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Gambler's Ruin-Gambler's Fallacy I

Topic closed. 13 replies. Last post 10 years ago by straightchaser.

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Posted: October 22, 2007, 2:58 pm - IP Logged

Given the topic in the "Lottery Discussion" section on playing enough numbers to profit in pick three I'm setting out the following gambler's ruin-gambler's fallacy observations. I'm not playing these per se (some I will some I won't) but here is one fact:

Twice a day states: CA-CT-MI-MD-MO-DC-PA-NJ-NY-OH-MTS-VA

24 - skips  Two-A-Day A/D.

 item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

  789   19    28    3   43     80   0.37   6.74

  699   29    47   12   66     33   0.54  11.75

  888   72    81   36  122     14   0.45  22.69

24-skips  Two-A-Day A/D.

item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

   0    0     1    1    2   12662    Inf   0.04

   1   19    20    3   27    127   0.24   3.91

    straightchaser's avatar - avatar
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    Posted: October 22, 2007, 2:59 pm - IP Logged

    Gambler's ruin-Gambler's fallacy II:

    Twice a day states: CA-CT-MI-MD-MO-DC-PA-NJ-NY-OH-MTS-VA

    13 - skips  Two-A-Day A/D.

     item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

      139    3    36   29   48     71   2.66   8.40

      148    3    28    3   47     77   2.49   6.90

      157    4    34    8   63     79   1.78   7.64

      238    6    46    3   54     76   1.30   8.03

       67    7    25    3   34     78   1.02   5.35

      337    7    65    2   72     41   1.76  12.98

      166    8    57    2   78     40   1.64  12.41

      229    8    63   23  105     38   1.76  14.06

       58    9    28    8   38     78   0.82   5.84

      247    9    37    1   59     70   0.94   7.35

      256   10    32   14   50     66   0.85   7.80

       49   12    35   17   43     77   0.63   6.90

      355   12    50   38   63     33   1.33  12.04

      346   13    37   18   44     59   0.71   8.38

      445   20    54   13   67     34   0.82  13.82

    13-skips  Two-A-Day A/D.

    item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

       0    0     1    1    2   11872    Inf   0.04

       1    3     4    1    6    917   0.40   0.52

    Done! NY 076.

      straightchaser's avatar - avatar
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      Posted: October 22, 2007, 3:02 pm - IP Logged

      Gambler's ruin-Gambler's fallacy III

      Twice a day states: CA-CT-MI-MD-MO-DC-PA-NJ-NY-OH-MTS-VA

      Ordered pairs-skips  Two-A-Day (10/21/2007).

      item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

        77    2    10    3   12    391   0.99   1.40  79    2     5    1    8    726   0.69   0.76  69    3     4    1    6    763   0.47   0.67  11    5     8    2   11    386   0.40   1.34

       

      Looking for 699 or 669 in these states in the next couple of days, if not today.

        straightchaser's avatar - avatar
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        Posted: October 22, 2007, 3:03 pm - IP Logged

        Gambler's ruin-Gambler's fallacy III

        Twice a day states: CA-CT-MI-MD-MO-DC-PA-NJ-NY-OH-MTS-VA

        Ordered pairs-skips  Two-A-Day (10/21/2007).

        item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

          77    2    10    3   12    391   0.99   1.40  79    2     5    1    8    726   0.69   0.76  69    3     4    1    6    763   0.47   0.67  11    5     8    2   11    386   0.40   1.34

         

        Looking for 699 or 669 in these states in the next couple of days, if not today.

        Let's try that one again....

          77    2    10    3   12    391   0.99   1.40

          79    2     5    1    8    726   0.69   0.76

          69    3     4    1    6    763   0.47   0.67

          11    5     8    2   11    386   0.40   1.34

        Looking for 699 or 669 in these states in the next couple of days, if not today.

        or x69.

          straightchaser's avatar - avatar
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          Posted: October 22, 2007, 3:07 pm - IP Logged

          Gambler's ruin-Gambler's fallacy III or is this IV I forget....

          Same states.....

          Vtrac 113

          002,007,025,057,255,557

          Vtrac combination-counts Two-A-Day (10/21/2007).

          item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

           113    9     9    5   12    295   0.26   1.71

            straightchaser's avatar - avatar
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            Posted: October 22, 2007, 3:10 pm - IP Logged

            Gambler's ruin-Gambler's fallacy V

            Same States......

            Sum 9 vtrac box sequences - skips  Two-A-Day A/D.

             item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

               27    1    27    5   37     89   6.48   6.05

              138    2    35   35   59     68   4.25   7.59

              459    3    34   34   53     65   2.85   7.96

              136    4    26   10   46     85   1.74   6.20

              368    6    48   10   54     69   1.42   8.71

              168    9    31    2   38     74   0.84   6.42

               59   10    52    7   59     80   0.69   8.27

               49   12    35   17   43     77   0.63   6.90

               45   26    33    6   37     78   0.28   6.83

            Sum 9 vtrac box sequences-skips  Two-A-Day A/D.

            item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

               0    0     1    1    2   12104    Inf   0.04

               1    1     4    1    7    685   1.35   0.67

            Notice no more than four days for these 9 numbers....strange.

              straightchaser's avatar - avatar
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              Posted: October 22, 2007, 3:12 pm - IP Logged

              Gambler's ruin-gambler's fallacy VI

              Same States....

