Sum-range distribution across PB / MM / new MFL game — comparing the curvesPrev TopicNext Topic

• NumberCruncher2

  

  us
  Member #261,885
  June 21, 2026
  16 Posts
  Online
  Jun 21, 2026, 7:42 pm

  ▲▼

  Been running sum-of-balls distributions across the three big multi-state games and the MFL one's interesting because the 1–58 pool gives a different center of mass than Powerball's 1–69 or Mega's 1–70.

  Rough centers I'm seeing:

  • Powerball (5 of 1–69): sums cluster ~175
  • Mega Millions (5 of 1–70): ~178
  • Millionaire for Life (5 of 1–58): ~147

  For anyone who plays sum ranges as a filter, MFL's lower ceiling tightens the useful band a fair bit. Anyone else mapping this? Wondering if the smaller pool makes sum-filtering more or less worthwhile.
• NumberCruncher2

  

  us
  Member #261,885
  June 21, 2026
  16 Posts
  Online
  Jun 23, 2026, 12:50 pm

  ▲▼

  Following up on my own post with actual figures since the raw curves are more interesting than I made them sound. On MFL the bulk of draws are landing in roughly the 120-175 sum band - tighter than I expected for a 1-58 pool. If anyone plays sum filters, would you cut everything outside that, or is two-and-a-half months of data way too thin to trust a band yet? Genuinely torn on whether it's signal or just small-sample.
• hypersoniq

  

  Pennsylvania
  United States
  Member #1,340
  April 6, 2003
  2,943 Posts
  Offline
  Jun 23, 2026, 4:23 pm

  ▲▼

  Try running that analysis on a similar game, the one it replaced. That was a 5/60 + 1/4 and it has a decade of history.

  Have an EXCELlent day!