C'mon people help Todd with this >>Prev TopicNext Topic

• takeitez

  

  Carters Lake, Ga.
  United States
  Member #5,313
  June 29, 2004
  1,065 Posts
  Offline
  Jul 29, 2005, 10:41 am

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  I agree, now that there is a good deal of prediction history posted here (more than 16 million predictions!) it would be a good time to create some historical trend reports.

  Maybe we can get some input from members who would look for this kind of thing: what should the reports show?

  I'd assume that we'd want to see overall trends for the whole membership, as well as trends for each member.

  Do we want to see monthly trends?  Weekly trends?  Daily?  (We need to be specific on what it is that we'll want to look at, we can't just say "I want to see everything", because although I could do it, it would take a long time to develop.)

  What kind of data do we want to show over time?  Like you indicated above, we can show hit percentage and prize ratio, but is there other data we'd like to see over time?

  Also, I'd like to develop some additional cumulative statistics for each member, like:

  • Average picks per day overall
  • Avg. number of states predicted per day
  • Avg. number of games predicted per day
  • Top states of concentration (I had an idea of coming up with some type of calculation that could analyze someone's prediction patterns, and figure out which states they focus on)
  • Avg. hit ratio
  • Avg. prize ratio
  • Consistency (percentage of days with posted predictions)
  • ...What else?

  Great idea, takeitez!  Let's get some input from everyone on this -- what do you want to see?

  ez

               ........ in the long run........
• Todd

  

  50

  Chief Bottle Washer

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #1
  May 31, 2000
  27,928 Posts
  Online
  Jul 29, 2005, 11:09 am

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  I think maybe people didn't notice when I posted this the last time because your message had the subject "Todd".

   

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• Atomic Dog

  

  Minnesota
  United States
  Member #13,028
  March 28, 2005
  870 Posts
  Offline
  Jul 29, 2005, 11:47 am

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  I can contribute any info necessary for MN Daily 3 .... since it is my game of focus.  I have historical data since its conception.  If interested, I can post some or all of what I have available.

  Maybe if we received all info from Members' game of choice, we could have a more robust collection of data for this project.

  Just a thought.

  Good Luck,

  John (A.K.A. ATOMIC DOG)

  BOW WOW WOW ......

  ...... YIPPY YOH YIPPY YAY!!!
• Todd

  

  50

  Chief Bottle Washer

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #1
  May 31, 2000
  27,928 Posts
  Online
  Jul 29, 2005, 11:55 am

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  Atomic Dog,

  We're talking about analyzing the data already in the LP database -- all the predictions already posted by the membership.  takeitez had suggested coming up with some additional trend reports based on this data, and I offered some suggestions on how to do it, and asked if anyone else has further ideas for how to analyze this data.

  Do you have any specific reports that you'd want to generate based on past predictions data?

   

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  What grade did your lottery earn?

   

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• SirMetro

  

  East of Atlanta
  United States
  Member #6,191
  August 11, 2004
  1,390 Posts
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  Jul 29, 2005, 12:00 pm

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  Perhaps identify if individuals do better on certain days of the week?

  I know my chart performs best on Mondays, Fridays and Saturdays.

  Maybe differant folks have a better knack at the numbers on given days of the week as well.

  Sir Metro.
• Todd

  

  50

  Chief Bottle Washer

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #1
  May 31, 2000
  27,928 Posts
  Online
  Jul 29, 2005, 1:14 pm

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  OK, interesting...

   

  Check the State Lottery Report Card
  What grade did your lottery earn?

   

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