This report on V-W-D and e-lottery is a couple of years old but still valid . . .
Their own figures prove them for what they are, charlatan Taffies.
They state on their website that they have accumulated wins totalling
£228,978 over 133 draws with 777 Syndicate Wins and 38,070 Individual
Wins to boot.
It follows that there are, on average, 6 Syndicate Wins each draw and 49
Individual Wins in each Syndicate Win. The prize money divided by
Individual Wins give an average £6.01 pounds. These figures are for
interest only just now.
The figures below are the synopsis of the UK 6/49 lottery on which these
monies have been won.
I work on the basis of what I call one full lottery, which is my term
for a theoretical lottery of 13,983,816 bets on lines of 6 numbers:
13,983,816 £1 wagers.
£6,292,717.20 of which is 45% for prize money, Camelot rules.
-£2,468,200.00 of which is prize money for winners of ten pounds (Y).
= £3,824,517.20 which is divided up into 4 more tiers of prizes = (X).
£1,988,748.94 = 52% of (X) for Jackpot, one in number calc'd.
£ 611,922.75 = 16% of (X) for 5+b prizes six in number, calc'd.
£ 382,451.72 = 10% of (X) for 5 match prizes 252 in number, calc'd.
£ 841,393.78 = 22% of )X) for 4 match prizes 13454 in number, calc'd.
The percentages and numbers of prizes were used before the lottery was
introduced, indeed in the formation of the lottery, to ensure a viable
lottery and all calculations do not need checking as they are the very
basis of the lottery and "circularly" self-checking.
Percentages were used to give sensible amounts, as assessed by Camelot,
which would be won at the various levels of prize money, with of course
variations in individual lottery draws, but only within small limits in
practise.
The numbers of prizes is calculated from the odds and which are
"circularly" self-checking.
Examination of the figures show that, in any *EXTENDED* run in the
lottery such as VWD's 133 draws, quoted by them and ignoring the
jackpot, as none has been won to date, around 57.4% of prize money won
would be taken up by 3-number £10 winners, around 19.5% would be taken
up by 4 number winners, around 8.9% would be taken up by 5 number
winners and around 14.2% would be taken up by 5+b winners totalling
100%, therefore self checking.
Numbers of prizes calculated from £228,978, quoted come out using these
percentages, as;
13052 at 3-number level, 721 at 4 number-level, 13 at 5-number level and
0.32 at 5+b level. The 0.32 shows that the 5+b win was rather premature
but not to say impossible.
If the amount won on this 5+b draw (No.697) is deducted from the
$228,978 total figure above, £139,340 by my calculations, leaving
£89,638 to be won by all other prizes 38,024 in total, their, VWD,
figures, this gives £2.36 per Individual prize. Then comparative numbers
of prizes come out as 5992*3's, 329*4's, and 6*5's, around 45% of
previous calculations,13052,721, and 13.
Neither trio total comes anywhere near the 38,070 Individual Prizes won,
quoted by VWD. An average win should always be above £10.
the point of all the above;
The numbers of the smaller prizes won is ALWAYS close to the theoretical
as stated and I can only assume that VWD are overstating the numbers of
dividends won, or are using "fictitious syndicates", or fictitiously
oversized syndicates or indeed are not even investing the money on the
lottery and paying out the prizes as they go, an easy accounting
procedure, money collected and paid out as required but no messing
around with thousands of tickets and winning payslip checking and
counting.
Probably collecting an amount, will try an estimate, later, and I think
paying out around 4% to 5% including commission to doubtfully numbered
multi-tiered operators.
Their return on investment is atrocious and you affiliates, your
commission is not, I repeat, not being reinvested but is being
manipulated. Your return is probably around 4 to 5% also. Look at your
cheques but do not attempt to con us too!
I suspect the group photo of big winners is posed by a minibus outing to
Colwyn Bay or somewhere and the Aussie quoted as from Perth, Western
Australia is a family "plant" on holiday.
Too many figures today but I thought I would quote some more which will
never be seen on VWD web page, numbers of prizes, you see only prize
amounts!
Total sales on UK 6/49 to 22/11/2003 = 35,634,160,051
Numbers of prizes at all 5 levels;
2,638(1745) 15,312 635,248 34,179,350 626,672,029 TOT 661,504,577
^^^^^ Includes 133 j/p's in draw 9.
Theoretically calculated using odds which have been used above;
2,548( NA ) 15,289 642,157 34,515,950 628,957,316 TOT 664,133,262
Sensibly within 1% overall, will not change EVER.
AND the 1745 figure above just proves that the odds against becoming a
millionaire are more like 1 in 20,420,722 as 1745 is the number of
millionaires created to date! Not 2638!
More facts on VWD scam;
The effect of using 5 bankers limits all prize winning procedures.
At present they appear to have 14 winning syndicates out of 182 possible
syndicates each draw, 13 winning £40 and 1 winning £596 pounds, all
divided between the 49 partaking in each syndicate and 168 syndicates
drawing zilch.
The use of 5 banker numbers in each syndicate limits the chances of
winning greatly, the chance of winning a jackpot is once in ONE HUNDRED
YEARS! because the odds against having five numbers up in 49, is 1 in
1,906,804 divided by 182 (syndicates, each having one line of five)) and
divided by 104 draws per year giving this ONE HUNDRED YEARS figure and
this for one syndicate only in that hundred years!. Chance of a 5+b
dividend is once in twenty years, maybe slightly less and the chance of
a 5 match is once in about 6 months again for only one syndicate.
The income for each syndicate is around 16% on VWD staking as against
25% for normal staking on Camelot but the handling charge reduces that
16% to around 7% on turnover, £5 per week produces 35p income! PER
PUNTER!
Where on earth does the rest go? maybe to other Camelot winning punters
and the bulk to VWD principals. Or maybe 93% to VWD principals!
£77,453,000 in one hundred years!
Having just carried out a completely unbiased and random examination on
possibilities of winning any lottery, from a different aspect that I am
looking at, to try and beat it obviously, I discovered that I could use
the findings to help form an opinion on some figures that I obtained a
couple of weeks ago from the VWD web site, namely each draw's winnings
from day one, their day one, 24 April 2002 to date, 177 draws.
I am now in a position to prove that the whole scheme is an out and out
scam. The figures are completely fabricated and it is provable. There is
no-one alive who can vary the lottery winning take unless extremely
lucky, and I mean even by 5% or so
With about one million pounds theoretically staked over a similar period
to the 176 draws they have been operating and obtained 1383 syndicate
wins or 67767 individual wins, their figures, I found that only rarely
was the dividend "take" above the average expected (5 times in 60) and
overall the average was 0.003% above expected.
Their figures show different and are concocted as they go,
*OR*
they are calling syndicates "full" even if they are made up of one or
more members, so that when they claim a syndicate win, which is always
declared "divided" by 49 remember, it is mainly fabrication of a
criminal nature.
The principle is similar to the scam that Szur-can were attempting to
run in Canada a couple of years ago, when our Russ attempted to show you
could invest over 300,000 dollars without winning anything at all, just
not possible and also win every fourth lottery jackpot available, all
poppy as this is, VWD.
The pyramid scheme is helped in this case mainly because there is a
normal average 25% return for *every* punter which there may not be in
the normal pyramid schemes.
But VWD ARE RETURNING ONLY 6 OR 7% OF PUNTERS' FIVE POUNDS A WEEK ON
AVERAGE.
Watch out you affiliates, your 5 or more punters may be asking for their
fivers back and rightly so! You recruited them, not VWD, EVEN THOUGH
THEY HAVE THE BULK OF EACH FIVER IN THEIR BANK ACCOUNTS!