One of the balances I have been looking at is how far back in draw history to go to get the best results for short term trends... how many draws back are significant and why?
My current PB one line system uses a weighting system based on past pernormance (number of positional matches = weight) and I currently use 3 draws back (15 draws back for MODE)... this seems to keep the numbers changing each draw, but I have more statistical hits with the rarely changing long term full draw history, therefore those weights are higher.
I use 3 draws back because it does make changes to the numbers, but is there another number that would be better? 5 back? 10 back? any thoughts on this?