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What is the probability?

Topic closed. 11 replies. Last post 10 years ago by Littleoldlady.

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WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
Stone Mountain*Georgia
United States
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November 2, 2002
10491 Posts
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Posted: August 23, 2006, 7:57 pm - IP Logged

Ga. Midday just had numbers hit for 5 days in a row that had never ever seen the light of day.

 This Midday game has been in operation for many years. To call this a rare occurrence is an understatement.

  These were Straights that have never been drawn since the game started in 1998.

 There aren't enough Zeros in the World to describe how rare I think this is.

  It's bigger than getting 5 triples in a row ! 

  Anyone want to give this one a shot? It hurts my head. LOL

       Hiding Behind Computer

 

 

The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                              Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                              Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                       Win d    

    WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
    Stone Mountain*Georgia
    United States
    Member #828
    November 2, 2002
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    Posted: August 23, 2006, 8:02 pm - IP Logged

    327 874 733 362 893 157 436 894 484 057 702 306 999 794 496 111 808 667 262 813 563 839 321 535 531 294 455 873 596 651 653 456 068 382 690 432 665 344 284 524 055 372 580 061 742 987 475 524 803 803 303 802 856 522 138 416 159 750 763 291 193 257 670 227 640 807 772 420 848 427 940 463 539 542 377 240 265 381 544 909 590 899 438 001 160 002 813 299 414 115 790 521 726 391 234 893 956 558 857 948 545 942 986 745 214 724 418 630 258 207 297 703 197 113 903 101 322 930 301 827 166 592 331 628 442 647 235 294 978 492 779 635 431 500 809 249 519 796 693 777 563 740 130 091 548 504 555 069 437 937 268 869 310 547 186 889 004 878 438 971 080 071 602 989 

     In a row !  How can this happen....on accident? Yet..there it is.

     

     

    The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                  Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                  Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                           Win d    

      Best Picks's avatar - Lottery-036.jpg
      Eastern Missouri
      United States
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      November 7, 2002
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      Posted: August 23, 2006, 8:16 pm - IP Logged

      327 874 733 362 893 157 436 894 484 057 702 306 999 794 496 111 808 667 262 813 563 839 321 535 531 294 455 873 596 651 653 456 068 382 690 432 665 344 284 524 055 372 580 061 742 987 475 524 803 803 303 802 856 522 138 416 159 750 763 291 193 257 670 227 640 807 772 420 848 427 940 463 539 542 377 240 265 381 544 909 590 899 438 001 160 002 813 299 414 115 790 521 726 391 234 893 956 558 857 948 545 942 986 745 214 724 418 630 258 207 297 703 197 113 903 101 322 930 301 827 166 592 331 628 442 647 235 294 978 492 779 635 431 500 809 249 519 796 693 777 563 740 130 091 548 504 555 069 437 937 268 869 310 547 186 889 004 878 438 971 080 071 602 989 

       In a row !  How can this happen....on accident? Yet..there it is.

      since these numbers have been in hiding, what kind of payout (winners) did each have. just curious.

      Numbers.

        RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
        mid-Ohio
        United States
        Member #9
        March 24, 2001
        19816 Posts
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        Posted: August 23, 2006, 9:11 pm - IP Logged

        The odds of a combination from 000 to 999 coming up is 1:1000.  If that list represents all the combinations of threes to come up so far then it can happen another 800 times in the future.

         * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
           
                     Evil Looking       

          johnph77's avatar - avatar
          CA
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          December 10, 2003
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          Posted: August 24, 2006, 2:55 am - IP Logged

          Number of days in 8 years: 2922
          Possibilities in a 3 number draw: 1000

          Interesting question. When I get some time (if ever - I make no promises) I'll work on this.

          gl

          j

          Blessed Saint Leibowitz, keep 'em dreamin' down there..... 

          Next week's convention for Psychics and Prognosticators has been cancelled due to unforeseen circumstances.

           =^.^=

            Avatar
            NY
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            October 16, 2005
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            Posted: August 24, 2006, 11:22 pm - IP Logged

            Ga. Midday just had numbers hit for 5 days in a row that had never ever seen the light of day.

             This Midday game has been in operation for many years. To call this a rare occurrence is an understatement.

              These were Straights that have never been drawn since the game started in 1998.

             There aren't enough Zeros in the World to describe how rare I think this is.

              It's bigger than getting 5 triples in a row ! 

