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April 19, 2024, 4:29 pm
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Lottery Fallacy?
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Lottery Fallacy
The argument assigns a probability to a random event based on the notion that the past history of that type of event has some influence on its probability or future occurrence.This fallacy includes supposing that a random event is more likely to occur because it has not happened for a long time, or less likely to occur because it recently happened, or less likely to occur because it has not happened for a long time, or more likely to occur because it recently happened. An alternative version of the fallacy (sometimes called the Lottery Fallacy) is to say that a past event must have been highly probably (or even inevitable) merely because it did in fact occur.
(http://www.cuyamaca.net/bruce.thompson/Fallacies/gamblers.asp)
Fla Cash 3
Expected # of Wins for |
6 Months +/- 18 |
12 Months +/- 36 |
18 Months +/- 54 |
24 Months +/- 72 |
36 Months +/- 108 |
60 Months +/- 180 |
2nd Position # 2
2 |
24 |
48 |
69 |
89 |
128 |
217 |
3 |
12 |
31 |
52 |
70 |
105 |
159 |
My Fallacy: I know within the next 60 days that 2nd Position # 2 will somehow win with less frequency, and the 3rd Position # 3's frequency rate of win will increase.
A Gamer who believes the Gambler's Fallacy is just that a Fallacy. Stats sometimes Rule.
Comments
Remember the Fibonacci scale?
thank you Pacattack05
Greg
I haven't checked the other lotteries completely, but I'd bet it's true on MM and the pick 6s, as well. I'd also bet on the pick 5s that don't go to 37 the 16 will always be there instead of the 37.
For me that's a pattern that, combined with a number of similar facts represents something approaching proof that ball sets, RNG aside, the numbers are hitting as part of an overall matrix. Behaving according to a complex set of rules or physical laws. The fact we don't know why doesn't alter the larger fact that they're doing it.
Just my take on it.
Jack
Greg, I will check out the Gail Howard site. sounds interesting. thanks for the reference.
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