The probability of rollovers in MM and PB.Prev TopicNext Topic

• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Jun 9, 2007, 4:47 pm

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$19,200,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$32,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$20,100,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$43,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	89.11%
  Megamillions Rolls	91.26%
  Both Roll	81.32%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	7.79%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	9.94%
  Both won.	0.95%
  Either, but not both, won	17.73%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	45.99%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	15.31%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	3.75%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	65.54%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	26.64%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	7.54%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	88.99%
  Either exceeds 300M	11.29%
  Both exceed 300M	0.28%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.393
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.289