Ran the start day tests with past data instead

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Pulling the plug on the start day test. Data was mostly the same stepping through 7 draws.

Still live testing the pick 3, just not shuffling start days.

There is the added change each week in interpreting the results, so rather than go for constant play, I will be instead running if I have identified an area of interest to focus upon and pursue an attempt. This will ultimately lead to less frequent attempts and more time at the phase 2 drawing board... which is generally how I like things.

I do realize that my observations can be prone to bias, and therefore care is being taken at each step to avoid it. It feels like I am onto something, but again I am not the best judge. Time needed to study the results is also a factor in discontinuing play on any type of schedule. While I seek a clearer interpretation, the live game waits... when I am ready to play, it is back in with the same budget restrictions and overall goals.

I am asking a great deal of the coincidence machine, as the initial goal is a hit both day and night, and I know it will fail to deliver at a much higher rate than it might work... but that is the fun... the challenge.

While exploring my most recent ideas, I stumbled upon what I will be trying sometime before the weekend, which is to run the script as usual, then inject another run with a different model size. So, 150 as usual, then 143... why? The future will show which ones are to be drawn and which ones will not... BUT we know which ones will drop off between the week window! 1/3 of the future state of the distributions can be known ahead of time... using the 2 lists to find out which numbers will still be likely to hold neutral status throughout the window can hopefully be the indicator of which number to pick in a tie. There still remains 2/3 of the final state unknown... but before this observation it was fully unknown... I will take the 1/3 and run with it.

Still stumbling through code for the visualization, but this gives me something to work with now. Standard deviations will change, quartiles will shift, the data comes alive again!

Entry #448

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