 Jun 2015 00:05:57 GMT

Or you could of said: Do feel lucky punk? well do you? Go ahead make my day....

Reply #22

Raven62 — Mon, 15 Jun 2015 12:10:16 GMT

As luck would have it: No matter how long you play: Your numbers will be drawn the one time you don't buy a ticket...

Reply #21

RJOh — Mon, 15 Jun 2015 12:00:39 GMT

That's only true if you're playing a winning field of 13,986,816. The actual winning field most times is a lot less, for example the winning field of 13,986,816 include combinations where the lowest number is higher than 40 and combinations where the highest number is less than 10.

How many times have such combinations won? By simple covering combinations within the range of combinations that hit 95% of the time you probably will reduced you winning field to less than 7M combinations. You ha... [ More ]

Reply #20

Crazy Wombat — Mon, 15 Jun 2015 11:13:12 GMT

SG ... I'd like a little more detail on what you just posted. I think I understand what you are saying ... so buy small means one or two tickets for a game ... or one or two tickets for several games?

So if you are buying small for several games then that could still be a substantial amount of money.

When you say buy often ... OK so you are playing one game or several games for every drawing ... could also add up ... but only in a small way compared to the lottery spending of some players.... [ More ]

Reply #19

savagegoose — Mon, 15 Jun 2015 10:38:58 GMT

thats why i try to stick to my buy small , buy often regime

Reply #18

RJOh — Mon, 15 Jun 2015 02:03:29 GMT

Jadelottery produced a graph several years back that showed while combinations are random, numbers in those combinations act in predictable patterns. He tracked numbers in combinations of particular lotteries for a long period of time and patterns of number behavior appeared. For example when particular numbers were drawn depending on the numbers in the previous drawing the number in the next drawing would be in a group of 10-15 numbers 90% of the time.

While this still produced a rather larg... [ More ]

Reply #17

MonEl — Sun, 14 Jun 2015 19:42:37 GMT

It seems to me that no matter how many drawings and years go by, when you buy 1 number (1 line) for each drawing your chances will always be 1 in 13,983,816 if as you said those are the odds of winning.

If you do buy half of 13,983,816 for anyone particular drawing then for that particular drawing you might have a 50% of winning.

After all, every-time that you buy 1 line for that kind of game your chances are 1 in 13,983,816 if you are right about those odds for that game.

That would pr... [ More ]

Reply #16

GiveFive — Sun, 14 Jun 2015 13:12:50 GMT

When it comes to winning a lottery jackpot, I always try to keep my optimism in check with a healthy dose of reality. I appreciate how long the odds/years truly are so I don't go overboard by spending a lot of money on tickets. Anyone who spends a lot of money playing the lottery will quickly learn that even though they may have spent a thousand dollars in one particular drawing, they only enhanced their chances of winning by a very insignificant amount. If you spent a hundred thousand dollars i... [ More ]

Reply #15

RJOh — Sun, 14 Jun 2015 13:08:16 GMT

Ohio has a 6/49 game of which I have match 5/6 twice and even posted the combination I matched 5of6 on the prediction board three years ago. After which I thought was only a matter of time before I matched 6of6 for a jackpot but haven't come that close since. It even roll to $77M before it was hit before its last hit. So I know about getting lucky.

Ohio Classic Lotto(6/49) starts at $1M and roll $100K after each drawing if there's no winner so it takes a while with its 50% cash payout to rol... [ More ]

Reply #14

Crazy Wombat — Sun, 14 Jun 2015 12:46:02 GMT

Hi RJOH ... I hope you and others are not taking these posts too serious ... odds are odds and 'years are years and if ever the two should meet, it still means most people will die broke in lottery terms .

There will be a few lucky ducks ... there always are, but most will be lucky to win only some chump change in their lifetime !!!

Now as to the 6/49 game ... what you say is true, except for PA ... the PA 6/49 game is the easiest 6/49 game to hit of all the various 6/49 games. There's pos... [ More ]

Reply #13

zephbe — Sun, 14 Jun 2015 12:17:57 GMT

just keep playing

Reply #12

RJOh — Sun, 14 Jun 2015 12:04:02 GMT

I play the 6/49 game type for the better odds over MM and PB ... so in my head I think I have a shot at some decent money with that strategy ... but change the odds to years and it starts to sink in better.

