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Betslips Plays for 11/3

Topic closed. 32 replies. Last post 10 years ago by Rick G.

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Rick G's avatar - avatar 1766.jpg
FEMA Region V Camp #21
United States
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July 27, 2002
5699 Posts
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Posted: November 3, 2006, 9:42 am - IP Logged


Long-term expectations:

50% of the time the number drawn will be from the list.
11% of the time the number drawn will be a straight from the list.
Straight-only betting on all combos in the list will yield a 16.74% profit using Betslips' 900-1 payout.
_______________________________________________________________________________

FL:  88 combos

014 017 019 023 029 039 047 058 059 079 089 114 117 119 123 124 127 129 134 137 139 144 145 146 147 148 149 157 158 159 167 169 177 178 179 189 199 223 229 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 247 249 258 259 269 279 289 299 339 347 349 358 359 369 379 389 399 447 457 458 459 467 477 478 479 489 558 559 568 569 578 579 588 589 599 679 689 779 789 799 889 899

GA EVE: 100 combos

003 009 013 014 016 019 023 029 033 034 035 036 037 038 039 046 047 048 049 058 059 069 078 079 089 099 114 116 124 126 134 136 139 144 145 146 147 148 149 156 158 159 166 167 168 169 178 189 239 246 247 248 258 259 278 289 339 346 347 348 349 358 359 369 378 379 389 399 446 447 448 456 457 458 459 466 467 468 469 477 478 479 488 489 558 559 568 569 578 579 588 589 599 678 689 778 788 789 889 899

IL EVE: 83 combos

004 009 012 014 018 019 024 028 029 034 039 044 045 046 047 048 049 059 066 069 079 089 099 112 118 119 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 138 139 148 149 158 159 166 168 169 178 179 188 189 199 228 238 248 249 258 266 268 269 278 288 289 349 366 369 389 449 459 466 469 479 489 499 566 569 589 666 667 668 669 679 689 699 789 889 899

NJ EVE: 87 combos

001 005 008 011 012 013 014 015 016 017 018 019 023 025 026 028 035 036 038 045 048 055 056 057 058 059 068 078 088 089 115 119 123 125 126 129 135 136 139 145 149 155 156 157 158 159 169 179 189 199 223 226 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 246 256 258 259 266 267 268 269 336 346 356 358 359 366 367 368 369 458 459 558 559 568 569 578 579 588 589 599

SC EVE: 85 combos

001 002 003 009 011 012 013 014 015 016 017 018 019 022 023 024 025 026 027 028 029 033 034 035 036 037 038 039 049 059 069 079 089 099 113 123 129 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 159 189 229 235 238 239 249 259 269 279 289 299 335 338 339 345 348 349 355 356 357 358 359 368 369 378 379 388 389 399 459 489 559 569 579 589 599 689 789 889 899 

TN EVE: 90 combos


001 006 011 012 013 014 015 016 017 018 019 024 025 026 036 045 046 056 057 059 066 067 068 069 079 116 124 125 126 136 145 146 156 157 159 166 167 168 169 179 224 225 234 235 244 245 246 247 248 249 255 256 257 258 259 267 279 345 356 357 359 367 379 445 455 456 457 458 459 467 479 556 557 559 566 567 568 569 577 578 579 589 599 667 677 678 679 779 789 799       

 Good luck everyone!

Posted 4/6:  IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit:  555, 347 (str8).


    calabs's avatar - bass fret.jpg

    United States
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    November 26, 2005
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    Posted: November 3, 2006, 9:45 am - IP Logged

    Thank you Rick!!  I am determined to find a way to make these numbers work w/o using the shotgun approach!  But, hey, even if not, there is still a profit to be made, which I commend you on!!  Great work in NJ!!!

    Lep

      Rick G's avatar - avatar 1766.jpg
      FEMA Region V Camp #21
      United States
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      Posted: November 3, 2006, 9:55 am - IP Logged

      Thank you Rick!!  I am determined to find a way to make these numbers work w/o using the shotgun approach!  But, hey, even if not, there is still a profit to be made, which I commend you on!!  Great work in NJ!!!

      Good luck, calab...you'll find a way.

      Posted 4/6:  IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit:  555, 347 (str8).


        Miss Bee's avatar - strawberry
        nashville
        United States
        Member #4990
        June 8, 2004
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        Posted: November 3, 2006, 11:15 am - IP Logged

        Thanks again for posting

        Good luck today.

          cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
          The Carolinas - Charlotte
          United States
          Member #21627
          September 12, 2005
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          Posted: November 3, 2006, 11:23 am - IP Logged

          Thanks again Rick!! Good luck!

          The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

          Stooges

            CARBOB's avatar - FL LOTTERY_LOGO.png
            ORLANDO, FLORIDA
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            June 3, 2004
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            Posted: November 3, 2006, 12:14 pm - IP Logged

            Rick, thanks again for the post. Have a couple I will put a little extra on, for Fla.

            017 as 107  7 has not been drawn in Fla for 68 Fridays.

            137 as 317; 347 as 347; 379 as 397 and of course 777.

