Rick G, etal-
Thank you Rick for appreciating the payoff challenge with LOCK selections. I mostly post the 'mortal lock' pics at the behest of Mike, a PM who only wants the closest thing to the ostensible sure bet.
( Jay Trotter: [waiting for the race result to be announced] I've done nothing to deserve this anguish. )
WHO DOESN"T LIKE 20/1 BOMBS? No one gets excited about 3/5 pics and I really don't care to reside in a 3/5 world. Your betting against the public at large and basically you can't make money going along with the mob.
DOWN ON THE RACEBOOK FARM That being said, outside non wagering theorists and purists, many people disdain favorites, and low odds horses, because they think it is somehow beneath them, or shows a lack of ingenuity. They are right a degree because it is so hard to make money on low price horses. Although I prefer unconventional game plans to overcome the track negative expectation, still, if one can find a way to make money on low odds horses, it absolutely DOMINATES playing longshots (which I love) with regards to bankroll growth. To sharp pro betters in Vegas, the absolute HOLY GRAIL is a 10% ROI on 60% winners. That will most likely destroy just about anything else in the long run; doesn't matter if that's done by dutching several horses, or with a single horse.
In the end, the ONLY thing that matters to betters are winning bet selections, a real life, and profit/loss.
Looney: I'm sure glad I didn't bet.
Jay Trotter: You didn't bet?
Looney: I woulda had a heart attack.
~Let It Ride
I will be back to share some humble insights on parlay wagering-
Best Wishes All-
EddessaKnight