|Posted: March 8, 2008, 9:58 am - IP Logged|
Louisiana Derby - 3 year olds; 1 1/16 M; Gr. 2; $600K
Fair Grounds, 9th Race
Another big Derby prep race...and another chance for racing fans to preview their choices for the Big Race in May. The one to beat in this race is # 3 Pyro (7/5). The bettors are most likely going to bet him down below that, so you have to hunt for value in this race if you're betting. It's a very competitive field (I have Pyro's fair odds at 4/1 with no other horse over 10/1 in the nine-horse field).
Depending on how the public bets Pyro, you might get great deals on the other contenders. I'll be watching the betting on # 6 Tale Of Ekati (7/2). If he goes off at 9/2 or higher, it's a bet to win. Other possible upsetters and exotic bet fillers: # 5 Unbridled Vicar (20/1) and # 7 Blackberry Road (10/1). Both of these guys would be fair odds at 6/1.
Also on tab today is the Grade 3 Gotham Stakes from Aqueduct and two big races for filly 3 yo's, the Santa Anita Oaks and the Fair Grounds Oaks.
Here are my picks for those races. (The odds listed in bold are my odds minimum for a "value bet" to win).
Aqueduct - 9th Race
Gotham Stakes - 3 year olds; 1 1/16 M; Gr. 3; $250K
# 1 Giant Moon (7/2) 5/1
# 3 Roman Emperor (6/1) 6/1
Santa Anita - 9th Race
Santa Anita Oaks - 3 yo fillies; 1 1/16 M; Gr. 1; $300K
# 8 Ariege (5/1) 4/1
# 7 Golden Doc A (5/2) 5/1
Fair Grounds - 8th Race
Fair Grounds Oaks - 3 yo fillies; 1 1/16 M: Gr. 2; $400K
#1 Indian Blessing (3/5) 3/5
# 2 Proud Spell (6/5) 3/5
Side note...I recently joined TwinSpires.com for online horse race betting. I can't say enough positive things about it. To anyone interested in betting the horses online, I highly recommend checking this site out.
Good luck to all!
Posted 4/6: IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit: 555, 347 (str8).