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Lightning or Lottery?

Topic closed. 16 replies. Last post 11 years ago by Stars.

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sirbrad's avatar - Lottery-062.jpg
PA
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Posted: November 12, 2005, 5:10 am - IP Logged

 

You're more likely to be struck dead by lightning than you are to win the Lottery? WRONG!

It's a commonly help folklore belief, the idea that winning the lottery is so improbable that you are more likely to be struck by lightning and killed. Here are the odds:

Winning the Lottery: 14 million to one (approx)

Being killed by lightning: 10 million to one (very approx)

So, it would seem at first sight to be true. But it's NOT. That's because the lottery figure is based on buying a single lottery ticket and getting all six numbers up that WEEK, whereas the lightning figure is based on how many people per head of the population are killed by lightning PER YEAR! So, there is a x52 missing; we're comparing a WEEK with a YEAR. Allowing for this, the corrected result is that you are about 40-50 times more likely to win the lottery than you are to be killed by lightning, assuming such things as that you always buy one lottery ticket per week and that you are out in thunderstorms only as much as average!

Here's some figures:

Buying one lottery ticket and getting all six numbers gives odds of 49 x 48 x 47 x 46 x 45 x 44 / 6 / 5 / 4 / 3 / 2 of getting them all correct = 13,983,816:1

Deaths by lightning, taking the UK as an example, FIVE out of a population of about 50 million, in an average year. (If you have more accurate figures on that, please let me know!) 50 million divided by 5 gives 10,000,000:1

Other points of note are that your probability of being struck by lightning is not affected by your gambling, and around the world there are different lottery odds & weather conditions, and that last time I looked there were 64 million tickets sold per week, which means that if you choose birthdays you'll probably end up sharing the prize if you win!

http://www.zyra.org.uk/probab1.htm

 

I agree.

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    Sparta, NJ
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    Posted: November 12, 2005, 8:38 am - IP Logged

    Interesting, however, I would prefer winning the lottery over being struck by lightning.

    Cheers

    |||::> *'`*:-.,_,.-:*''*:--->>> Chewie  <<<---.*''*:-.,_,.-:*''* <:::|||

    I only trust myself - and that's a questionable choice

      JAP69's avatar - alas
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      Posted: November 12, 2005, 9:01 am - IP Logged

      The closest I came to being struck by lightning is about 5 minutes. Have not come that close on a jackpot prize.

      Was working in the front yard of a job and a thunder storm started to show itself. I packed up my tools and left. The occupant of the house said I was just out of sight down the road when it struck.
      The Lightning struck the tree that was no further than 10 feet from where I was working. Split the trunk of that 3 foot tree in half.

      So I figure I am going to hit the jackpot pretty soon. >LOL<

      MAGA

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        Sparta, NJ
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        Posted: November 12, 2005, 9:16 am - IP Logged

        If I was you, I would stay away from trees.  The gods maybe be zeroing in.  Never ignore the warning round.

        Cheers

        |||::> *'`*:-.,_,.-:*''*:--->>> Chewie  <<<---.*''*:-.,_,.-:*''* <:::|||

        I only trust myself - and that's a questionable choice

          dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

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          Posted: November 12, 2005, 9:27 am - IP Logged

          You can always increase your odds with lightning. Carry a thin iron rod with a copper wire on it touching the ground. Wave it around on an open field like a cemetary or golf course during the next lightning storm and your odds can really go up. Getting your odds to go up for the lottery is a lot more difficult.


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            Posted: November 12, 2005, 9:31 am - IP Logged

            Like you said, you have to consider weather conditions. It's the lightning captital of the world, right here in Florida.

            I saw lightning hit around me so many times, it's a wonder I'm still alive. So you might have to go back to the drawing board on that one.

            By the way, it's 1 in 7 million here in Florida, and our lotto is almost 1 in 23 million. So it varies, depending on where you live.

              Jake649's avatar - scene sunovermountains.jpg

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              Posted: November 12, 2005, 10:08 am - IP Logged

              Not long aga I was playing golf with a few buddies and a severe storm blew in very quickly. All of sudden there was thunder and lightening everywhere. We all started to run towards the club house. One guy held up a one iron while he ran. When we got to the club house I asked him why he held up the one iron while he run. He replied that not even God can hit a one iron.

              Good luck,
              Jake


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                Posted: November 12, 2005, 1:33 pm - IP Logged

                so still much better chances of being struck by lightning

                than being the sole winner of the megamillions jackpot

                that's like about one in 175 million approx.    No Nod

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                  Sparta, NJ
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                  Posted: November 12, 2005, 1:37 pm - IP Logged

                  Nothing wrong with lightning.  Made Ben Franklin rich and famous.

                  Cheers

                  |||::> *'`*:-.,_,.-:*''*:--->>> Chewie  <<<---.*''*:-.,_,.-:*''* <:::|||

                  I only trust myself - and that's a questionable choice

                    bellyache's avatar - 64x64a9wg

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                    Posted: November 12, 2005, 1:44 pm - IP Logged

                    I like thunder and lightning. I just don't want to be struck by it. =)

                    Dance like no one is watching.

                      sirbrad's avatar - Lottery-062.jpg
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                      Posted: November 12, 2005, 6:43 pm - IP Logged

                      Lightning struck a tree down at an amusement park right where I was sitting less than 2 minutes ago. Luckily a show I wanted to see got me out of there! A few years later I saw lightning strike down and hit a tree 10 feet in front my house! I saw a huge bright light, and part of the top of the tree fall down and smash through the neighbors car window. I can't believe I just happen to be looking out the window at the time. I could not see, or hear anything after that for a few seconds. But anyway, I believe it is now the lotteries turn...

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                        Sparta, NJ
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                        Posted: November 12, 2005, 7:58 pm - IP Logged

                        Stange, I see lightning, I go in some other direction.  Just been a natural habit.

                        Cheers

                        |||::> *'`*:-.,_,.-:*''*:--->>> Chewie  <<<---.*''*:-.,_,.-:*''* <:::|||

                        I only trust myself - and that's a questionable choice

                          sirbrad's avatar - Lottery-062.jpg
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                          Posted: November 12, 2005, 9:15 pm - IP Logged

                          Perhaps my near misses with lightning also explains my one digit misses from winning big. It might take getting struck by lightning to increase my odds some. Well I am off to the roof top with my golf irons...


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                            Posted: November 12, 2005, 9:26 pm - IP Logged

                            I'm not even close to winning any jackpot. So I think lightning has a better chance.


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                              Posted: November 12, 2005, 9:31 pm - IP Logged

                              so still much better chances of being struck by lightning

                              than being the sole winner of the megamillions jackpot

                              that's like about one in 175 million approx.    No Nod

                              Yes , but I would still hold my ground...no pun intended.....

                              Because , I forget who... but someone here has a signature that says....." The odds don't mean a thing to the Jackpot winner "

                              You never know!!!!!