|Posted: March 31, 2007, 11:35 am - IP Logged|
Today's Florida Derby promises to be a great race. It has become a major steppingstone to the Kentucky Derby. Barbaro won the Kentucky Derby off his Floriday Derby win.
The contenders are Scat Daddy (5/2), Stormello (3/1), Notional (4/1) and Adore The Gold (6/1). They are all highly rated for their chances in Kentucky. The winner of this race could very well repeat Barbaro's feat.
Here's my take on it. These four are very difficult to split. They rank pretty evenly in all categories. Adore The Gold has the least respect among the four and will undoubtedly go off as fourth favorite at odds close to the morning line. But when analyzing a race I use speed and pace to separate the contenders and Adore The Gold has the advantage. He should be in good position throughout the race and may steal the win.
With the prospects of a decent payoff I'm going with Adore The Gold, but I wouldn't be surprised to see any of the others in the winner's circle.
Posted 4/6: IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit: 555, 347 (str8).