Search

Craps Pass Line SimulationReply
Do not post every iteration run of a Monte Carlo simulation. It's useless compared to a summary. Plus, it looks like spam.
Aug 1, 2023, 12:40 pm - Wavepack - Mathematics Forum

NUMEROLOGY FASINATING Numbers Rule the UniverseReply
BULL snip = 2+21+12+12+19+8+9+20 = 103 HOT 103 STRAIGHT 3 DIGIT ALL STATES This post has been automatically changed by the Lottery Post computer system to remove inappropriate content and/or spam.
Sep 14, 2023, 2:55 am - cinjo59 - Mathematics Forum

Math Geniuses, Help!! "SLAG" Odd/Even Analysis - Chart IReply
Guessing like an orangutan, or just doing a Quick Pick (same thing), is better than putting credence in some snip amamie lottery system claiming some meaning out of random fluctuations. Since you asked, what I would do (and, understand, lotteries are purely for entertainment) is create plays with completely random unique random numbers on each play. This can be easily done by someone with fairly basic programming skills. Why do this? Well, statistically, this has about the same Expected Value as
May 24, 2022, 7:46 pm - Orange71 - Mathematics Forum

Mega Millions Just The JackpotReply
To your point about variance, yes, JTJ is obviously going to be higher than a regular ticket. Both are going to be a huge variance, regardless. So, if variance is the concern, don't play the games to begin with. You will get a few bucks back by playing a regular ticket and hitting the minor prizes, but as percentage of $ spent, it's still very low. The return is basically predicated on hitting the jackpot, which the average person more than likely would not hit in a thousand lifetimes. Ther
Jul 17, 2023, 8:17 pm - Orange71 - Mathematics Forum

Mega Millions - is a $1, $2, or $3 ticket the best value (EV)?Reply
Sorry, I messed up the Just the Jackpot (JTJ) pricing. It's $3 for 2 tickets, not $1 for 1 ticket. Comparing JTJ to regular ticket, then, we have the following equation for the equal EV / unit bet: (2/3)(kJ)p = (1/2)(kJ)p + A/2 Therefore, J = 3A/(kp). Comparing JTJ to Megaplier ($3) ticket, we have the following: (2/3)(kJ)p = (1/3)(kJ)p + (3A)/3 Therefore, again, J = 3A/(kp) To re-iterate Regular Ticket vs Megaplier: (1/2)(kJ)p + A/2 = (1/3)(kJ)p + (3A)/3 Once again,
Jul 27, 2022, 2:19 pm - Orange71 - Mathematics Forum