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The time is now 1:28 am
You last visited
April 24, 2024, 11:32 pm
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Eastern Time (GMT-5:00)
New year New system
Published:
Updated:
So in the never ending quest for a winning system, it's always ending up back to excel.
The challenge for the new system was to keep it cheap enough to stick with, hence the new strategy
- Alternate between Pick 3 Pick 4 and Pick 5 (different game per week)
- Play one straight and one box for day and night
- only play on days I work (4 per week)
Given these parameters, play on the pick 3 and pick 4 is $2 per day and $4 when dealing with a pick5 week.
As for the system, something stupid and simple that didn't even backtest all that well
the ABStraction system (coincidental at best)
Using a simple ABS() formula in excel, subtraction can be commutative like addition. I developed a "mask" that you simply subtract from the last number drawn in each position and play the resulting number. Updating the mask based on backtests means you can just keep a copy of the mask and not need to be constantly at the spreadsheet, weekly updating suffices.
for example
last PA pick3 mid-day was 8-8-3
MASK is 8-7-3
8-8=0 8-7=1 8-8=0, play 0-1-0 if there was a higher top number it doesn't matter, just use ABS() on the answer to remove negative numbers.
for example tonight's pick3
last pick 3 was 0-5-0
Mask is 7-9-4
ABS(0-7) = 7
ABS(5-9) = 4
ABS(0-4) = 4
7-4-4 for tonight.
play should be 0-1-0 for tomorrow mid day... not playing because it's a day off so... cheap system!
results thus far
Pick3 3 box hits ($40 each) / 0 straight hits
Pick4 0 box hits / 0 straight hits
pick5 1 box hit (2 pairs, $1,700) / 0 straight hits
So with an annual projected cost of $560, the $1,820 earned so far makes it a personal success, even subtracting the $425 due in taxes on the pick 5 hit... it just doesn't backtest favorably.
The only system I ever had that had consistent positive results was erased years ago when Microsoft chose to wipe out VB compatibility between 6 and .net Now they offer a community edition of visual studio for free, including fully functional VB and C#, so maybe I can brush up on programming and revisit the idea, but for now this system is cheap and entertaining.
results may vary, entertainment value only... but you never know.
the MASK values were obtained through brute force backtesting, trying 0 thru 9 in place on excel, so anyone with excel can recreate the sheet.
for each position, you get a mask number therefore it's not good for trapping or gathering groups of numbers, and on most days it's almost a guide for what NOT to play, but it's cheap and so far avoiding straight hits, it does well for boxes, particularly on the pick 3. It does favor some numbers, but none are out of play, so it won't help reduce either.
Comments
I pick 010 for tomorrow's mid day and 001 comes up for tonight.
Would be funny if 7-4-4 or a variant hit tomorrow's day draw.
I don't usually follow off days but since I posted...
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