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Why past draw histories are important to some of us.
Published:
In my dabbling in this hobby, I believe we are only given the game set up (pick a combo from 1 in 10, pick 5 of 70 plus a bonus ball of 24) and the draw history. Without said history, why bother?
There are those who believe otherwise, and more power to them. There are those that use the last draw for workouts, there are those that select numbers based on their environment (license plate numbers for example) and those who select numbers based on dreams. There are also players who use quick picks exclusively. There is no real WRONG way to make a pick.
To this end, I continue to study how the numbers were drawn in previous games with the hope that I might be able to gain a better pick for a future draw. I have reached the level in coding and analysis where I spend time disproving my own theories by back testing.
I have run extensive tests on things like mirrors only to see that long term they offered no higher returns than just about any other replacement system (like +111)
Patterns I thought I had discovered in followers did not survive the scrutiny of a back test either.
I have essentially given up on mapping the last draw to the next directly using the numbers.
I still believe that there are answers in the draw histories, even if I am not quite smart enough to capitalize on them.
The system I have currently instead looks at distribution frequencies over a set number of draws, trying to map the last 150 draws to the next 7.
I do not see another way to make a best guess without using past results as a guide.
If it were easy, everyone would be doing it.
I rather enjoy the challenge of trying to solve impossible problems. It is taking less time to convert ideas into code, code into spreadsheets, incorporate and validate software.
Even if draws are truly random isolated events, there is some underlying pattern to their distribution.
It is time to up the programming game and convert these latest scripts into a nice looking GUI. And to perhaps take the output from the phase 1 script into a phase 2 script that can be used to make selection easier by adding visualization and to help develop the series of steps necessary to make that best guess.
Although there are as many systems as there are players, I am firmly in the draw history camp.
Happy Coding!

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