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# Hit Median Explaination

Topic closed. 7 replies. Last post 12 years ago by lottaloot.

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Redford/MI
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January 18, 2004
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 Posted: December 18, 2004, 9:55 pm - IP Logged

I am trialing versabet and would like help making sure I understand the terms used (to determine if it's worth purchasing)

I have a hard time understanding hit median.  I believe that it is a ball park range of where the pair hits.  (but I want to make sure)

Pairs combined for Michigan

27

totals hits 471

hit average 18.5

hit median 13    ????????????????????????????????????

current skips 11

average skip between hits 17.5

most out 178

due YES

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SC
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April 15, 2004
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 Posted: December 18, 2004, 10:16 pm - IP Logged

lootaloot,

Here's perhaps a bit more than what you wanted but here goes...

Suppose you have say 11 of the inter-arrival times(skips) of these 471 hits. These are times between hits for a particular pair. Say you have the hit times: 7, 23, 8, 16, 2, 54, 13, 75, 11, 9,  and 93. Ordered these times are 2,7,8,9,11,(13),16,23,54,75,93. The middle value (or the time) where roughly 50% of the values are above and roughly 50% below is the median.

Suppose the 13 was not there, then the median would be (11+16)/2 = 13.5., the arithmetic mean of the middle two values.  It's a robust measure of the center or average of the distribution of values.

Hit times generally follow an exponential distribution in which case the distribution is skewed toward higher values (shorter hit times are more prominent), in which case the median will always be at most (smaller than or equal to) the mean.

HTH,

'chaser

PS.  No software is worth buying unless you understand what it's telling you. So ask questions.....

Redford/MI
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January 18, 2004
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 Posted: December 18, 2004, 10:29 pm - IP Logged

Thanks and I think I understand that jibberish a little (not much) a little

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Wisconsin
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March 27, 2003
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 Posted: December 19, 2004, 10:27 am - IP Logged

lottaloot,

I think to boil it down into a nutshell, you can say that the median is the point where half the past hits for that number have comes before it reaches the median (that number of skips) and half have come after it has reached that number. This makes it a little different than the "average" number of skips for instance. THe median is a bit more accurate in terms of stats versus the average.  The median is just one more stat tool to use when looking at the combos. That's my understanding of it. Not the Holy Grail by any means.

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Redford/MI
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January 18, 2004
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 Posted: December 19, 2004, 2:13 pm - IP Logged

Guess it must be ok.

Used it along with my other resources to pick my 772 for Michigan today

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Mid-Missouri
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August 31, 2002
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 Posted: December 19, 2004, 2:42 pm - IP Logged

Lottaloot,

Congrats on the hit!

That is a perfect example of what I do. Your "Current Skips" were 11 and your "Hit Median" was 13. You will find when your current skips gets within 2 under or two over the hit median they will be hot. Also, another thing that I find very helpful is to use a pair that is only half of the median. Example, say the pair 17 had a hit median of 10 and the current skips were 5. These two pair need to be put together. The pair 27 was hot and the pair 17 was half in this example. Then you make your combos from those pairs.

You can get your positional order from going to the longest out on the "Profile" page. That is another thing you will find helpful with Versabet.

If you would like, I can PM you an instruction sheet I made on the method I use while using VersaBet.

Let me know,

Bryan  :)

Wisconsin
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March 27, 2003
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 Posted: December 19, 2004, 7:19 pm - IP Logged
Quote: Originally posted by lottaloot on December 19, 2004

Guess it must be ok.

Used it along with my other resources to pick my 772 for Michigan today

GOOD FOR YOU !

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How can you tell if a politician is lying?

Redford/MI
United States
Member #3396
January 18, 2004
4867 Posts
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 Posted: December 20, 2004, 1:56 pm - IP Logged

I love fruitcake !

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