Calibrating the new script with the pick 3

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The process will be to generate picks for both the mid day and evening PA pick 3. This is paper play (no tickets bought) and the new draws will be the targets. Adjusting the number of recent draws to capture with the goal being the lowest number of draws needed to pick correctly.

Box hits do not count, as if the numbers come up boxed, the result was still wrong.

The draw databases will NOT be updated until the system is calibrated for today's results. This process may not even pick the winner, it just has to be such that the winning numbers were not excluded because the list length is too short or over fitted by having the list too long. This could take days. Once it looks like the list lengths are satisfactory, the first live fire test will happen.

The "system" to accompany these results are as follows. $1 straight on the mid and evening PA Pick 3's will be played. No boxes. I will post the output of the live fire test (and post in the prediction section) so anyone can see the output. The readability mods made it much easier to follow, including labels for the lists and picks are output as >>> n <<<. That makes it easy to quickly spot the picks amid the other data.

The initial script was designed to handle the pick 3, pick 4 and pick 5... but the addition of a module to process the PA Match 6 can be recycled on the Mega Millions and Power Ball.

The hardest part of this project will be creating a back test, but perhaps a modified version that increments the exposed draw history and outputs picks to a csv file can be written, then pasted to a database copy. The back test may take quite some time, but is needed to estimate hit frequency (or lack thereof).

I have made many failed systems in Excel, but retained the skills learned. The same is true of Python coding, so even if it does not work it is still a win.

Entry #211

Comments

Avatar hypersoniq -
#1
The first paper play run picked 509 for the PA mid day pick3. The draw result was 919.
So now the calibration route is clear, try to adjust the lengths to bring in the first 2 digits without losing the hit on the third.

Will check in later on the evening draw...
Avatar hypersoniq -
#2
For the evening draw, the "devil's daily" (666) was drawn, my pick was way off at 979. But calibration will work the same way for the night as well. They both started at 14 recents per event, so dialing down seems to be the logical start,  ensuring the winning number in each position is not eliminated.

With some luck, maybe even a go live test this week.
Avatar hypersoniq -
#3
Through careful observation, it would seem like going from 14 most recent followers down to 9 most recent followers was able to keep the correct pick in the mid and 9 on the eve brought in the last 6. One more paper play day, then live fire test on Tuesday!
Avatar hypersoniq -
#4
Close call on the paper play mid day... my pick for PA mid pick3 was 484, they drew 482...
See what the night holds...
Avatar hypersoniq -
#5
Eve result, 052, the pick, 680.
Going to start tracking pick vs draw with the live test tomorrow.

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