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C'mon people help Todd with this >>

Topic closed. 5 replies. Last post 11 years ago by Todd.

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takeitez's avatar - japheth
Carters Lake, Ga.
United States
Member #5313
June 29, 2004
1065 Posts
Offline
Posted: July 29, 2005, 10:41 am - IP Logged

I agree, now that there is a good deal of prediction history posted here (more than 16 million predictions!) it would be a good time to create some historical trend reports.

Maybe we can get some input from members who would look for this kind of thing: what should the reports show?

I'd assume that we'd want to see overall trends for the whole membership, as well as trends for each member.

Do we want to see monthly trends?  Weekly trends?  Daily?  (We need to be specific on what it is that we'll want to look at, we can't just say "I want to see everything", because although I could do it, it would take a long time to develop.)

What kind of data do we want to show over time?  Like you indicated above, we can show hit percentage and prize ratio, but is there other data we'd like to see over time?

Also, I'd like to develop some additional cumulative statistics for each member, like:

  • Average picks per day overall
  • Avg. number of states predicted per day
  • Avg. number of games predicted per day
  • Top states of concentration (I had an idea of coming up with some type of calculation that could analyze someone's prediction patterns, and figure out which states they focus on)
  • Avg. hit ratio
  • Avg. prize ratio
  • Consistency (percentage of days with posted predictions)
  • ...What else?

Great idea, takeitez!  Let's get some input from everyone on this -- what do you want to see?

ez

          No Pity!Guitar  Drum ........ in the long run........

    Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
    Chief Bottle Washer
    New Jersey
    United States
    Member #1
    May 31, 2000
    23261 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: July 29, 2005, 11:09 am - IP Logged

    I think maybe people didn't notice when I posted this the last time because your message had the subject "Todd".

     

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      Atomic Dog's avatar - sniffer
      Minnesota
      United States
      Member #13028
      March 28, 2005
      870 Posts
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      Posted: July 29, 2005, 11:47 am - IP Logged

      I can contribute any info necessary for MN Daily 3 .... since it is my game of focus.  I have historical data since its conception.  If interested, I can post some or all of what I have available.

      Maybe if we received all info from Members' game of choice, we could have a more robust collection of data for this project.

      Just a thought.

      Good Luck,

      John (A.K.A. ATOMIC DOG)

      BOW WOW WOW ......

      ...... YIPPY YOH YIPPY YAY!!!

        Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
        Chief Bottle Washer
        New Jersey
        United States
        Member #1
        May 31, 2000
        23261 Posts
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        Posted: July 29, 2005, 11:55 am - IP Logged

        Atomic Dog,

        We're talking about analyzing the data already in the LP database -- all the predictions already posted by the membership.  takeitez had suggested coming up with some additional trend reports based on this data, and I offered some suggestions on how to do it, and asked if anyone else has further ideas for how to analyze this data.

        Do you have any specific reports that you'd want to generate based on past predictions data?

         

        Check the State Lottery Report Card
        What grade did your lottery earn?

         

        Sign the Petition for True Lottery Drawings
        Help eliminate computerized drawings!

          SirMetro's avatar - center
          East of Atlanta
          United States
          Member #6191
          August 11, 2004
          1389 Posts
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          Posted: July 29, 2005, 12:00 pm - IP Logged

          Perhaps identify if individuals do better on certain days of the week?

          I know my chart performs best on Mondays, Fridays and Saturdays.

          Maybe differant folks have a better knack at the numbers on given days of the week as well.

          Sir Metro.

            Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
            Chief Bottle Washer
            New Jersey
            United States
            Member #1
            May 31, 2000
            23261 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: July 29, 2005, 1:14 pm - IP Logged

            OK, interesting...

             

            Check the State Lottery Report Card
            What grade did your lottery earn?

             

            Sign the Petition for True Lottery Drawings
            Help eliminate computerized drawings!