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exact vtrac mirror backtest in for PA eve...


results = not good...

total straight wins by playing $1 straight per game in PA eve = 13 ($6,500)

total COST to play 1 $1 bet per night from 3/1/97 to 12/19/2005 = $9,874

net LOSS = -$3,374

longest gap between hits was several years  (1/1994 to 7/2000)

the hit ratio was low... now I didn't expand to count the v-trac strings, but the associated cost gets multiplied by 8, therefore no advantage...

based on my criteria, this first v-trac mirror test failed... now this was one number for one state... your results may vary, I just report what I find. Since I hold no credence in travelling numbers, I will be doing no further testing on v-tracs.

failure points

1. cost more than was won

2. cyclic hit rate way too low (big gaps of several years)

since I test straight-shooter systems only, box hits might have helped, but would also have doubled the cost.

oh well, on to the next task at hand...

Entry #91


hypersoniqComment by hypersoniq - December 19, 2005, 8:38 pm
big four test was even worse, system was a total loss with ZERO straight hits resulting in 7,360 draws for a net loss of $7,360

see above disclaimers.
powerplayerComment by powerplayer - December 21, 2005, 10:46 am
Try finding the highest count to a combination in the PA drawings for the last year. Use that # to back test since it started.
I would advise the Mid-Day only because it a short backtest. It's started in 03.

Hope that helps


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