              Pure odd straight - skips  Two-A-Day A/D.

               item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

                159    1    30    1   37     92   6.14   5.55

                357    2    33   32   57     68   4.16   7.80

                139    3    36   29   48     71   2.66   8.40

                137    4    37    3   53     70   1.96   7.27

                157    4    34    8   63     79   1.78   7.64

                135    5    39    1   47     77   1.49   7.41

                179    8    30    7   46     81   0.89   5.56

                359   11    26   26   31     87   0.58   5.40

                379   14    46    4   66     68   0.59   7.91

                579   18    29    2   47     74   0.42   6.64

              Pure odd straight-skips  Two-A-Day A/D.

              item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

                 0    0     1    1    2   12022    Inf   0.04

                 1    1     4    1    7    767   1.26   0.54

              Again only 10 numbers maxed on four days.....

                straightchaser's avatar - avatar
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                Posted: October 22, 2007, 7:27 pm - IP Logged

                Given the topic in the "Lottery Discussion" section on playing enough numbers to profit in pick three I'm setting out the following gambler's ruin-gambler's fallacy observations. I'm not playing these per se (some I will some I won't) but here is one fact:

                Twice a day states: CA-CT-MI-MD-MO-DC-PA-NJ-NY-OH-MTS-VA

                24 - skips  Two-A-Day A/D.

                 item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

                  789   19    28    3   43     80   0.37   6.74

                  699   29    47   12   66     33   0.54  11.75

                  888   72    81   36  122     14   0.45  22.69

                24-skips  Two-A-Day A/D.

                item  skips max  ltd  m2ct  count  m/s   std

                   0    0     1    1    2   12662    Inf   0.04

                   1   19    20    3   27    127   0.24   3.91

                PA 996

                -chaser

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                  Posted: October 22, 2007, 7:28 pm - IP Logged

                  Let's try that one again....

                    77    2    10    3   12    391   0.99   1.40

                    79    2     5    1    8    726   0.69   0.76

                    69    3     4    1    6    763   0.47   0.67

                    11    5     8    2   11    386   0.40   1.34

                  Looking for 699 or 669 in these states in the next couple of days, if not today.

                  or x69.

                  PA 996

                    straightchaser's avatar - avatar
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                    Posted: October 22, 2007, 8:13 pm - IP Logged

                    Let's try that one again....

                      77    2    10    3   12    391   0.99   1.40

                      79    2     5    1    8    726   0.69   0.76

                      69    3     4    1    6    763   0.47   0.67

                      11    5     8    2   11    386   0.40   1.34

                    Looking for 699 or 669 in these states in the next couple of days, if not today.

                    or x69.

                    MI 770

                    MTS 171

                      bashley572's avatar - starwars14
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                      Posted: October 23, 2007, 7:21 am - IP Logged

                      ok, just so I fully understand what you are doing, can you give me the specific definition of

                       skips

                      max

                        ltd

                        m2ct

                        count

                        m/s

                         std

                      Thanks!

                      Money won is twice as good as money earned!

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                        Posted: October 23, 2007, 12:40 pm - IP Logged

                        ok, just so I fully understand what you are doing, can you give me the specific definition of

                         skips

                        max

                          ltd

                          m2ct

                          count

                          m/s

                           std

                        Thanks!

                        skips- number of days since last drawn

                        max- maximum number of days it reached between draws

                        ltd-days between last two previous draws

                        m2ct-hard to explain but it's the maximum number of draws plus the very next time to draw. More of measure of how variable time between draws are.

                         

                        count - just the number of appearances.

                        m/s really hard to explain so I won't the smaller this is the more likely it will show.

                        std- statistically the same as the mean time to return.

                        Hope this helps.

                        -chaser

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                          Posted: October 23, 2007, 1:15 pm - IP Logged

                          Let's try that one again....

                            77    2    10    3   12    391   0.99   1.40

                            79    2     5    1    8    726   0.69   0.76

                            69    3     4    1    6    763   0.47   0.67

                            11    5     8    2   11    386   0.40   1.34

                          Looking for 699 or 669 in these states in the next couple of days, if not today.

                          or x69.

                          966 Ohio.....still happenin....

                            straightchaser's avatar - avatar
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                            Posted: October 23, 2007, 1:42 pm - IP Logged

                            Let's try that one again....

                              77    2    10    3   12    391   0.99   1.40

                              79    2     5    1    8    726   0.69   0.76

                              69    3     4    1    6    763   0.47   0.67

                              11    5     8    2   11    386   0.40   1.34

                            Looking for 699 or 669 in these states in the next couple of days, if not today.

                            or x69.

                            PA again 698...still happenin.