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The time is now 11:51 pm
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May 4, 2024, 10:49 am
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prediction vs. guessing
Published:
PREDICTION: A statement foretelling the possible outcome(s) of an event, process, or experiment, based on observations, experience, and scientific reasoning.
GUESS: A statement foretelling the possible outcome(s) of an event, process, or experiment based on conjecture and intuition.
simple enough
Comments
If "guess" was only just conjecture without intuition, it would have no credence. In my opiness anyway...lol
odd/even, higher/lower, most/least frequent, coincidentally appears somewhere in some long chain of a constant number (like pi), followers...
observations that can be counted... theories that can be backtested...
that appears to be as far as we have come with this game of trying to beat the system.
coincidental systems cover everything... and I believe they fall somewhere in between prediction and guessing... not reliable enough to consistantly happen, and not totally unnoticeable.
what's next? perhapsaclean-sheet redesign of all of the coincidental systems... perhaps a more in-depth analysis of relevance (which is more important, even/odd or higher/lower? which one would you use if 2 coincidental events contradicted eachother... do you count the events and divide by the total number of draws to add "weight" to any one counter?)
It seems that it's never the "most"or the "least", but rather in between where all the action happens... but that's statistical mush, need a way to clarify things... be it pick3 or powerball/mega...
we need inspiration, some new thread of hope to chase, some new system that we can work on... and I am out of ideas. Gotta shake things up.
neural nets were not the answer... complex equations fell flat on their face when the drawings happened... wheeling is too cost prohibitive...
need something new.
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