What Data Do You Use?

Reply #2

garyo1954 — Fri, 17 Sep 2021 23:55:38 GMT

That's a good point. I have used the test draws in the past, but it just makes a bigger mess keeping up with the unofficial and official, confirmed payable numbers. And I saw it a lot in the Pick 3 forum where someone's picks (LadyC talking to you) hit quite often in the unofficial pre-tests.

Without adding them back in, I'd venture a guess the Average out time would go up. I say that after sitting and watching the program run through each combination. Each started out low (at whatever the... [ More ]

Reply #1

cottoneyedjoe — Fri, 17 Sep 2021 23:12:48 GMT

Texas is unique because the state lottery publishes the test draw results. The first decision to make is not how many draws to count, but whether to include the test draws or only use the official draws. They do 4-6 pre-draws before the real one.

What Data Do You Use?

garyo1954 — Fri, 17 Sep 2021 19:02:57 GMT

All data lies! Depending on the number of draws it might be a small lie, or one that's an outright boldfaced lie. Either way its likely giving the player a confidence in his mathematics when he/she should be questioning the empirical truth of the data.

Take, for example the Texas Pick 3. Looking at pairs we find 58, 48, 26, 28, 23 to be the most consistent hitters throughout the total number of draws. They average a hit between every 17 to 18 games. And we see that each has been out of pla... [ More ]