              Anyone want to give this one a shot? It hurts my head. LOL

                   Hiding Behind Computer


            You haven't given us enough information to figure out the probability.  How many numbers had never been drawn? Just those 5, 10 numbers,  40 numbers? It's likely to be somewhere in the general neighborhood of the odds for 5 triples in a row, which would be 1 in 10,000,000,000. Of course with that many zeros the neighborhood is fairly large. What I can tell you is that the odds of those 5 numbers being drawn consecutively, is exactly the same as the odds that the previous 5 numbers would have been drawn consecutively.

            The probability that any given number wouldn't come up in 3000 drawings is just under 5%. If you mean that those numbers never came up in the evening game either, then there would have been a lot more drawings, but even if both games started 3000 days ago there is still a 1/4% chance of any given number never having been drawn. FWIW, 1/4% still means thatit's 2 1/2 times more likely that a given number would never have come up than it is that  any given number would be drawn tonight.

              Thoth's avatar - binary
              Findlay, Ohio
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              Posted: August 25, 2006, 2:20 am - IP Logged

              Win D, are you saying that for five games in a row there were straights drawn that had never been drawn before in GA??

              If this is the case, here is a close approximation of the estimated odds as I see them:

               

              1/2^5 = 1/2x1/2x1/2x1/2x1/2 = 1/32....or 1 in 32.

              These odds don't seem too far out there at all, but I dont arrive at them without logic.  If you take the last number drawn and look at how many consecutive games ago that it last hit, you will find that this value is less than or equal to 693 games about 50% of the time.... and that the other 50% of the time it is a value of 694 or greater...on up to infinity (or a first time hitter). 

              But then again, you could also take the total number of straights that never hit (I'll use 200 as an example) and figure the odds for 5 consecutive hits from that group.  The odds would look like this:

              200/1000 x 199/1000 x 198/1000 x 197/1000 x 196/1000

              This equates to about 1 in 3287.  This would be the "odds" or probability of predicting that the next 5 straights to hit would come from an exsisting group of 200 straights that have never yet hit.  I don't know how many virgins are left in GA. but you can adjust the formula accordingly. 

              ~Probability=Odds in Motion~

                Thoth's avatar - binary
                Findlay, Ohio
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                Posted: August 25, 2006, 2:32 am - IP Logged

                Wow too many beerz.....disregard the "1/2^5", but the second part of the post is accurate for what you are wanting to know

                ~Probability=Odds in Motion~

                  RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                  mid-Ohio
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                  March 24, 2001
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                  Posted: August 25, 2006, 11:40 am - IP Logged

                  Whether a pick3 number is ever drawn or not, it still remains as one of 1000 possible numbers to be picked.  When calculating the odds of a number being picked from a particular group whether they be odd, even, a particular sum or numbers never picked, the group size has to be known. 

                  More important, if after many drawings (enough for every number to have come up two or three times) there is a sizable group that has never come up, then a bias in the drawings has been exposed which could give someone with that knowledge an advantage.

                   * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                     
                               Evil Looking       

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                    NASHVILLE, TENN
                    United States
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                    February 20, 2006
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                    Posted: September 8, 2006, 1:00 am - IP Logged

                    Ga. Midday just had numbers hit for 5 days in a row that had never ever seen the light of day.

                     This Midday game has been in operation for many years. To call this a rare occurrence is an understatement.

                      These were Straights that have never been drawn since the game started in 1998.

                     There aren't enough Zeros in the World to describe how rare I think this is.

                      It's bigger than getting 5 triples in a row ! 

                      Anyone want to give this one a shot? It hurts my head. LOL

                           Hiding Behind Computer

                    So, they finally took the lead sinkers out of those balls.  I was wondering if they would ever notice. LOL

                      DIAMOND RAY's avatar - DiscoBallGlowing
                      STONE MOUNTAIN GA.
                      United States
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                      August 7, 2004
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                      Posted: September 18, 2006, 3:13 pm - IP Logged

                      Georgia on my mind;      Can anyone tell me what numbers have fell the most in Georgia ( midday and eve )or  how I can find out what they are quick fast and in a hurry ????????????   Todays midday 547   fell midday 9/19/05  475

                        Littleoldlady's avatar - basket
                        Clarksville
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                        July 15, 2002
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                        Posted: October 9, 2006, 10:49 am - IP Logged

                        I don't know the probability of it happening but I do know one thing for sure..I made a list like that for Tn and 3 of those "never hit" numbers fell in the same 5 day period and they were on the list almost side by side..the only thing I can say is if one of them hits, play two numbers on the left and on the right side of them..they may fall.

                        If you know your number is going to hit, have patience and then KILL IT!

                        You never know when you will get another hit.