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The time is now 10:43 pm
You last visited
June 4, 2026, 10:38 pm
All times shown are
Eastern Time (GMT-5:00)
So far, the story remains the same
Published:
Updated:
There was hope starting a new pick 3 system.
There was a straight hit to fund some experiments on other games (pick 5 and Cash 4 Life)
There were more losses than wins, but as of this moment the system has cost 0 out of pocket because of the 1 win.
There are 2 more "free" weeks to play.
Constant re evaluation of the system leads to some major changes...
1. Implementing the inter quartile range instead of 1 standard deviation on either side of the expectancy to classify draws... that was a major change with minimal coding because I was already looking at the quartiles.
2. Implementing the recency as a tie breaker. I should have that done and tested in the next 2 hours.
3. The planned implementation of the chi-square goodness of fit test for the draws that make up the 150 row model... that will take a bit longer.
4. Preparing to turn the results into inputs for a Markov Decision Process by using back testing and reinforcement learning to automate the selection process.
I will eventually implement these changes and will most likely find myself disappointed with the results, then it will be another phase of sitting on the bench until I come up with another "big" idea.
I do believe that this is the last system for the year. Planned and pondered for months.
The pick 3 is just as difficult as any game when gunning for one combo... True odds... 1:1,000 every time. I have had my "coincidental" hit that most systems produce in the first few weeks, so now it's time to see if there is more to it. I am comfortable with the budget for the remainder of 2025... there are 20 more weeks and 2 are on the house, so 18 x $14 = $252. Because I am doing 50 cents straight and 50 cents boxed, only one win will keep the project on the state... which means I will need a second win to have another shot at the pick 5/ Cash 4 Life combo.

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