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Look at this and calculate the Odds...

Topic closed. 16 replies. Last post 9 years ago by U.N.V.ME.

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WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
Stone Mountain*Georgia
United States
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November 2, 2002
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Posted: February 8, 2008, 11:28 am - IP Logged
  Showreel 2005

 

 

 

Figure this..... 

 In the past 18 draws no drawn number has started with any of these digits below. ..and it could go even further after today.  Maybe the most ugly Pick 3 stat I've ever seen.

       1xx

   2xx

   3xx    =   500 numbers !   Idea                 

 

   4xx                               

  9xx 

 

 

The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                              Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                              Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                       Win d    

    RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
    mid-Ohio
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    Posted: February 8, 2008, 11:38 am - IP Logged

    There are 1000 straight possible combinations of threes, what's so unusual about 500 of them not showing up in 18 drawings?

     * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
       
                 Evil Looking       

      WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
      Stone Mountain*Georgia
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      Posted: February 8, 2008, 11:54 am - IP Logged

      Try to Calculate the odds of a particular or specific set of numbers not showing up within a certain time frame.

       Special attention on the specific

       

            Hi RJOH... How are you ?   Needed to say that....  at least every 4 or 5 years that go by anyway.  LOL  

       

       

      The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                    Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                    Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                             Win d    

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        buford, ga
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        Posted: February 8, 2008, 12:08 pm - IP Logged

        Maybe it is the bonus issues no 2xx,xxx.00 or above can be assumed good for the lottey personnel community.

        Just thinking out loud.

        blcmjfq buford, ga

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          buford, ga
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          Posted: February 8, 2008, 12:10 pm - IP Logged

          another way to look at this is now instead of watching for 1 in 1000 numbers you only need to look at 1 in 500 numbers. go figure

            WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
            Stone Mountain*Georgia
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            Posted: February 8, 2008, 12:16 pm - IP Logged

            another way to look at this is now instead of watching for 1 in 1000 numbers you only need to look at 1 in 500 numbers. go figure

              LOL ....... blcmjfq, I wonder if my wins would actually go up by 50% too  .. !   Much better odds. 

                 They might use that on their next big deal promotion... instead of 20% better payout... just subtract 20% of the numbers. 

             

                                                   Pick 3 outa' 1000 ....    #800.   Dance

              Maybe that wouldn't be such a good idea for the ga. lottery..When folks saw they still couldn't win anything that way either... they might stop playing.  LOL

             

             

            The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                          Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                          Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                                   Win d    

              WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
              Stone Mountain*Georgia
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              November 2, 2002
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              Posted: February 8, 2008, 12:51 pm - IP Logged

                                           OK... It finally hit Straight as 1xx   or  179 today ! 

               Pretty hard to hide 500 numbers very long.... normally. 

               I'll bet Ga Lottery thanks their Lucky Stars that they don't use computer draws when things like this happen.       

               

               

              The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                            Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                            Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                                     Win d    

                RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                mid-Ohio
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                Posted: February 8, 2008, 1:53 pm - IP Logged

                Try to Calculate the odds of a particular or specific set of numbers not showing up within a certain time frame.

                 Special attention on the specific

                 

                      Hi RJOH... How are you ?   Needed to say that....  at least every 4 or 5 years that go by anyway.  LOL  

                I don't play pick3 games but if I could calculate the odds that 5 numbers would not appear in a particular position for a period of time I would be playing because if I was right only half the time I could make money.

                Pick3 is the combined random outcomes of 3 events that have 10 possible outcomes which equal 1000 possible out comes together.  Eliminating 5 of those outcomes for each event would reduce the total possible outcomes to 125 instead of 1000 and covering those 125 outcomes would pay 500 to 125 every time I was right.

                I can't calculate the odds of a particular set of numbers not showing up within a certain time frame and if anyone else can they could be cleaning up.

                 * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                   
                             Evil Looking       

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                  buford, ga
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                  Posted: February 8, 2008, 2:25 pm - IP Logged

                  I guess the pick should have came from the 500 missing number pool for today.. I think that the the other 4 you said had not played will not come in as quick... thanks

                    WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
                    Stone Mountain*Georgia
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                    Posted: February 8, 2008, 4:34 pm - IP Logged

                                Here's an old page from my blog many years ago. Odds don't change but probability does.

                    November 26, 2004, 6:01 pm   

                         Probability formula for independent events

                    Mood:
                    Now Playing:

                     

                     

                                        /  The Multiplication Rule for Independent Events

                     

                      The Multiplication Rule for d>Independent Events states that if several events, A1, A2, ..., An, are independent, then P(A1 A2 ... An) = P(A1) * P(A2) * ... * P(An).