              Rick G's avatar - avatar 1766.jpg
              FEMA Region V Camp #21
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              Posted: November 3, 2006, 12:21 pm - IP Logged

              You're welcome, Miss Bee, cps and CARBOB...

              Interesting stat about the 7's C-B.  Good luck with those picks. 

              Posted 4/6:  IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit:  555, 347 (str8).


                CARBOB's avatar - FL LOTTERY_LOGO.png
                ORLANDO, FLORIDA
                United States
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                Posted: November 3, 2006, 12:34 pm - IP Logged

                Rick, thanks again for the post. Have a couple I will put a little extra on, for Fla.

                017 as 107  7 has not been drawn in Fla for 68 Fridays.

                137 as 317; 347 as 347; 379 as 397 and of course 777.

                I should have said in 3rd position

                  Rick G's avatar - avatar 1766.jpg
                  FEMA Region V Camp #21
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                  Posted: November 3, 2006, 1:10 pm - IP Logged

                  I should have said in 3rd position

                  aaaahh....that makes more sense.  You had me wondering there.

                  Posted 4/6:  IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit:  555, 347 (str8).


                    emilyg's avatar - cat anm.gif

                    United States
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                    Posted: November 3, 2006, 1:22 pm - IP Logged

                    Thanks Rick.

                    love to nibble those micey feet.

                     

                                                 

                      Rick G's avatar - avatar 1766.jpg
                      FEMA Region V Camp #21
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                      Posted: November 3, 2006, 1:25 pm - IP Logged

                      Response to dragon dreamer...just caught your post from yesterday's thread.  No, I won't be including NY at this time, sorry.  I want to keep the states to a manageable number and since it's designed for Betslips plays it doesn't really matter what states are covered.

                      I like the states we are covering now and there seems to be a lot of participation at LP from members playing those states.  With six states, patterns can be detected and utilized...such as a state going four draws without a hit.

                       

                      (Note:  I broke down and decided to keep IL EVE on the list.  We had a box hit last night and there is a lot of IL players (including myself) here at LP.) 

                      Posted 4/6:  IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit:  555, 347 (str8).


                        Rick G's avatar - avatar 1766.jpg
                        FEMA Region V Camp #21
                        United States
                        Member #520
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                        Posted: November 3, 2006, 2:28 pm - IP Logged

                        Just did the projection for box-only betting.

                        The only variable in the equation is the 85 combos to play per draw.  Long-term, I cannot say for certainty that the average plays per draw will be 85.  But it seems the number of combos range from 70 to 100 and from the 42 draws so far, the average has been about 85.

                        In 100 draws there will be 50 box hits on average.

                        Of those 50 box hits 36 will be singles paying out $150 @ $1 bets = $5400

                        Of those 50 box hits 14 will be doubles paying out $300 @ $1 bets = $4200

                        Using the 85 combos/draw average that would be $8500 bet and $9600 won, a profit of of $1100 equating to 12.94%.

                        This figure is consistent with my backtesting in IL.  Interestingly when I originally did the backtesting I inadvertently was using Betslips payouts.  That is how I discovered this technique of using Betslips in the first place.  In that original backtest I was playing straight/box.  My profit came out to about 15%.  This is right in line with the expected profit of 16.47% playing straight and 12.94% playing box.

                        Conslusions:  Playing all combos from the list will be profitable no matter how you play them and it won't work at all with state payouts.

                        As long as the payouts remain the same and Betslips or equivalent organizations are allowed to stay in business, this is a guaranteed money-maker.

                        Now even I'm getting excited. 

                        Posted 4/6:  IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit:  555, 347 (str8).


                          calabs's avatar - bass fret.jpg

                          United States
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                          Posted: November 3, 2006, 2:41 pm - IP Logged

                          Hey Rick, I have an idea!  So if you smell something burning, you'll know why! :-)

                          If you are not doing this already, would it be worthwhile (and worth you time) to keep track of the number of draws, total box hits, and total srt8 hits?  This can be put at the header of each state.  For example: 

                          TN EVE: 90 combos  20 draws; 8 box; 2 str8

                          What do you think? I don't want to make extra work for you than you're already doing for us... so NO is a very acceptable answer!!  ;-)

                          Lep

                            dolfin's avatar - hiro dolphin.jpg
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                            Posted: November 3, 2006, 2:42 pm - IP Logged

                            Great work thanks for the post as always.

                            thank you for sharing keep it up please. 

                              Rick G's avatar - avatar 1766.jpg
                              FEMA Region V Camp #21
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                              Posted: November 3, 2006, 2:58 pm - IP Logged

                              I see there's a couple posts since my last and I'll get to them right after this.  Too late to edit my last post and I want to get this in quick.

                              Correction:  there will be 13.5 doubles not 14 because I forgot to take into account the 0.5 triples coming in. 

                              Box-only betting should be 11.18% profit. 

                              Sorry about that.  I think I have it right now.  I'll come up with a straight/box betting expectation also. 

                              Posted 4/6:  IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit:  555, 347 (str8).