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How do I prove my state lottery's CGNs are fixed?

Last post 16 hours ago by JADELottery. 123 replies.

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Posted: March 29, 2008, 11:51 am - IP Logged Bottom

Bravo JadeLottery,

 I've been watching your progress on this in the background for quite some time. I am a player and do monitor the badger5 on a daily basis. While I will admit I'm not a wheel player and most of your analysis is way beyond my comprehension I have been very intrigued by it.

I to have noticed many things that seem out of the norm from your traditional ball lotteries. It was very obvious to me that there have been "adjustments" made during the life of badger5 especially at the beginning. Whether it is human intervention or software "adjusting" itself I don't know... but it is there.

For instance one of the many noticeable oddities. There have been 19 pentads occuring twice in the history of draws. Of those 7 are within months of each other and a few within weeks. Hardly what you would expect to see within a truly random lottery.

11/07/05 Mon,2,8,11,12,31
08/18/05 Thu,2,8,11,12,31

10/08/04 Fri,2,11,19,26,30
09/16/04 Thu,2,11,19,26,30

03/20/07 Tue,5,6,8,15,19
02/09/07 Fri,5,6,8,15,19

09/29/07 Sat,5,13,17,19,29
08/16/07 Thu,5,13,17,19,29

07/07/05 Thu,6,16,19,21,28
06/16/05 Thu,6,16,19,21,28

 for those that always play the same numbers... nice play Wink

 

Anyhow I just wanted to chime in and let you know...nice work...and I'm glad to see someone else thinks that something smells like dead carp in lake mendota! 

JADELottery's avatar - SnowManStaryNight
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Posted: March 29, 2008, 5:36 pm - IP Logged Bottom Top

Bravo JadeLottery,

 I've been watching your progress on this in the background for quite some time. I am a player and do monitor the badger5 on a daily basis. While I will admit I'm not a wheel player and most of your analysis is way beyond my comprehension I have been very intrigued by it.

I to have noticed many things that seem out of the norm from your traditional ball lotteries. It was very obvious to me that there have been "adjustments" made during the life of badger5 especially at the beginning. Whether it is human intervention or software "adjusting" itself I don't know... but it is there.

For instance one of the many noticeable oddities. There have been 19 pentads occuring twice in the history of draws. Of those 7 are within months of each other and a few within weeks. Hardly what you would expect to see within a truly random lottery.

11/07/05 Mon,2,8,11,12,31
08/18/05 Thu,2,8,11,12,31

10/08/04 Fri,2,11,19,26,30
09/16/04 Thu,2,11,19,26,30

03/20/07 Tue,5,6,8,15,19
02/09/07 Fri,5,6,8,15,19

09/29/07 Sat,5,13,17,19,29
08/16/07 Thu,5,13,17,19,29

07/07/05 Thu,6,16,19,21,28
06/16/05 Thu,6,16,19,21,28

 for those that always play the same numbers... nice play Wink

 

Anyhow I just wanted to chime in and let you know...nice work...and I'm glad to see someone else thinks that something smells like dead carp in lake mendota! 

Sledgemoto,

Thanks, I try to make this as easy to understand as possible. However, some of the number crunching can get a bit wielding at times. I find that graphs help a lot when trying to talk about an abstract number analysis and animated graphs help out even more. It's as close to laymen as I can get without loosing much of the fundamental concept of the analysis, method or idea.

Yeah, there are many unreasonable occurrences during the entire span of this computer generated number scheme and even more in the recent past 175 draws. I've simulated this lottery myself on my own computer and don't see 1/10th the number of anomalies I'm seeing in Badger 5. I've run 10's of thousands of draws during this whole thing and none of my results seem to have a reasonable relationship to the kinds of number selections the Badger 5 is kicking out.

My Self Picks are optimized to produce
the most number of wins with
the least amount of effort.

Order is a subset of Chaos.

Thank You,
Doug

JADELottery's avatar - SnowManStaryNight
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Posted: April 3, 2008, 11:55 am - IP Logged Bottom Top

Ok, now that most of you have viewed the graph animation, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VfYxlTZYE8c, of just one of the anomalies that have plagued the Badger 5 drawings since 2007-10-05. I'd like to address some other issues that have arisen during this topic. There is a misperception being injected into the mindset of those who are reading this. The misperception is that my objective in this post and others is to bring down my state lottery. That is not correct; at no point during this topic or any other have I made it a point to 'Bring down the Lottery'. Actually, quite the opposite, I'd like to see my state lottery continue on for many years making winning smiles and millionaires of many Wisconsinites for a long time. It's the system that is currently being use to make those happy faces, that is in doubt.

I remember a time when playing the lottery was fun and exciting. I'd get my numbers and the night of the drawing I'd sit and watch the balls come down the chute... oh! there's a 7...  and sometimes I'd win, sometimes I'd loose, but IT WAS EXCITING EITHER WAY. Now, we have nothing, not even a televised drawing of the Powerball here in Wisconsin. What's to be excited about? Nothing! To add even more discuss to the non-excitement, the draws aren't even real.

