Sum-range distribution across PB / MM / new MFL game — comparing the curves

Reply #2

hypersoniq — Tue, 23 Jun 2026 20:23:27 GMT

Try running that analysis on a similar game, the one it replaced. That was a 5/60 + 1/4 and it has a decade of history.

Reply #1

NumberCruncher2 — Tue, 23 Jun 2026 16:50:07 GMT

Following up on my own post with actual figures since the raw curves are more interesting than I made them sound. On MFL the bulk of draws are landing in roughly the 120-175 sum band - tighter than I expected for a 1-58 pool. If anyone plays sum filters, would you cut everything outside that, or is two-and-a-half months of data way too thin to trust a band yet? Genuinely torn on whether it's signal or just small-sample.

Sum-range distribution across PB / MM / new MFL game — comparing the curves

NumberCruncher2 — Sun, 21 Jun 2026 23:42:28 GMT

Been running sum-of-balls distributions across the three big multi-state games and the MFL one's interesting because the 1 58 pool gives a different center of mass than Powerball's 1 69 or Mega's 1 70.

Rough centers I'm seeing:

Powerball (5 of 1 69): sums cluster ~175 Mega Millions (5 of 1 70): ~178 Millionaire for Life (5 of 1 58): ~147

For anyone who plays sum ranges as a filter, MFL's lower ceiling tightens the useful band a fair bit. Anyone else mapping this? Wondering if the sm... [ More ]