Midway through the 7 day test, 50% success.

Published:

As 5-0-1 was drawn in last night's PA Pick3 Evening game, that number was indeed a NNN draw. (All from the neutral set, which is what remains when eliminating the Hot and Cold numbers).

Still looking for that NNN combo to be drawn in the day game, but there are still 4 draws remaining.

There were 7 numbers in each column in the neutral set for evening, while the day draw has 6 in each.

IF the test matches literally every back test observation made, then this is the first and only "safe" elimination I have found in over 2 decades. It will prove that over a span of draws, the NNN combination WILL appear at least once. This is the very first step, as any subsequent number eliminations introduce the chance of throwing out the winners.

Since I am not playing until I can narrow down to one pick, I am going to first freeze the data by not updating the draw sheets all week, and seeing what further eliminations would be a good idea. I am also still searching for ANY correlations between the hot/cold data and the follower data.

For the next test I will be looking to eliminate the high and low neutral from each set... not the high and low numbers, but the high and low frequencies. This will also be back tested at several points in draw history to see how many of the NNNs become eliminated by such a reduction.

Every single system before this one was based on the full history set. The systems would either produce a hit in the first month and then not again for over a year, OR I would get bored of how far off they were and give up after only a few days.

This time is different, because the pattern NNN cycles every 7 draws (or less!) Which is useful as the base of any further system development. If you could start of number selection with a group of numbers that produce a straight hit every 7 days,  while safely eliminating between 60% and 70% of the 1,000 possible straight combos, then why not move forward with that?

And the best part is, it is pure statistics that got me to see this pattern that occurs so frequently. It was counting the frequency of drawn digits over a relatively short draw span (150). One standard deviation (calculated on the fly by the Python script) in either direction of the 10% expectancy of each number's frequency yields a set that will produce a straight hit within 7 draws. There is no gray area, and this was made possible by classification. The H N and C are classifiers of frequency.

It is going to be difficult to pick just one from the rather large list of resultant combos (may be over 300 in some cases), but it is better than starting out with all 1,000 combos. This is where I will need to go next, to find what other systems can be fed this list of numbers in the range and help narrow down further.

Maybe there will be a correlation of the frequencies and their distance from the expectancy, or maybe from the Median, which SHOULD be 10% in a truly random discrete uniform distribution. Let's not forget that both the pick 3 day and pick 3 evening full data sets fail the chai squared test for true randomness (but not by much).

The betting strategies are also such that even playing the number at a .50 straight/.50 box could allow play of up to 5 picks and still have the potential to pay for itself with the possibility of a decent profit on a straight hit.

As alway, this will be worked out in the pick 3 before any attempt is made in the pick 5. The NNNNN does not appear as frequently in that game as the similar NNN in pick 3, though it is by far the most represented classification.

Eliminating numbers is part of the game. When you make just one pick, you are rejecting the other 999 combinations anyway, I am just trying to do that with a bit more purpose.

Entry #395

Comments

Avatar MADDOG10 -
#1
Good luck with your system. It's a start.
Avatar hypersoniq -
#2
Thanks!

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