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Thoth

Findlay, Ohio
United States
Member #4,855
May 28, 2004
401 Posts
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Sep 29, 2006, 12:36 am
Another large skip for Illinois recently came to an end on 5/03/06 when the straight 628 was drawn. The last time it was drawn before that was on 10/07/93, which was 8,472 consecutive games prior. The performance of the three pairs that comprise 628 within the 8,472 game skip period breaks down as follows:
- Front Pair 62X was drawn 75 times without joining with the digit 8 as P3.
- Back Pair X28 was drawn 82 times without the digit 6 as P1.
- Split pair 6X8 was drawn 73 times without the digit 2 as P2.
There was yet another exceedingly large skip that recently came to an end in Illinois just a few weeks ago. On 9/16/06 the straight 195 was drawn, finally ending its 7,363 consecutive game losing streak. Before that, the last time it was drawn was on 11/15/95. The performance of the pairs over the span of this skip is shown below.
- Front Pair 19X was drawn 60 times without the 5.
- Back Pair X95 was drawn 67 times without the 1.
- Split Pair 1X5 was drawn 61 times without the 9.
In Ohio there is an exceptionally large skip that is actively playing out. The straight number 023 has not hit since January 7th of 1984! That’s 9,320 consecutive games ago! This is by far my favorite number to play in Ohio. I’ve been patiently waiting for (and actively playing it) for a good three years now. Maybe it’s just a stubborn little number or perhaps its just shy. Either way, it refuses to show it itself. But no matter though, soon it won’t have a choice and will be forced to make its appearance! I don’t play this number every game or even everyday for that matter. Sometimes I wait for indicators of one of its upcoming pairs or one or more of its single digits. I do, at times, tend to bet a bit larger on it when the two-digit return is due after one of its three “boxed pairs” has fallen. Here is how the “straight pairs” have performed since 1/07/84:
- Front pair 02X has been drawn 89 times without the digit 3 in position-three!
- Back Pair X23 has been drawn 74 times without the digit 0 in position-one.
- Split pair 0X3 has been drawn 70 times without the digit 2 in position-two.
Adding fuel to the fire, the split pair 0X3 is now out 557 games, which is getting well into due territory. The back pair X23 is currently out 299 games. The front pair 02X is only out 42 games now. But then again, all pairs do indeed have about a 50% chance of being drawn within 69 games of their last hit. I could be totally wrong, but I seriously doubt that every one of those three pairs will each experience more than two or three hits before 023 is finally drawn—maybe one or two of them, but not all three.

Of course there is still an additional observation that can be made: boxed or “any-order” forms of the combination 023 have been drawn 46 times since the last time 023 hit straight on 1/07/84. It could be said that for every time one of the boxed forms is going to hit that there is a 1 in 6 chance (16.66%) that it will be that of the particular 023 permutation…meaning 0-2-3 in that exact order. This specific order has failed to occur the last 46 consecutive times in which the 0, 2 and 3 were all drawn together. The upper extreme for the probability of 1 in 6 is about 38 trials for a 99.9% chance and about 51 trials for 99.99% chance. In this observation the 46 missed chances are definitely into the upper extreme.
~Probability=Odds in Motion~
Badger

Wisconsin
United States
Member #1,303
March 27, 2003
1,508 Posts
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Sep 29, 2006, 8:26 am

Hoiw about one that is much less complicated? The sum 24 has not appeared in the MD evening game now for 1,095 draws. That's 10 straights and 4 boxed combos. For that sum, that's pretty extreme.

============

How can you tell if a politician is lying?

Answer: His lips are moving.
derek7

IL
United States
Member #34,577
March 4, 2006
198 Posts
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Sep 29, 2006, 10:14 am

Troth,
Do you know what other STR in IL is overdue...? If I want to stick to one number from now on..., what number it would be...?
/Derek7

cps10

The Carolinas - Charlotte
United States
Member #21,626
September 12, 2005
4,142 Posts
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Sep 29, 2006, 10:22 am

Quote: Originally posted by derek7 on Sep 29, 2006

Troth,

Do you know what other STR in IL is overdue...? If I want to stick to one number from now on..., what number it would be...?

