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Probability and Intuition
Published:
The first link at this page will take you to the discussion of Probability & Intuition.
http://www.innumeracy.com/noc.htm
There are other interesting links there too.
(Locked)
Entry #52
Comments
Looking at the most frequently drawn combo in SC since Jan 2008 in the combo report does not really give a lot to go on especially when I look at the hit skip history of the 037 combo.
in the hit skip history the 037 combo has a low skip of 0 skips and a high skip of 538 skips.
Boxed Combo Report for SC3 ASC.DMG: All 220 Combos 03-26-2013 3544 Records
Hit Hit Current Skip Most
COMBO Hits Avg Median Skips Avg Out
---------------------------------------------------------
0 3 7 33 107.4 65 63 104.5 538
______________________________________
Number search of SC3 ASC.dmg: All Records Printed: 03-26-2013
Pos.1 = 0 Pos.2 = 3 Pos.3 = 7 Any Order, All Numbers
33 Records Found 33 Selected Records Printed Page
Record Date P1 P2 P3 Matched Skips
----------------------------------------------------
23 01/12/2008 0 3 7 3 22
51 01/28/2008 0 3 7 3 27
113 03/01/2008 0 3 7 3 61
130 03/10/2008 0 3 7 3 16
142 03/17/2008 0 3 7 3 11
146 03/19/2008 0 3 7 3 3
189 04/11/2008 0 3 7 3 42
685 01/03/2009 0 3 7 3 495
837 03/26/2009 0 3 7 3 151
1376 01/11/2010 0 3 7 3 538
1504 03/21/2010 0 3 7 3 127
1589 05/06/2010 0 3 7 3 84
1664 06/15/2010 0 3 7 3 74
1847 09/22/2010 0 3 7 3 182
1948 11/15/2010 0 3 7 3 100
2381 07/07/2011 0 3 7 3 432
2400 07/18/2011 0 3 7 3 18
2465 08/22/2011 0 3 7 3 64
2627 11/17/2011 0 3 7 3 161
2742 01/18/2012 0 3 7 3 114
2743 01/18/2012 0 3 7 3 0
2847 03/14/2012 0 3 7 3 103
2894 04/09/2012 0 3 7 3 46
2909 04/17/2012 0 3 7 3 14
2911 04/18/2012 0 3 7 3 1
3009 06/09/2012 0 3 7 3 97
3123 08/10/2012 0 3 7 3 113
3208 09/25/2012 0 3 7 3 84
3259 10/22/2012 0 3 7 3 50
3285 11/05/2012 0 3 7 3 25
3292 11/09/2012 0 3 7 3 6
3302 11/14/2012 0 3 7 3 9
3481 02/19/2013 0 3 7 3 178
Since I don't look at the dispersion of Pick-3 results, I'm not sure what you're trying to say with your report on 037 in SC. Please correct me if I'm wrong but it looks to me like [037, 073, 307, 370, 703, 730] came out in 33 draws out of 3481. Correct? I think the average expected number of hits from this set of 6 numbers would be about 21, so combos of 037 were above average winners. (Sorry if I'm misunderstanding your numbers.)
Do you feel that these 12 hits above the expected average are of some significance? If so, why?
--Jimmy4164
p.s. What do you think of the articles at innumeracy.com?
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