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The time is now 4:28 pm
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June 4, 2026, 2:40 pm
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Always on the lookout for new ideas, here is one such idea...
Published:
In the Cash 4 Life classifier, I have been using 1.5 standard deviations as an upper and lower cutoff for hot and cold.
As an alternative, I could apply an IQR (inter quartile range) where anything above or below the range given by Q3-Q1 would be the new outliers.
In the pick 3, one standard deviation above and below the expectancy does the trick. In the non replacement draw of the C4L, which has a moving expectancy and a wider range, the standard deviation may be too wild of a setpoint, where the IQR can provide a more consistent range.
I may have to plot out a comparison to visualize the difference. The problem is too many neutrals, this solution may be better than the current one. I need to get this part right before the long process of back testing.
3 draws remain on the initial Cash 4 Life 26 draw test... 3 of the numbers have appeared individually for a total of 6 matches. I did bad on the pick part of the neutrals... my phase 2 basically does not work.
In 6 weeks of pick 3 testing, there has only been 1 hit. I have 3 weeks remaining of "house money" for the pick 3 @$14/wk. That will be a 9 week run on the idea with a net zero out of pocket, including 2 shots at the pick 5 and the C4L experiment.
Though I have tested much worse systems, I need to do better than 1 hit in 6 weeks on that pick 3 to ever have another shot at the pick 5 and C4L... it is looking like those last 3 free weeks will be using the all neutral QP generator, as I have yet to identify any progress on a different phase 2 strategy.
Visualization did NOT help as much as I hoped it would. 3 more weeks of trying and then I am again faced with decision time... keep going or pull the plug and work on a different phase 2 process. I did get to keep a bit of profit as well, so if I stop in 3 weeks, I would end up ahead...

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