The odds of winning a jackpot in a 6/49 game has always been 1:13,983,816 which have always meant players could buy tickets over several life times and never win a jackpot. Such games going months and some times a year without a winner just drives that point home. Any one thinking their tu... [ More ]

Reply #11

Crazy Wombat — Sun, 14 Jun 2015 07:54:03 GMT

Thanks LM for the additional information ... that's what was missing from this conversation.

Now we can all plan accordingly for future plays ... I'm sure it will only be a matter of time till some LP member lands a jackpot.

To get serious ... maybe odds don't register or relate to the average person but changing the odds to years and we can all understand that.

I play the 6/49 game type for the better odds over MM and PB ... so in my head I think I have a shot at some decent money with... [ More ]

Reply #10

LottoMetro — Sun, 14 Jun 2015 00:38:41 GMT

100 tickets per day.......

50% chance of win:

MM 4916 years PB 3327 years

90% chance of win:

MM 16332 years PB 11054 years

Important to point out that this and the OP calculation assumes all tickets are randomly generated each time (i.e. no deterministic unique selections). Because of this, in order to meet the 90% confidence interval in MM you would have to buy nearly 600 million tickets. In reality, anybody buying a sum of tickets greater than the casual player would not be

Reply #9

bthom04 — Sun, 14 Jun 2015 00:23:49 GMT

People beat the odds all the time it's just a matter of persistence and patience

Reply #8

RJOh — Sat, 13 Jun 2015 23:44:40 GMT

Nobody can wait that long but what other choice do you have

Reply #7

zephbe — Sat, 13 Jun 2015 17:46:09 GMT

Some people have played for 6 months -some played for years before they finally won. They just did not give up. That encourages me to keep tickets in for the game(s) I want to win. Persistence.

Reply #6

noise-gate — Sat, 13 Jun 2015 15:56:11 GMT

From time to time l will look at a map of the Continental US and know that somewhere out there, is one convenience store or other, that will be selling the winning ticket and that for me is a sobering thought. Armed with that image, l know going in that when l give my playslip to the store clerk- l have as much of a chance of pulling it off as anyone else. Reality must kick in before putting down your money..at least it does for me.

** As Yoda once said to Luke Skywalker Remember the Cave. F... [ More ]

Reply #5

Crazy Wombat — Sat, 13 Jun 2015 15:16:58 GMT

CT ... Of course I can only speak for myself ... but I can't wait that long !

Others may have a different view or time frame.

...

Reply #4

Coin Toss — Sat, 13 Jun 2015 15:01:25 GMT

There's a thread or a post here on LP that was about some study that said your numbers will come up but it might take 483 years.

Another said over 1100 years.

Reply #3

Crazy Wombat — Sat, 13 Jun 2015 14:18:09 GMT

Yeah ... that's good ... forgot that one!

I am thinking that the Lottery Terminal with the flashing lights is actually laughing at me ... calling me a punk loser ... but I can throw that right back at it ... Go ahead,,,,, Make my day !!!

...

Reply #2

CDanaT — Sat, 13 Jun 2015 12:33:17 GMT

When it comes to possessing the winning numbers on a single ticket, I will reply with other famous Dirty Harry Callahan

Go ahead,,,,, Make my day

Reply #1

hearsetrax — Sat, 13 Jun 2015 09:55:05 GMT

If You Live Long Enough ... Good Chance You Will Win !

Crazy Wombat — Sat, 13 Jun 2015 09:34:32 GMT

I stumbled across a site dealing with actual odds of winning a lottery game. Since I am attracted to a 6/49 game with the better odds ... I found this depressing question dealing with a 6/49 game ... I can only imagine the answer for the PB and MM.

I have been playing lotteries and sweepstakes now for two months straight. Will I ever hit a jackpot? And when?

The short answer is no, you will never win. The odds of winning the usual 6/49 lottery are 1 in 13,983,816. You would have to pla... [ More ]