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What r the true odds of winnin a jackpot?

Topic closed. 4 replies. Last post 11 years ago by SirMetro.

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twisted's avatar - underground
New Jersey
United States
Member #2376
September 25, 2003
582 Posts
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Posted: September 13, 2005, 12:42 am - IP Logged

I've been thinking about this recently and could be completely off/wrong. But has anyone ever received a combination like 1 2 3 4 5 - 6 from a lottery terminal playing MM or PB? What about a combination like 51 52 53 54 55 - 42?

I think there are certain combinations that the lottery terminals never spit out (I could be very very wrong and please correct me if I am). If you ignore these un-used combinations then the true odds of winning the jackpot will be lower. Also there are probably certain combinations that the lottery drawing machines never "draw" (taking into consideration 1000-2000 pre-test, post-test, and actual drawings before the matrix is changed).

So lets say if the jackpot is at a record level with record sales which surpass the total combinations, I think there is a very high chance that there will be a winner (maybe even two).

Anyone agree?

    RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
    mid-Ohio
    United States
    Member #9
    March 24, 2001
    19830 Posts
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    Posted: September 13, 2005, 2:53 am - IP Logged

    The ranges of of past MegaMillions winning combinations have been 14-55 with sums of 50-225 which probably cover 75% of the possible combinations.  It likely that tonight winning combinations will also fall within these parameters which would make the theoretical odds of winning 1:131,783,652 instead of the actual 1:175,711,536.

     * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
       
                 Evil Looking       

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      BILOXI, MISSISSIPPI
      United States
      Member #19651
      August 3, 2005
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      Posted: September 13, 2005, 12:48 pm - IP Logged

      i say 50 million tic sold means a winner was 50 million to one               looking back at 20 years of quick picks the oddest thing i saw   a quick pick had 4 of the 6 numbers i.ve picked for 20 years


        United States
        Member #8747
        November 16, 2004
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        Posted: September 13, 2005, 10:18 pm - IP Logged

        Those are the combinations that really will take 1:170M odds to get.

          SirMetro's avatar - center
          East of Atlanta
          United States
          Member #6191
          August 11, 2004
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          Posted: September 14, 2005, 8:13 am - IP Logged

          You might want to consider a break-down list that I posted for the Ga Fantasy 5 (at this link here http://www.lotterypost.com/thread/115840 ). If you look closely at the list, the numbers 5 and 6 has NEVER occurred in the 5th position.

          One could perhaps do a positional count for the MM game as well, better reflecting what numbers tend to fall the most in each position. Just my thoughts is all.

          Sir Metro