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SamBuca's Blog

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August 1, 2009, 1:33 amInverse filtering

Tried something different with the filtering.  Normally, I'd filter it according to the respective trend.  The MOST filter gets deflated against the most likely trend.  The LEAST filter gets deflated against the least likely trend.

However, I wanted to develop a better way to find cold/due numbers.  By inverting the filter, I should be able to see that.  For example, running the MOST numbers against the least likely filter can show a weak number because even though it manifested itself in the MOST group, it's matching a dead trend (which is different than a number simply not matching the most likely trend).  Running the LEAST numbers against the most likely filter can show numbers which are due because they haven't been drawn in a while, yet they match the most likely trend.

I'll be interested to see if it works.

I played with some key filters last night, but I'm not convinced it's real math.  I think I'm going to calculate the key filters AFTER the drawing results to try and reverse engineer the method.  If it starts matching draws, then I'll apply it towards a future drawing and see how it fairs.  It's very time consuming.

Entry #3
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August 1, 2009, 1:27 amFL Eve 7/31 189 Straight

189 straight showed up on my Florida list.  $330 (box+str).  No good for PA Daily Eve or Big 4 Eve.

Entry #2
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July 30, 2009, 9:44 pmHistorical Analysis System

Been playing--or rather, GAMBLING (more on that later)--since I was 18 and have been following people's predictions for several years.  It bugged me when someone would post a page with 300 numbers on it and then claim victory when they boxed a bet.  Another thing that bugged me was when someone would start picking single digits from the list and claiming victory.  It's way out of my budget to play $100 worth of bets and I don't believe a huge list of numbers is advantageous.

So, it occurred to me that I was GAMBLING and facing those 1:10,000 odds, not playing strategy to better my odds.  That's when I decided to do historical analysis to try and locate the bias within the particular set of balls or machines they rotate.

I compiled a database of all draws from the PA Eve Daily number.  Then I extract the data, further filter those numbers, and I have a better idea of what's going on.

I have 2 categories broken down into 3 bunches of numbers.  The MOST category, which picks the most frequently drawn of the single 0 to 9 digits and the LEAST category which picks the least frequently drawn.  The 3 groups are the time period in which I'm measuring the number of draws; since inception, 365 days and 30 days.

I'll use today's numbers to give an example.

The most drawn number of all time for the first digit is 0.  Second digit is 8.  Third is 6.  So, under the MOST category under "Inception" you'll see the combo "086".  I then lookup the last time this combination hit straight and the number of times that has been drawn.  The second combo down is the second most drawn numbers for each position.  I do the top 4 drawn digits.

Likewise, under "One Year" there's 8-3-7.  That means the number 8 has been drawn the most times in the first position over the last 365 days.  A difference for the 365/30 day numbers is the number of draws in that time period also contains the all-time number of draws after the slash.

In the case of a tie, the number drawn more recently wins.

The LEAST category is done the same way, only the sort order is opposite.  That means the 9-5-0 combo under the "Inception" group means the number 9 is drawn the least amount of times in the first position, 5 is drawn the least in the second, and 0 is drawn the least in the third.  In the case of a tie in these groups, the oldest number comes first.

At the bottom of those 6 groups is the most/least drawn straight combo.  Currently, 390 has only been drawn 3 times, the last draw being 9/4/96.....120 has been drawn straight the most times at 22 draws and the most recent was 10/23/08.

So, you want to read the numbers ACROSS the rows and use them as straight combos.

For boxed combos and additional confidence, I used to run even/odd analysis, high/low analysis, root sums, etc.......and then I found LP did that for me.  Woohoo!!  I give the "filtered" numbers for the most/least categories using various deflates from E/O, H/L and root sums.  Numbers which make it through the filter are listed, then the confidence of the set is given:

  • VERY LOW: nothing made it through the filter, so nothing matches the trend
  • LOW: numbers may make it through, but it required throwing out some statistical data
  • MEDIUM: numbers matched the 365 day statistics
  • HIGH: numbers matched the 30 day statistics
  • VERY HIGH: numbers matched the 30 day statistics including the root sum

In the near future, I plan to add 60 and 90 day groups as well as give weights to statistical trends in each time period.  I need to automate this at that point...right now I'm doing this using raw SQL language and it's time consuming.

I like this system because:

  • People who want to play numbers which come out frequently are listed (HOT)
  • People who want to play numbers which come out infrequently are listed (COLD/OVERDUE)
  • It's a precise list with real math and statistical information, not adding random numbers or some other voodoo
  • In practice, it appears to work.  Prior to me using money and placing actual bets, I hit the daily number straight twice in 1 month ($250 each), the day I used real money I hit boxed ($40), and the day I decided to calculate pick 4 I hit straight ($2,500).  All my personal bets are in the predictions.

I hope this shows some consistency so all the work and research was worth it.  Above all, it's FUN!

GOOD LUCK!!

Last Edited: July 30, 2009, 9:48 pm

Entry #1
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