But you know what, I tried to make it exciting by giving it a try. Ok, if the lottery is saying is as good as the real thing, maybe I could be wrong and need to regenerate the excitement in a different way. After playing for a while I began seeing a dramatic difference in what I was winning, or the lack thereof. I didn't expect to win the jackpot, but this was ridiculous; even getting the lower tier prizes were like trying to shoot for the jackpot. It was unrealistic and unreasonable to see these kind of things happening, given this was supposed to be a truly random drawing. I had to stop playing and just monitor the drawings.

Later I began trying some things, but this time instead of playing them, I'd post them here at the LP in either the topics or predictions board. I noticed that even then my theories, systems and picks began running cold. This was very strange, I mean, How could the lottery be by coincidence picking numbers that acted contrary to what I was picking? Then it stuck me, It's not coincidence. Typically, a coincidence will come and go, but this was permanent, not reasonable and not logical given the fact that the numbers are suppose to be random. This is what ultimately lead to this topic, the unreasonable selection of numbers.

Now, it would be easy to say that this is about trying to predict exactly what combination will occur, but it's not. The approach to this is to analyze a set of numbers over a span of draws to see what is happening as compared to what is reasonable for that same draw span. No single draw or single number is in question. It is the culmination of all the draws and numbers during a span of draws that is used to give a snap shot of what is going on in the lottery's selection process. A single draw or single number may have some minor influence, but it cannot by their single instum state affect the whole span of draws drastically. The analytical sum of the draws themselves are greater than the individual analysis of the draws themselves.

To put it simply, it is not the lottery itself that is in question, it is the number selecting system that supports it that is.

My Self Picks are optimized to produce
the most number of wins with
the least amount of effort.

Order is a subset of Chaos.

Thank You,
Doug

JADELottery's avatar - SnowManStaryNight
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Posted: April 10, 2008, 2:40 am - IP Logged Bottom Top

Site updates are interfering with the auto posting of the Badger 5 wheel on a tight random schedule of 19:54 to 19:58 daily. I've reprogrammed the auto posting to an expanded random selection time frame of 00:00 to 19:58 daily to increase the probability of auto posting the Badger 5 wheel when LP site updates are being done.

My Self Picks are optimized to produce
the most number of wins with
the least amount of effort.

Order is a subset of Chaos.

Thank You,
Doug

JADELottery's avatar - SnowManStaryNight
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Posted: April 26, 2008, 2:00 am - IP Logged Bottom Top

We're approaching draw 200 for Exp. 1 and Exp. 2. We'll add more data and fill in some additional information sometime after.

My Self Picks are optimized to produce
the most number of wins with
the least amount of effort.

Order is a subset of Chaos.

Thank You,
Doug

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Posted: April 29, 2008, 2:36 pm - IP Logged Bottom Top

Jadelottery's number crunching is well over my head. Sladgemooto's post makes it very obvious that Wisconsin had & maybe has a big problem.

But to prove the game is fixed I think you should crunch the numbers on other games as well. The larger the pool of numbers the greater the variation from what we might consider random will be in a relative short time span.As an example, chart. the first digit in either a pick three or four game.The odds tell you any given number should come up an average of 1 out of ten & they do over long periods of time. However, many times a number will go over fourty drawings without hitting & in the Ohio lottery I have seen a number go over ninety. I only chart Ohio but I'm sure this holds true in all random state drawings.

My theory is that in any given game a number has the capacity not to be selected tens times the odds of it being selected. As an example, the odds of a pick three are one in 1000 so any given number has the capacity not to be selected in 10,000 drawings. I haven't calculated the number of drawing it has been, but in Ohio the number 023 has not hit since January 7,1984. That's over twenty years !!

My point is that in a truly random drawing many what we think of as anomalies will occur in short time periods. A drawing of ninety numbers is not sufficient proof for the pick three. There should be thousands of anomalies in a pick 5 game over a short duration of 90 drawings. If there weren't it wouldn't be random.

JADELottery's avatar - SnowManStaryNight
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Posted: April 29, 2008, 2:53 pm - IP Logged Bottom Top

Jadelottery's number crunching is well over my head. Sladgemooto's post makes it very obvious that Wisconsin had & maybe has a big problem.

But to prove the game is fixed I think you should crunch the numbers on other games as well. The larger the pool of numbers the greater the variation from what we might consider random will be in a relative short time span.As an example, chart. the first digit in either a pick three or four game.The odds tell you any given number should come up an average of 1 out of ten & they do over long periods of time. However, many times a number will go over fourty drawings without hitting & in the Ohio lottery I have seen a number go over ninety. I only chart Ohio but I'm sure this holds true in all random state drawings.

