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The time is now 3:07 am
You last visited
June 4, 2026, 10:59 pm
All times shown are
Eastern Time (GMT-5:00)
Last day of the first week test
Published:
There is one draw remaining for the first week of testing the new system/concept.
There had been no wins so far. The selection process was not very complex, it was to stick as close to the middle of the middle as possible.
When working on the next attempt, I will begin to employ the different statistics, starting with the median, to help select from the neutral numbers in each column. One step at a time.
A formalized selection process will help with consistency. It is still a process where I am trying to pick 1 in 10, 3 consecutive times. The number of choices is reduced in phase one, but that still leaves roughly 300 possible combos to choose from.
The importance of a definite series of steps is when the pick 5 might be rolled out, it just adds 2 more 1 in 10 guesses, reduced by the elimination of the hots and colds.
At the end of the process it is still a guess, but the best guess I can make.
Every system I work on from here on out will use the phase one classification. Phase 2 will vary week to week until I get it right.
Thus far, had some individual column matches, the best being 2 of 3 on yesterday's mid day. The nice part of playing for a week is that I have a week to think about what to try next, rather than a day.
Going directly for the middle had not yet worked, so now I try using the median as a guide because in a discrete uniform distribution, the median should equal the expectancy, yet sometimes it is slightly lower, and sometimes it is slightly higher.
The new guidelines will be to observe the median (quartile 2) and pick from the group of neutrals as follows...
Median = expectancy, go for the number with a distribution closest to 10%
Median < expectancy, indicating there are more neutrals below the expectancy, so pick from the below 10% group.
Median > expectancy, indicating there are more neutrals above the expectancy, so pick from the above 10% group.
It will always come down to a best guess, and there is still only an 85% chance that the week will have at least one all neutral draw (52% when looking at the pick 5).
The subsequent weeks will be $14 (0.50 straight and 0.50 boxed per draw) so I will probably continue this live test for several weeks. If I go through the rest of June and July with no hits, then it will be time to jump back out and design a completely different phase 2 process.
The goal is a formal step by step process that might someday be automated, so the program can display not just the classification data, but also generate an algorithmic best guess... because if it gets to that point, it can be back tested!
Tonight will be a draw history update and a run of the script for both mid day and evening, followed by another "best guess"

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