Having played the 3 derivatives of my system, I have decided to leave out the average, since the pick is a weighted average anyway, why confuse things with a raw average?
I am keeping FORECAST for now because that pick was closer than without it... won $9 by having the right PB (with the power play of 3)
BTW, 27 finally drawn in PA match6, now all the numbers are out, 33 still red hot... I dropped the raw average from my Match6 picker too. See how friday and saturday go... back to one pick again ;-)