My theory is that in any given game a number has the capacity not to be selected tens times the odds of it being selected. As an example, the odds of a pick three are one in 1000 so any given number has the capacity not to be selected in 10,000 drawings. I haven't calculated the number of drawing it has been, but in Ohio the number 023 has not hit since January 7,1984. That's over twenty years !!

My point is that in a truly random drawing many what we think of as anomalies will occur in short time periods. A drawing of ninety numbers is not sufficient proof for the pick three. There should be thousands of anomalies in a pick 5 game over a short duration of 90 drawings. If there weren't it wouldn't be random.

I'm working on making fraud detection a part of JADE LSG 2.0. That way anyone can number crunch themselves. This is just a test run of a few detection methods.

My Self Picks are optimized to produce
the most number of wins with
the least amount of effort.

Order is a subset of Chaos.

Thank You,
Doug

JADELottery's avatar - SnowManStaryNight
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Posted: April 29, 2008, 5:21 pm - IP Logged Bottom Top

Jadelottery's number crunching is well over my head. Sladgemooto's post makes it very obvious that Wisconsin had & maybe has a big problem.

But to prove the game is fixed I think you should crunch the numbers on other games as well. The larger the pool of numbers the greater the variation from what we might consider random will be in a relative short time span.As an example, chart. the first digit in either a pick three or four game.The odds tell you any given number should come up an average of 1 out of ten & they do over long periods of time. However, many times a number will go over fourty drawings without hitting & in the Ohio lottery I have seen a number go over ninety. I only chart Ohio but I'm sure this holds true in all random state drawings.

My theory is that in any given game a number has the capacity not to be selected tens times the odds of it being selected. As an example, the odds of a pick three are one in 1000 so any given number has the capacity not to be selected in 10,000 drawings. I haven't calculated the number of drawing it has been, but in Ohio the number 023 has not hit since January 7,1984. That's over twenty years !!

My point is that in a truly random drawing many what we think of as anomalies will occur in short time periods. A drawing of ninety numbers is not sufficient proof for the pick three. There should be thousands of anomalies in a pick 5 game over a short duration of 90 drawings. If there weren't it wouldn't be random.

In reference to the Ohio 023, is that midday, evening or both?

My Self Picks are optimized to produce
the most number of wins with
the least amount of effort.

Order is a subset of Chaos.

Thank You,
Doug

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Posted: May 1, 2008, 3:09 am - IP Logged Bottom Top

Below is the total run down of what we have so far.

Data Stream Chrono Badger 5 Draw Wheel, Matched Draw #'s, Line Match Distribution Scramble Order (Implemented 2008-03-04)
Index 0 Index 1 Posted Year Month Day A B C D E W M 0 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1 Yes 2007 12 4 2 4 11 15 22 0 3 12 23 11 4                              
2 2 Yes 2007 12 5 1 2 9 20 29 0 1 31 19                                  
3 3 Yes 2007 12 6 4 12 14 16 20 0 4 6 18 20 4 2                            
4 4 Yes 2007 12 7 1 12 13 15 18 0 4 3 22 20 5                              
5 5 Yes 2007 12 8 1 8 10 28 30 0 1 31 19                                  
6 6 Yes 2007 12 9 3 10 13 26 31 0 2 21 20 9                                
7 7 Yes 2007 12 10 2 5 6 22 25 0 1 31 19                                  
8 8 Yes 2007 12 11 5 11 13 16 25 9 3 10 22 18                                
9 9 Yes 2007 12 12 1 8 12 16 20 0 3 10 25 12 3                              
10 10 Yes 2007 12 13 9 11 17 24 26 4 2 17 28 5                                
11 11 Yes 2007 12 14 5 18 21 30 31 3 2 17 26 7                                
12 12 Yes 2007 12 15 7 9 12 16 28 8 2 18 26 6                                
13 13 Yes 2007 12 16 7 8 11 13 19 2 3 10 26 10 4                              
14 14 Yes 2007 12 17 2 4 7 21 28 3 1 30 20                                  
15 15 Yes 2007 12 18 18 20 24 26 30 8 2 19 23 8                                
16 16 Yes 2007 12 19 1 5 16 23 30 7 1 31 19                                  
17 17 Yes 2007 12 20 4 9 20 21 24 7 2 18 26 6                                
18 18 Yes 2007 12 21 8 12 15 18 26 0 3 10 23 16 1                              
19 19 Yes 2007 12 22 1 2 5 19 23 4 1 31 19                                  
20 20 Yes 2007 12 23 3 13 23 24 28 8 1 31 19                                  
21 21 Yes 2007 12 24 5 7 12 20 27 7 2 18 26 6                                
22 22 Yes 2007 12 25 1 16 18 19 31 4 3 9 26 14 1                              
23 23 Yes 2007 12 26 12 13 23 27 31 1 2 19 24 7