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Coin Toss and Jersey PICK 3 EVE

Topic closed. 5 replies. Last post 9 years ago by benmas.

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IF you toss a coin, how many times in a row do you expect to get the same result?

10 in a row or less [ 1 ]  [16.67%]
more than 10 in a row [ 0 ]  [0.00%]
7 [ 3 ]  [50.00%]
5 [ 0 ]  [0.00%]
other (give answer) [ 2 ]  [33.33%]
Total Valid Votes [ 6 ]  
Discarded Votes [ 2 ]  
benmas's avatar - waveform
Rhode Island
United States
Member #56010
October 28, 2007
434 Posts
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Posted: January 24, 2008, 10:15 pm - IP Logged

IF you toss a coin, how many times in a row do you excpect to get the same result?

After I see some poll results and responses i will mention a very interesting fact about JERSEY pick 3 evening draw.

    showme3's avatar - Lottery-012.jpg
    Toms River, NJ
    United States
    Member #32600
    February 13, 2006
    205 Posts
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    Posted: January 25, 2008, 8:09 am - IP Logged

    IF you toss a coin, how many times in a row do you excpect to get the same result?

    After I see some poll results and responses i will mention a very interesting fact about JERSEY pick 3 evening draw.

    I voted other because I spent all my money playing the NJ pick 3 and lost.  So I don't have any coins to toss, I'll have to wait till payday to give it a try.

     

    I still would like to know the interesting fact about the NJ pick 3 eve. 

      benmas's avatar - waveform
      Rhode Island
      United States
      Member #56010
      October 28, 2007
      434 Posts
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      Posted: January 25, 2008, 4:16 pm - IP Logged

      In an event of odds being 50%, after 10 draws there is a 99.9% confidence that the streak will end.

      The second digit in the jersey pick 3 evening has been drawn odd an amazing 17 times in a row.

      MAthematics say that there is a 99.9992 confidence that the streak will end tonight.

      I would not bet on it tonight since it is very streaky but if it draws odd again tonight that will be 18 in a row. I would try the 19th time since there is a 99.99998 confidence it will stop and draw even.

      But i was amazed when i saw this, never seen such a long streak with 50:50.

        benmas's avatar - waveform
        Rhode Island
        United States
        Member #56010
        October 28, 2007
        434 Posts
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        Posted: January 25, 2008, 4:31 pm - IP Logged

        Here are the confidence % for an event 50:50

        Draws  Confidence

        1           50.0

        2           75.0

        3           90.0

        4           95.0

        7           99.0

        10         99.9

        15         99.997

        16         99.998

        17         99.999237

        18         99.999619         <<<tonight         it could be  but its a risky bet 

        19         99.999809        <<<tomorrow      most likely to hit here

        20         99.999905        <<<sunday          i don't think it will reach 20s

        25         99.999976         

          benmas's avatar - waveform
          Rhode Island
          United States
          Member #56010
          October 28, 2007
          434 Posts
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          Posted: January 26, 2008, 2:12 am - IP Logged

          jersey pick 3 eve (2nd digit odd) streak up to 19

          19         99.999809    <<< wow

            benmas's avatar - waveform
            Rhode Island
            United States
            Member #56010
            October 28, 2007
            434 Posts
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            Posted: January 26, 2008, 8:18 pm - IP Logged

            jersey pick 3 eve (2nd digit odd) streak up to 19

            19         99.999809    <<< wow

            the streak is over at 19 odds in a row...165 come up tonight jersey pick 3 eve