/Derek7

Derek:

Way overdue in IL are the following:

IL (E)	STRAIGHT	10	039, 139, 239, 339, 439, 539, 639, 739, 839, 939
IL (E)	BOX	8	007, 016, 025, 034, 115, 124, 133, 223
IL (E)	STRAIGHT	33	020, 026, 028, 029, 030, 038, 039, 050, 058, 059, 620, 628, 629, 820, 826, 828, 829, 830, 838, 839, 850, 858, 859, 920, 926, 928, 929, 930, 938, 939, 950, 958, 959
IL (E)	STRAIGHT	16	883, 884, 885, 886, 893, 894, 895, 896, 983, 984, 985, 986, 993, 994, 995, 996
IL (E)	STRAIGHT	10	027, 127, 227, 327, 427, 527, 627, 727, 827, 927
IL (E)	STRAIGHT	10	020, 021, 022, 023, 024, 025, 026, 027, 028, 029
IL (E)	BOX	30	007, 008, 016, 017, 025, 026, 034, 035, 044, 099, 115, 116, 124, 125, 133, 134, 189, 223, 224, 233, 279, 288, 369, 378, 459, 468, 477, 558, 567, 666
IL (E)	BOX	36	008, 017, 026, 035, 044, 079, 088, 099, 116, 125, 134, 169, 178, 189, 224, 233, 259, 268, 277, 279, 288, 349, 358, 367, 369, 378, 448, 457, 459, 466, 468, 477, 556, 558, 567, 666
IL (E)	BOX	34	007, 016, 025, 034, 079, 088, 099, 115, 124, 133, 169, 178, 189, 223, 259, 268, 277, 279, 288, 349, 358, 367, 369, 378, 448, 457, 459, 466, 468, 477, 556, 558, 567, 666
IL (E)	BOX	32	007, 008, 016, 017, 025, 026, 034, 035, 044, 079, 088, 115, 116, 124, 125, 133, 134, 169, 178, 223, 224, 233, 259, 268, 277, 349, 358, 367, 448, 457, 466, 556
IL (E)	BOX	36	002, 013, 024, 035, 046, 057, 068, 079, 113, 124, 135, 146, 157, 168, 179, 224, 235, 246, 257, 268, 279, 335, 346, 357, 368, 379, 446, 457, 468, 479, 557, 568, 579, 668, 679, 779

The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

Stooges

cps10

The Carolinas - Charlotte
United States
Member #21,626
September 12, 2005
4,142 Posts
Offline

Sep 29, 2006, 10:23 am

I have others in spreadsheet form for IL (E) and IL (M)

The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:
derek7

IL
United States
Member #34,577
March 4, 2006
198 Posts
Offline

Sep 29, 2006, 10:25 am

Thank you cps10
I actually play evenings.
Thoth

Findlay, Ohio
United States
Member #4,855
May 28, 2004
401 Posts
Offline

Sep 29, 2006, 11:52 am

Quote: Originally posted by derek7 on Sep 29, 2006
Troth,
Do you know what other STR in IL is overdue...? If I want to stick to one number from now on..., what number it would be...?
/Derek7

Here are the straights that are currently out the furthest in Illinois. These figures represent midday and evening combined.
392 out for 6,640 games
246 out for 6,139 games
707 out for 5,923 games
498 out for 5,832 games
331 out for 5,803 games
312 out for 5694 games
997 out for 5,655 games
044 out for 5,601 games
621 out for 5,526 games
594 out for 5,482 games
487 out for 5,343 games
723 out for 5,300 games
502 out for 5,288 games
917 out for 5,209 games
193 out for 5,017 games

~Probability=Odds in Motion~
derek7

IL
United States
Member #34,577
March 4, 2006
198 Posts
Offline

Sep 29, 2006, 11:58 am

Thank you !!

jordi marey

United States
Member #17,353
June 17, 2005
102 Posts
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Sep 29, 2006, 3:28 pm

IL Evenings Only. Hope its beneficial to someone.

Last Win	#	#	#	Days since
5/3/2002	7	1	1	1610
8/27/2002	5	5	3	1494
10/13/2002	0	7	7	1447
10/27/2002	2	7	7	1433
2/17/2003	8	0	0	1320
12/16/2003	5	0	5	1018
1/15/2004	8	8	3	988
2/10/2004	8	2	2	962
6/29/2004	7	7	6	822
7/24/2004	9	7	7	797
8/7/2004	3	3	9	783
8/24/2004	0	3	3	766
9/5/2004	3	0	8	754
9/15/2004	0	2	0	744
9/18/2004	6	5	6	741
12/27/2004	8	8	5	641
1/13/2005	0	2	2	624
1/31/2005	1	3	3	606
2/26/2005	4	7	2	580
3/2/2005	8	8	6	576
3/17/2005	8	3	9	561
3/26/2005	5	7	7	552
4/22/2005	5	6	5	525
5/9/2005	4	1	4	508
5/23/2005	9	9	3	494
5/31/2005	0	8	8	486
6/1/2005	9	1	9	485
6/9/2005	1	5	2	477
6/10/2005	9	4	8	476
6/19/2005	1	0	9	467
7/10/2005	9	8	5	446
7/13/2005	5	2	2	443
7/22/2005	5	4	5	434
8/3/2005	2	9	2	422
8/8/2005	6	0	6	417
8/20/2005	7	6	3	405
8/25/2005	2	3	1	400

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