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Gods of statistics and probability

Topic closed. 13 replies. Last post 12 years ago by Sedertree.

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December 8, 2004
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Posted: December 8, 2004, 4:08 pm - IP Logged

Hello all. I am doing some research on the lottery and I want to find out who are the greatest living mathematicians and/or philosophers who specialize in randomness and probability? Any thoughts would be appreciated. Thanks!

    WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
    Stone Mountain*Georgia
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    Posted: December 8, 2004, 8:24 pm - IP Logged

     Try this world-renowned fellow first...... he's the best known.

     IMG height=98 alt=Number of the Day src= http://pbskids.org/sesame/images/count_05.gif>


                                        Then .....try the Search function up there under resources in the Mathematics forum.

     

     

    The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                  Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                  Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                           Win d    


      United States
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      Posted: December 8, 2004, 8:52 pm - IP Logged

      Ha, ha, ha, ha funny...I'll bet the Count will win any lottery.! Now that is entertainment!

      Ok WIN D!

      lottoscorp ...

       

        lottoarchitect's avatar - waveform

        Greece
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        November 18, 2003
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        Posted: December 8, 2004, 10:31 pm - IP Logged



        What to say now lol

        If you have something to do, at least do it well...

          JAZZY JASPER's avatar - scenery water_mountains.jpg

          United States
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          Posted: December 10, 2004, 12:30 am - IP Logged

          Big Bird, had the number in IL.

          "It's not easy, being, GREEN! "


           

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            East Jordan, MI
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            Posted: December 12, 2004, 3:00 am - IP Logged

            Anyone Here: (Except Me)



            Bayesians Worldwide



            Also try Mike, the "Wizard of Odds"... He answered a question of mine a couple of years ago. Then declined to test my roulette system (RRS). However, he has since appeared on a couple of gaming specials filmed in Vegas. So he may not offer free advice any longer.

              Texasman's avatar - rocket
              Glergenflergen, Texas
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              Posted: December 13, 2004, 4:46 pm - IP Logged

              What about John Nash, the subject of the movie, "A Beautiful Mind"?

              Here's a thought.  The randomness of the lottery doesn't use filters.  Perhaps we should be just as random and hope for a coincidence.

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                Belleville , Illinois
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                Posted: December 18, 2004, 4:25 am - IP Logged

                Hi All

                this is from Ion Saliu web page . some good stuff there

                      log(1 - DC)

                N = ----------------

                       log(1 - p)



                Bigjer

                  johnph77's avatar - avatar
                  CA
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                  Posted: December 18, 2004, 6:52 am - IP Logged

                  Sedertree -

                  The Wizard of Odds (Michael Shackleford) has been in the odds business for years. His main slant is towards card (mainly poker) and casino games. Good information in his specialized niche. We exchanged links a couple of years ago - I don't know whether he still has the link to my site on his page but I maintain the link to his. Seems like a reasonable person to deal with.

                  gl

                  john

                  Blessed Saint Leibowitz, keep 'em dreamin' down there..... 

                  Next week's convention for Psychics and Prognosticators has been cancelled due to unforeseen circumstances.

                   =^.^=

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                    East Jordan, MI
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                    Posted: December 21, 2004, 1:31 am - IP Logged

                    John,



                    In your line of "work", I'm not at all surprised that you are familiar with Michael Shackleford's expertise as the self-proclaimed "Wizard of Odds". He is a very gifted actuary and he seems friendly enough. At least with my dealings with him.



                    He posted on his website that he would be on the Travel Channel in a gaming challenge. I tuned in, only to watch him lose 10k on Roulette. There was another guy playing Blackjack and two ladies. One was playing Baccarrat and the other was playing Craps. I believe the ladies had the upper hand in the challenge since they were also career dealers in those respective games.



                    I wouldn't mind participating in that challenge with my Roulette System for the cameras. Wonder if Mike had the entire session recorded. It would be interesting to see how I would have faired with his game. I can't believe that for almost the entire challenge he bet on 17 only.... What was he thinking?!



                    Oh well, I doubt I'll ever be invited to such an dvent to test my theory in front of the cameras. It would make for good television though.

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                      Lee's Summit, Mo.
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                      Posted: December 21, 2004, 11:32 am - IP Logged

                      Sed, would you mind revealing your theory?  Also, some mathematicians are cryptographers.  Are there any on the LP?

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                        East Jordan, MI
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                        Posted: December 22, 2004, 12:49 am - IP Logged

                        Pigskin,



                        At one time I did reveal my theory as part of the software that I developed.



                        Reika Roulette System 1.0



                        I've since updated the software with new algorithms, but the concept is still the same. I don't share the new software or the theory/algorithms. Too many people out there like to take credit for other peoples research.

                          johnph77's avatar - avatar
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                          Posted: December 22, 2004, 2:37 am - IP Logged

                          Sedertree, Todd -

                          I took the liberty of sending Mr. Shackleford the web address of this thread. I have no idea what his reaction will be, if any. But any query I've made to him in the past has generated a quick response.

                          gl

                          john

                          Blessed Saint Leibowitz, keep 'em dreamin' down there..... 

                          Next week's convention for Psychics and Prognosticators has been cancelled due to unforeseen circumstances.

                           =^.^=

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                            East Jordan, MI
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                            Posted: December 22, 2004, 11:56 am - IP Logged

                            John,



                            I can't say if Mike would choose to register at lotterypost. Although I seem to remember him being registered at another gaming forum. His expertise would certainly be an asset here at lotterypost.



                            If he does... There was a follow-up question I had to the 10 loss outside bet probabilities in Roulette that I asked about. I had taken his figures and used them in my own equations. I was uncertain if I had them "right".



                            http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/betting-systems.html



                            I see that he has since posted the 10 loss probability table with the martingale progression. Personally I wouldn't use the Martingale unless the system used could successfully predict the outcome a large percentage of the time.