As I delve back into Excel system creation, I am trying to get better results than the dozens of previous attempts by keeping track of more details. Thistime I am using dated Post-Draw notes to get in depth as to where things went right and wrong. Mostly it's a way to capture a copy of ideas before I forget them.

Below is my first entry for the PROfile Powerball system I am working on...

PRO-file Predictive Decision System
Failure Analysis for 2/7/2007 (wed.) Powerball

Drawn Red Ball = 10 (21st appearance)
Previous Drawn Ball = 37 (34th appearance)

Product of Decision Process = 29

What worked...

1) Direction (Higher/Lower/Repeat)

The Confidence Index of a follower of 37 being lower than 37
was 83. LOWER was chosen and the drawn ball was indeed lower.

what didn't work...

1.) Divisibility (Odd/Even)

There were 21 followers that were odd
and 13 followers that were even.
This was not an accurate aid in elimination.
Could D.O.W. facor in the distribution of O/E?

2.) Range (HxN L/M/H)

Stong apparent indicators excluded the HEXade containing the
right number (10), It could be possible that the system may
be trying to create balance rather than clear-cut indicators...

3.) Follower Frequency

Just because the 29 followed the 37 more than any other number, did

NOT make it reliable as a predictor.

Follow Up and Corrective Action Plan
A). Take apparent trends with a grain of salt. Perhaps a confidence

index is required for each possible follower number? or for each metric...

B). Incorporate Deltas (Drawn/Follower, Precursor/Drawn,

Precursor/Follower). Maybe this can create data that can be

manipulated with different tools (Trigonometry perhaps?)

C.) Continue to automate the PROfile sheet, This file needs to be

complete BEFORE even attempting to expand to the white balls!

D.) Attempt what works for Saturday's guess. PB 10 only has a Confidence Index of 58 to go higher... (Confidence Index Ranges from 24 to 98)

E.) Perhaps a "Backup" pick of the deviant data path (e.g. goes low

when expected to go high) might be in order later in the live trials.