|Posted: June 11, 2006, 1:08 pm - IP Logged|
That's exactly it...
If your system can't predict results you already know, odds are against it picking results you do not yet have. It is a great litmus test that probably saved me hundreds or even thousands chasing system results over the years.
If you track subtle changes with different data, you can use backtesting to optimize things and answer questions like "how many draws do I use?". You can have a system, come up with several variants and backtest them side-by-side.
Playing more than one ticket per game is betting against yourself.