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oil prices spurt to record high

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Oil Prices Spurt to Record High Above $75 a Barrel
Crude Prices Now 40 Percent Higher Than a Year Ago

NEW YORK (April 22) - Crude-oil prices broke through $75 a barrel to hit a new record Friday, fueled by concerns about Iran's nuclear ambitions and tight U.S. gasoline supplies.

   


Crude prices are more than 40 percent higher than a year ago, and have risen about 5 percent just this week.

   

Prices at the pump also kept rising, with the average price of a gallon of unleaded regular gasoline at $2.855, up 3 cents from a day earlier and more than 60 cents higher than a year ago, according to AAA's daily fuel gauge report.

Crude prices, which are more than 40 percent higher than a year ago, have risen 8.4 percent from Thursday's closing price - the biggest weeklong jump since the week ended June 17, 2005, when crude futures rose 9 percent.

Analysts say oil prices are likely to climb even higher in the weeks ahead as worries grow about how international pressure on Iran, OPEC's No. 2 oil producer, will affect its crude output. Rebel disruptions of oil production in Nigeria, the fifth-biggest source of U.S. oil imports, also pose a risk to supply.

"You put all these headlines together, you see the situation is getting charged up and getting out of control. That's why oil traders and speculators are having a field day - this is exactly the kind of environment that speculators want to operate in," said Oppenheimer & Co. oil analyst Fadel Gheit.

Light, sweet crude for June delivery rose $1.48 to settle at a record $75.17 a barrel Friday on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after peaking at an all-time trading high of $75.35. The May contract, which expired Thursday, had settled at $71.95 on Thursday.

Accounting"for inflation, prices are still about 20 percent below the records reached in 1981, when supplies became tight after a revolution in Iran and a war between Iraq and Iran.

Traders worry that U.S. gasoline supplies may not meet summer demand after seven straight weeks of drops in domestic gasoline stocks, which are now at their lowest level since November.

"There are a lot of people that were disturbed with this week's energy numbers," said Alaron Trading Corp. analyst Phkl Flynn, referring to the U.S. inventory figures. "There seems to be a lot of concern that the combination of the geopolitical issues, as well as refining issues, are enough reason not to abandon the long side of this market just yet."

U.S. refineries are performing seasonal maintenance on a greater scale this year, given the destruction wrought by last fall's hurricanes that battered the Gulf Coast. Also, the transition from gasoline additive MTBE, found to be a groundwater pollutant, to ethanol is creating additional fears about an already tight gasoline market.

Friday afternoon, U.S. Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman said phasing out MTBE could be complicated, and that there is no simple solution to lowering oil prices .

At this point, there's no peak in sight.

"Everyone's asking, 'What's the high? What's the high?' In a runaway bull market, you can't say. But the market will stop climbing when it finally starts to have an impact on the economy and on demand. I don't"see it stopping till we reach that point," said BNP Paribas commodity futures analyst Tom Bentz.

So far, demand hasn't been crimped significantly, encouraging traders to keep buying into the market.

"Demand continues to be relatively strong. Supply remains tight. And the global economy seems to be doing OK. As they say, no harm, no foul," Gheit said, noting that not just oil companies, but also big financial institutions have been making billions of dollars on soaring energy prices.

Brent crude on London's ICE Futures exchange rose $1.39 to sett?at $74.57 a barrel Friday.

Gasoline futures rose 2.32 cents to settle at $2.2380 a gallon, while heating oil rose 2.26 cents to settle at $2.0762 a gallon. Natural gas slipped 8.3 cents to settle at $7.981 per 1,000 cubic feet.

The United States and Britain say if Iran does not comply with the Security Council's April 28 deadline to stop uranium enrichment, they will seek a resolution that would make the demand compulsory. Iran has consistently resisted calls to abandon its enrichment program.

Oil exports account for half of Iran's GDP, so it's not in the country's own interest to halt supplies, Gheit said. However, if Iran is attacked, they might be left with no choice. "The only weapon they can use is oil," Gheit said.

Meanwhile, in Nigeria, militants exploded a car bomb inside a military base late Wednesday, in their first major attack since February. This year, the group has cut more than 20 percent of Nigeria's daily oil exports of 2*5 million barrels.

A spokesman for Shell Petroleum Development Co. in Nigeria on Friday said security concerns in the region were preventing the restart of up to a fifth of its oil output and the company was not in a hurry to start up production.

On Saturday, energy ministers of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will meet in Qatar to discuss the latest developments in the oil market, said United Arab Emirates energy minister Mohammed Dhaen al-Hamili. This weekend, energy ministers from around the world, including Bodman, are meeting for the International Energy Forum in Qatar.

Entry #390

Comments

1.
konaneComment by konane - April 22, 2006, 1:55 pm
I tried to find a breakdown of crude usage showing how much of it goes for gasoline and how much for plastics but maybe someone else will be able to find that information.

Have been told that the greatest consumption of crude is plastics manufacture instead of fuels so seems we can simply look around us and see one of the driving forces of crude prices.

Also heard that our refineries are shut down right now in order to begin manufacture of some 50 or so government mandated summer blends. "Re-tooling" is always a costly propositon felt most acutely in our pockets.
2.
LOTTOMIKEComment by LOTTOMIKE - April 22, 2006, 4:19 pm
thanks konane.i hope we don't see 4.00 a gallon....
3.
konaneComment by konane - April 22, 2006, 5:01 pm
Sheesh, me too!!!!

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