                    What does this mean?  50/50

                    Applied to coins, A1 can be the event of getting a heads on the first flip of the coin. A2 is the event of getting a heads on the second flip of the coin. An is the event of getting a heads on the nth flip of the coin. Since the probability of each event is 1/2, the probability of getting two heads in a row is 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4. The probability of getting d>5 heads in a row is 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 = d>1/32.

                     There are many examples of 50/50 events in the Pick-3 game such as High/Low, Odd/Even. Any group of numbers that you can balance into equal likely events are All subject to this normula. Applied to Pick-3 it opens up many opportunities.

                     Keep this in mind the next time you notice 7 or 8 d>Even digits stacked on top of each other...... or you see 5 or 6 draws or continuous string of equally like  events.  (2 even and 1 odd digits) etc.

                      "Chances Are" You won't have to wear a silly grin after the next draw.... if you play with this normula in mind and "you might d-color: #ffff66">win a prise."   

                      Use these numbers below to figure the odds on any 50/50 event in Pick-3.  When ever you see a string of MO'(mostly even) numbers or ME's (mostly even) since there are 500 of these each....that's a 50/50 opportunity to use the rule. 

                     If you use the 10 column Sums chart it is half odd and half even.......it is also half high and half low. 

                     If you see 6 odd doubles in a row.....check the odds of it going 7 in a row. The same thing can apply to the (sd-color: #ffff66">wing numbers) of those doubles. The doubles 3rd. number. If you see the last 7 doubles (regardless of high/low-odd/even) all hit with (high/low or odd/even) sd-color: #ffff66">wing number digits.....well you get the idea...check the chart for the odds this will continue. 

                     If you find that the last 6 or 7 consecutive Straights were all High ......

                     If you find that the last 5 or 6 (all high or all low group) were all the same or came from the same half.........

                     Look and find as many of these 50/50 groups as you can and track them ...... Most of the time they sd-color: #ffff66">wing back and forth and act nice.When they don't and they start to stack up on each other .....that's our chance for a trap. At least we will be fishing in the right half of the swimming pool. 

                      Win  d 

                     

                     

                    The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                                  Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                                  Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                                           Win d    

                      JAP69's avatar - alas
                      South Carolina
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                      Posted: February 9, 2008, 10:19 am - IP Logged

                      I don't play pick3 games but if I could calculate the odds that 5 numbers would not appear in a particular position for a period of time I would be playing because if I was right only half the time I could make money.

                      Pick3 is the combined random outcomes of 3 events that have 10 possible outcomes which equal 1000 possible out comes together.  Eliminating 5 of those outcomes for each event would reduce the total possible outcomes to 125 instead of 1000 and covering those 125 outcomes would pay 500 to 125 every time I was right.

                      I can't calculate the odds of a particular set of numbers not showing up within a certain time frame and if anyone else can they could be cleaning up.

                      Calculate what set of numbes will appear by position.

                        JAP69's avatar - alas
                        South Carolina
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                        Posted: February 9, 2008, 10:24 am - IP Logged

                        Calculate what set of numbes will appear by position.

                        As of Sat 2/9 @ 10:21 hours the 5 7 or 9 has not appeared in any position In S.C. in the past 8 draws.

                        The first and second spot are out 8 draws for the 5 7 or 9

                        The third spot is out 11 draws for the 5 7 or 9

                        Edited again

                        That is an elimination of 7 numbers by any position. But which one.

                          JAP69's avatar - alas
                          South Carolina
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                          Posted: February 9, 2008, 11:05 am - IP Logged

                          As of Sat 2/9 @ 10:21 hours the 5 7 or 9 has not appeared in any position In S.C. in the past 8 draws.

                          The first and second spot are out 8 draws for the 5 7 or 9

                          The third spot is out 11 draws for the 5 7 or 9

                          Edited again

                          That is an elimination of 7 numbers by any position. But which one.

                          I forgot to update one of my sheets last night.

                          The third spot is out 13 draws for the 5 7 or 9 in S.C.

                          Edited here again

                          I lost my software in a crash. Now if I had my software I could give stats on the 5 7 or 9 going back any time frame of tracking. 

                            RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                            mid-Ohio
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                            Posted: February 9, 2008, 2:11 pm - IP Logged

                            Calculate what set of numbes will appear by position.

                            I have no idea, WIN D proposed the challenge in his post.

                             * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                               
                                         Evil Looking       

                              JAP69's avatar - alas
                              South Carolina
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                              Posted: February 9, 2008, 10:34 pm - IP Logged

                              As of Sat 2/9 @ 10:21 hours the 5 7 or 9 has not appeared in any position In S.C. in the past 8 draws.

                              The first and second spot are out 8 draws for the 5 7 or 9

                              The third spot is out 11 draws for the 5 7 or 9

                              Edited again

                              That is an elimination of 7 numbers by any position. But which one.

                                                                                                      678

                              Occured @ 18:59 hours on Sat Feb 9th

                              Looks like it was position 2